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Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
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Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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February 16, 2005

WiMax is Leapfrog

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

A new InStat report on WiMax is drawing attention for the wrong reasons.

It's drawing attention based on the idea that it calls 802.16 competitive. Other analysts have said it will die stillborn unless questions about the standard, and real products implementing it, get here soon.

But it's the reason for InStat's conclusion that is the real news here. WiMax will succeed, the firm believes, because WiMax can leapfrog western broadband, delivering fast data to the developing world.

Here's the bullet point, directly from the InStat release:

  • Emerging country markets typically have antiquated technology, poor quality outside plant, and limited public network capacity. WiMAX is especially well suited to these applications.

Here's the result, just a few lines above it:

  • By 2009, In-Stat forecasts...8.5 million subscribers worldwide will be using WiMAX-based broadband wireless access services. Nearly 4.5 million...will also subscribe to Voice over WiMAX (VoWiMAX) services.

You see, it doesn't matter whether WiMax can compete in the U.S. which, given present regulation, has chosen a wired duopoly of Bells and Cable Head-Ends for broadband.

WiMax makes every other country competitive with the U.S. in broadband delivery. Every other country.

Like competing with India?

Get ready for Botswana.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Futurism | Telecommunications


COMMENTS

1. Robin Grewal on February 27, 2005 10:09 AM writes...

That's exactly the 'Point & Real Issue' !!

India & other"Emerging Economies" will 'exponentially benefit' from WiMax
- but NOT "WiMax" as being projected NOW

- but the real "WiMax Mobility" systems
( 802.16e) - which are now available / under initial "Deployment" !!

They will be the REAL & ENTIRELY DISRUPTIVE "Game Changers" !!

Rabindra ( Robin ) Grewal
Chairman
STING Consortia / STING BroadBand

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