
NOTE: Howard Dean will become chairman of the Democratic Party this weekend. Consider this an open letter to the new boss, from the bottom of the grassroots.
I was wrong about something important last year.
The year 2004 did not represent a generational election because people live longer than they used to. Thus, the Nixon Coalition was able to get the knees to jerk by turning 2004 into 1968. Democrats went along by nominating a man of the 60s.
Had this been a true generational election Vietnam would have been irrelevant, just as the New Deal was irrelevant to those marching in 1968, and the Spanish-American War was history to the hungry of 1932.
Will 2008 be the generational election? Maybe, but maybe not. In that year a person born in 1955, at the height of the baby boom, will be only 53. Thats still old enough to matter.
But a new generation is coming along, and thats where Democrats should concentrate their attention.
The last generation had a name, Baby Boom. The new generation has a name, too.
The new generation is the Internet Generation.
To this generation the Internet is just as natural as TV was to us. Young people understand its metaphors and take them for granted. If youre saying www youre too old. Think texting, think e-dress (for address), and remember that India is a Skype call away. Also remember that all these tools will change, and change often, over time.
I should not be your analyst here. You need someone just out of college to tell you what is going on. And the issues of this generation have yet to fully emerge, although I can guess what some might be:
- Free access to information and to other people
- A global view (vs. a national view)
- Balance (of trade, of the budget, of payments, of power)
- Sustainability (2050 isnt beyond the horizon)
These issues have yet to reach a crisis point, but were moving in that direction. The Baby Boomers support Digital Rights Management (DRM) and travel restrictions. The Baby Boomers see the world only through the prism of U.S. vs. Them. The Baby Boomers run deficits out the wazoo. The Baby Boomers are destroying the Earth, and the effects of this Baby Boomer ignorance are becoming clear.
You say, not me, but you dont speak for the Baby Boomers. George W. Bush does. Karl Rove does. Baby Boomers are Republicans, always have been. Bill Clinton never won a majority, and Jimmy Carter barely scraped by against the man who pardoned Nixon and thought Poland was free. Those victories were aberrations. Dont kid yourself. The Baby Boom is red. Its narrowly red, but red nonetheless.
Every new generation rejects, not just the previous generation, but its issues and attitudes. Our parents emphasized thrift, and service, and gave us enormous freedom along with wealth. We have given our children wealth, entitlement, and the language of freedom without the reality.
All this has yet to crystallize around anything. But it will. And Democrats need to be ready when that happens, with institutions, and systems, and stands on issues that will resonate with the coming generation.
We already have many of the issues. Democrats believe in multilateralism. Democrats believe in environmentalism. Thanks to Howard Dean, Democrats again believe in balanced budgets.
But many Democrats associate the stand of technology industries, and copyright, with being right on technology. Thats wrong. Both the tech industries and the content they serve belong to the Boomers.
We need to stand for Open Source. Im not talking about Linux or Windows here. Im talking about an open source attitude, an open source politics, and an open source way of doing business.
It starts with our institutions. We need to build-in technological mechanisms for true two-way, massively parallel communication. Movable Type doesnt provide that. Moveon.org doesnt provide that, either. What happened in 2003 and 2004 was only a prelude, and it could be the end, if we think that voters only provide money, and manpower, to causes and strategies devised at the top.
Chairman Dean needs to assure that the DNC is always in session, 24-7. Technology is part of that. You need discussion systems that scale, that empower users to create their own threads, and that enable moderators to keep the signal-noise ratio high.
But you also need people. You need trained moderators at every level who will enable discussion, who will make sure every personal e-mail gets a personal response, and who will work closely with local officials to make sure concerns are dealt with. If I have a problem with a local Democratic official, I should be able to send one e-mail and have someone within the party looking into it. Not every dispute will be smoothed out, but the party will know who each politicians enemies are by becoming part of the process.
That last paragraph defines an open source party. It must be open to incoming ideas, and open to dealing with them. This is in stark contrast to GOP politics of business interests and pressure groups, and in stark contrast to past Democratic politics based on interests and identity. We have to start dealing with people as unique individuals, scaling not just our technology but our human infrastructure as well.
As we do this, the issues that touch the Internet Generation will make themselves apparent, and so will the stands the party must take on them. Get the technology right, get the human infrastructure right, and everything else becomes a matter of simply working the plan.
I think Howard Dean has a Clue about this, but I dont think he gets the whole picture. Neither Dean for America nor Democracy for America properly scaled. The people at the top of his organizations have never really been in touch with those at the bottom, because they didnt have the human middleware necessary to make that happen, and they were prevented by the campaign laws from creating it.
This is the party-building exercise that I am certain will bring the Internet Generation to our side, because its in line with how the Internet Generation expects things to work. Young people want open systems, they want fast response, and they expect personal service.
Its not too much to ask, even though its a lot to do.
Sooner started, sooner done.
1. Brad Hutchings on February 10, 2005 12:51 PM writes...
Generational politics and no mention of the Social Security Ponzi Scheme? If we leave it alone, as Democrats are unified in doing, it will "go broke" in 2042. I was born in 1970, am 34 now, will be 72 in 2042. That means I'll be past my grandparents' and parents' so-called retirement age and there will be nothing there for me. This despite an effective tax of over 15% on my income to support the system throughout my career. And yes, I am counting employer contribution as any reasonable critic must -- I pay it when I'm self-employed and it is part of the expense of employing me when I am employed. So far as I'm concerned, if you are my age or younger today and you look at where the Democratic Party stands on this issue and this issue alone, and you still support them, you're a chump. And you're stupid. And probably ugly to boot. Not that the Republicans are perfect, but Democrats cannot hope to have a prayer with younger voters when they won't even admit there is a problem with Social Security.
Permalink to Comment2. Russell Shaw on February 10, 2005 02:46 PM writes...
Part of the problem with the Democratic party is they rely on the fossilized world view of old-line consultants like Bob Shrum. Although I recognize the virtues of energizing your base,the thing is, the base has changed.
But these old-line consultants haven't gotten the message. They still work with established blocs like labor unions, black and Hispanic voters, etc. While it is true that those blocs can swing elections, even swing some states, they represent only a certain component of the electoral dynamic. And even those blocs are fractured... lots of union members voted for Bush, and the growing number of Latino evangelicals were another problem for the Democrats.
Get with it, Democrats. As for Bob Shrum, well, give me R. Crumb.
Permalink to Comment3. bartb on February 12, 2005 06:02 PM writes...
Howard Dean: "I hate the Republicans and everything they stand for,"
Me: waving bye-bye to you as you march off the cliff in front of you.
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