Corante

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Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
About this Site
Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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In the Pipeline: Don't miss Derek Lowe's excellent commentary on drug discovery and the pharma industry in general at In the Pipeline

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July 28, 2004

Within Five Years...

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There will be no such thing as a phone network anymore.

There will only be data. Voice is a low-grade data service. Every service provided by the voice network can be emulated through software.

Clue one. AT&T has stopped marketing long distance voice.

Clue two. Skype now serves regular phones through agreements with four backhaul carriers.

Out of such Clues are grand predictions made.

With voice pushed onto the Internet the bandwidth devoted on phone lines to voice can be put to better use, increasing local bandwidth to 8 mbps or more. This is absolutely necessary if the phone carriers are to compete against the current onslaught of cable modem and coming onslaught of Wireless ISP competition.

So it's going to happen. And you heard it here first.

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