Corante

About this Author
Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
About this Site
Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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March 01, 2006

The Anti-Scientist And I

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

henry%20morris.jpgI got a little shock today at Google News.

It seems that I have something in common with the "father of creation science," Henry Morris, who died today aged 87.

We went to the same school.

Now it should be admitted up-front that the Rice University I attended in the 1970s was quite different from the Rice Institute Morris went to in the 1930s. It was integrated, for one thing. (The school had to break Mr. Rice's will to allow non-whites in, starting in 1966.) And it was, when I was there, a haven for intellectual eccentrics, strangely rugged individualists. One of my classmates lived in a tree. (There are wonderful live oaks on campus.)

I sort of "minored" in Rice history, so I know that the school Morris went to was inbred, centered almost entirely on the needs of the oil industry, and deliberately conservative in all things. (Even as late as 1969, when the students finally got the gumption to protest something, they did it in jacket-and-tie, demonstrating against the appointment of a Rice alum as the school's President.) Beyond engineering, which was still the only thing you could get a "science" degree in when I went there, there were the (mostly) ringers who played the football, and debs who peopled the literary societies, and not a lot else. As to the campus, the trees were much smaller then, and it was thought to be outside Houston -- now it's in the inner city.

Still, the idea that someone who actually had a Rice degree (and later taught civil engineering there) could say something like this in later life shocked me:

"If the Bible is the Word of God -- and it is -- then it must be firmly believed that the world and all things in it were created in six natural days and that the long geological ages of evolutionary history never really took place at all."

No other quote I've ever seen has summed up the anti-science mindset so succinctly.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | Science | faith | personal

February 27, 2006

The Legend of Dennis Hayes

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

dennis_Hayes.gifThose of you under 30 may never have heard of Dennis Hayes.

But once he was somebody. I knew him. His was one of the first tech stories I wrote in Atlanta, back in 1982.

Dennis Hayes made modems. His company, Hayes Microcomputer Products Inc., dominated the market for PC modems in the 1980s. A modem, short for modulator-demodulator, would turn data into tones, then send those tones along the phone line, so an analog system could mimic a digital one.

As modems approached the 64,000 bit/second speed level, in the early 1990s, Hayes wanted to move data faster. He called me in one day to show me what he was up to.

It was something called ISDN. It was an all-digital system. It was faster than modems. It was cool.

But in order to get to ISDN, Hayes needed the cooperation of the Bell companies. They promised cooperation. They said they were committed. He waited and waited. He bet the company on ISDN.

And he lost. He lost it all. By the time the Bells began offering real digital services, in the late 1990s, they were offering ADSL. Originally considered an alternative to cable TV (yes, really), ADSL offered 1.5 Mbps downloads and 384 kbps uploads, while sharing the line with your phone. But by the time ADSL became a player, Hayes was bankrupt, gone, out of business by 1998.

The moral: don’t trust a Bell company. Don’t bet on a Bell company fulfilling its promises. Ever.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications | personal

February 25, 2006

Welcome to 1966

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

1966-impalla-SS.jpgAnother of those political-historical things. Move along, oh lovers of tech stuff. (That's the 1966 Buick Chevy Impala to the left.)


It disturbs me when people ignore history, even the history they themselves have seen. Like Brit Hume today saying "let's move on" about the Cheney shooting and having no one respond "but Monica Lewinsky wasn't even shot."

I guess I expect this kind of willful ignorance out of the Stalinists who profane themselves "conservatives." It upsets me when liberals, who should know better, do it.

So let's set the wayback to 1966, an equivalent time for the conservative movement to 2006.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Politics | personal

February 23, 2006

No Such Thing as Free WiFi

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

earthlink%20logo.jpgEarthlink is busy turning all those dreams of free municipal WiFi into broken promises.

Both the municipal deal they signed in Philly and the one they’ve joined in San Francisco (with Google) carry user price tags. In Philly they say they will re-sell capacity to other ISPs for just $9 per user per month. In San Francisco the plan is to give away 300 Kbps links, but charge $20/month for true ADSL-like speeds.

I’m of two minds on this. Let me talk out of both sides of my mouth for a moment:


  • Earthlink is betting the company on this new way of doing business. The San Francisco investment alone is estimated at $25 million. They have to get their money out somehow. And they have to gain some control of infrastructure in order to stay in business, now that the Bells and cable guys have gotten Bushie permission to monopolize the rate-payers’ infrastructure.
  • On the other hand what happened to free? And how can the cities promise any exclusivity in these deals? They don’t have any more right to the frequencies than Google. Why should taxpayers let them offer exclusive access to traffic lights and other city-owned infrastructure, and grant an “exclusive” cloud license to anyone?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | B2B | Business Models | Digital Divide | Internet | Investment | Politics

February 22, 2006

The Internet As A Political Issue

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

moveon%20logo.gifGenerally, political issues involving the Internet are handled by elites.

Voters don't understand things like the "Brand X" decision, or the ICANN mess. All they care about is that the resource is there when they want it, at some price they can afford.

The practical result for the last decade is that a handful of large corporations have determined Internet policy. This is no longer working, because many of those corporations are engaged in a greed-fest aimed at making temporary advantages (often gained through government lobbying) into permanent taxes on Internet users.

The first hint we got that people were starting to pay attention was a few weeks ago, after BellSouth and AT&T said they should be able to charge those with data available, who were paying ISP charges, for access to "their" customers, who were also paying ISP charges. They wanted to hold you hostage, because your customer relationship to them made you "theirs." They actually said those things.

That fight is far from over, and the latest news should tell every Internet user why they need to get involved in the political side of the resource.. After paying a lot of lip service to the idea of network neutrality, a House subcommittee has passed a bill that says nothing about it, and in so doing endorses the Bells' position.

The ironic thing here is that, on Internet issues, activists on the left and right are in wholehearted agreement, as are activists in the center. The only "people" on the other side are giant corporations, which should not be people at all. It's the corporate control of America's government which makes this kind of nonsense possible, and everyone involved in online politics, no matter their views on the issues (or each other) needs to be up in arms about this.

Unfortunately, it turns out this is not what they're up in arms about.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Politics | law | personal

February 15, 2006

Show Trial

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Christopher%20H%20Smith.jpgDuring Mao's Cultural Revolution, show trials were used to cover-up the evils of the regime. Innocent parties were brought in, tried without justice, then either killed or sent to "re-education" camps.

The U.S. House held its own version of such a trial today, only without the education.

Nominally, the hearings were held to investigate the censorship of the Internet in China, with the connivance of U.S. search companies like Microsoft, Yahoo and Google.

But the hearing was chaired by Rep. Christopher Smith, (right) who has never questioned the Bush Administration’s use of the same firms for the same purposes. To see Smith perform in this role is just like watching Libya heading the UN Human Rights Commission. To hear him fulminating against China on CNBC, as I had to do last night, with absolutely no rebuttal, is to feel like I am indeed living in Mao's China.

Here we have an Administration that claims the absolute right to spy on all its citizens, to record their phone calls and search their Internet files, to imprison American citizens without trial – merely on the assertion they’re an “enemy combatant” – to torture and murder hundreds at secret detention centers all in the name of an amorphous “war” it claims might last generations.

And a chief supporter of that policy is attacking Google on human rights?

Oh, I hear you say, but you’re writing this, and I’m reading this. How can be this be Maoist?

Maybe we’re just not that efficient. Yet.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Digital Divide | Futurism | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | law | personal | war

February 14, 2006

Yahoo Gets Lost in Translation (Badda-Boom, Badda-Bing)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

freedom.jpg Yahoo tried to draw some favorable press coverage today.

(That's actress Charlize Theron, but she's very small, hard to recognize. That's deliberate, as you'll see.)

In the wake of a scandal over the fact its Chinese affiliate cooperated with authorities to silence dissidents, the story Americans were told by Yahoo today was that it will do everything it can to fight Web censorship.

That’s not the way the story was carried in China. An American correspondent to Dave Farber’s list wrote:

“In my Beijing hotel room this morning CNN aired a piece about Yahoo calling for search engines to cooperate to deal with China's ‘search engine rules.’”

As the TV correspondent was about to say the word censorship, this writer added, the sound went blank, so it might have appeared to Chinese that Yahoo was, in fact, continuing to cooperate with its government. The Farber correspondent used asterisks in writing the word censorship, in order, he said, to get it past possible Chinese censorship. It got through.

The use of asterisks, of inference, of badda-boom badda-bing, in discussing subjects like freedom in China is widespread. It’s titillating – as sex was in America under the Hays Office. The level of sex in America didn’t decline under the code, but many Americans who were alive then say it was enjoyed more than it is in today’s era of free Web porn.

Could this be true for freedom as well? Chinese people share the government’s fear of anarchy. Americans, fortunately, have not faced the prospect in centuries, and this generation firmly shied away from it in the 1960s. We still prefer Nixon to Woodstock.

Should the Chinese be any different? Must they be?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Copyright | Futurism | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Security | blogging | ethics | faith | law | personal

February 10, 2006

The Return of Political Spam

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

roger%20a%20stone%20small.jpgSpam is back in politics.

But this time, the industry insists, it's different. This time it's e-mail marketing.

Leading the charge is an outfit called Advocacy Inc., headed by Roger Alan Stone (he uses Alan so you won't confuse him with the OTHER Roger Stone). Their client list includes a large number of names and organizations from the left side of the aisle, including Tim Kaine, who won Virginia's governor's race last year.

What makes it different? Stone insists his company is using all the disciplines of the old paper direct mail business to trim lists down to names of real prospects. That means he prospects from existing lists, like those of Moveon.org, which he knows are opt-in. And he limits his mailings further through targeting, so liberals don't get e-mail about Oregon candidates if they're living in Georgia.

Had the e-mail marketing business been doing this 10 years ago today's spam problem would not have happened. But it did, and it did. As a result, any list to which people are sent e-mail without notice is considered spam by most users.

But not the government. In writing the CAN-SPAM Act the government was very careful to make itself (and the politicians who work for it) immune from the legal charge. What Stone is sending is spam-that-is-not-spam. It is legal.

But is it ethical?

The National Journal Hotline has a feature up on Stone today, which conflates Stone's story with those of other folks, notably Tim Yale of VButtons Inc., who are actually in different businesses. (In VButtons' case, it's embedding webcast ads in Web pages.)

What they wind up doing is merely confusing the issue.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consulting | Internet | Politics | ethics | marketing | spam

February 02, 2006

A World of Rationed Liberty

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

jet%20li%20hero.jpgIf you want to launch a lynch mob against the "Chinese Communists," I'll probably be there with a pitchfork. I'm an American who believes in ordered liberty, after all.

Of course, when Congress tried to get the leaders of the search engine business to launch such a party today there were no takers.

All the major search engines are now in China, and all censor the results they deliver from their Chinese servers. (Outside China they all operate differently.) Thus China's "great firewall" seems, from the outside, to be effective in keeping citizens there from knowing anything about political issues other than what the government chooses to let them know.

All true. But something else is happening.

China is rationing liberty for its own survival.

China has nearly 1.5 billion people. China has been destroyed, literally destroyed, in ways only Southerners and American Indians can imagine, by politics several times over the last century. First came the democratic revolution against the Emperor, then came the Japanese invasion, then came the Communist Revolution, and finally several renewals of that revolution which left literal starvation in their wake.

Before that, for 2,400 years, China's system of rationed liberty, run by Mandarins, kept the nation fairly stable, at peace, and whole. Since the death of Mao Zedong China has returned to this pre-democratic order. It is run by Mandarins. Except for the facade of Communism it's run a lot like Japan (which retains a facade of democracy).

By that I mean there's an educated elite at the top, and a long series of steps which can lead a Chinese child into that elite:

  1. Rural peasants have almost no freedom, and little contact with the outside world. Government can take their land (and does), natural disasters can wipe them out (and do). A peasant who is fortunate will have relatives in the city, and their knowledge, their freedom, will be limited by what those relatives choose to share.
  2. Urban workers have a little more freedom. They live in cities, where there are many people, and many ideas. But their ambition is channeled totally into earning more money, because with each raise comes a little more liberty. A TV, a refrigerator, eventually (maybe) a computer.
  3. Urban professionals have a little more freedom, but it's limited. They may have phones with data capacity, and they may have broadband Internet service, but what they can do with both is limited. They learn what not to ask, what not to say, and in finding these boundaries begin to test them. Their ambition is for education, which leads to promotion, and for trust, which leads them to become
  4. Chinese travelers have the full Internet. Once a Chinese goes overseas they see it all, the decadence, the rhetoric, the full panoply of what freedom can be, and what freedom can do. By this time, however, they have background, and enter the fire of liberty with eyes wide-open to its dangers. Which may lead them to become
  5. Mandarins. People who have high positions in the government are truly free. Those who are part of the system must know the world, all of it, or they can't function. Their liberty is full, but it is tempered by responsibility, for the ranks below them, and for the nation.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Security | Telecommunications | cellular | war

Corruption On The Web

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

sclavos.gifVerisign CEO Stratton Sclavos is a big investor in incumbency. And he gets value for money.

OpenSecrets.Org reports that he gave $84,000 in political contributions during the 2004 cycle, and has (with his wife) given another $24,700 in 2005. The Verisign PAC, meanwhile, has spent another $36,200 this cycle, in hard money contributions.

That’s not all. The same Web site reports Verisign put out $124,000 in “soft money” contributions during 2002, and $88,600 in the 2000 cycle. While some of the money (about 15%) goes to Democratic incumbents, the vast majority goes to Republicans.

That's just the money I found searching OpenSecrets under Verisign and Sclavos. It doesn't count other money that may have been sent from Verisign executives, or their families, or third parties under Verisign's direction.

What does Verisign get for this money? It gets the full legal authority to rob the Internet, to take you, for everything it can grab.

And it's grabbing with both hands.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Internet | Journalism | Politics | e-commerce | ethics | law | online advertising | personal

February 01, 2006

St. Google and the Dragons

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

st%20george%20and%20the%20dragon.jpgChange is the one business constant. Those who embrace it succeed, those who resist it fail.

But change also dislocates.

Workers threatened by change organize unions and seek protection from government. The Luddite movement was a call by workers to smash the new textile mills that threatened their jobs.

Business calls against change are heeded more often, because they may speak the language of change and back it up with cash. In autocratic societies the cash is called a bribe. In a democracy it’s called a campaign contribution.

History proves that in every case, the public interest governments must follow is to embrace change. This is tough when the threatened industries have enormous political power.

Yet America has done this for 200 years.

  • 19th Century Whigs embraced change as “public works,” ports, canals, and (later) railroads and telegraph companies that needed scarce capital.
  • Turn of the Century Progressives embraced change as antitrust, worker protection and (perhaps most important) the income tax, which replaced the tariff as the funder of government and made America the world’s business leader.
  • Mid-century Europeans forged free trade agreements, starting with Iron and Steel, evolving into the European Community. America embraced this movement through the WTO and such treaties as NAFTA.

Cars replaced railroads, oil replaced coal, suburbs replaced cities, and as the American blackboard was erased, rewritten and erased again, incumbents were allowed to wither away.

Today Google is the face of corporate change. Google has become a corporate stand-in for the changes the Internet makes necessary. Thus the incumbents have their knives out for it:

  • Telephone companies threatened by the Internet’s end-to-end principle, in which services are defined at the edge, want government to give them power to define services within their networks that everyone – including Google – will be forced to pay for.
  • TV and movie studios threatened by the fact that video can be passed as bits have demanded, and gotten, the power to halt distribution of bits they own.
  • Newspapers threatened by the Internet’s power to organize everything and make it available through links want government to make Google (and then the rest of us) pay for “linking rights.”
These forces are made more powerful by the fact that networks, studios, and reporters have no new business models to replace what’s lost as Google and its followers (Level 3, Craigslist, eBay, Amazon) march forward.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Copyright | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | e-commerce | law

January 31, 2006

HIPAA Worse Than The Disease

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

hipaa2.gifInfo-Tech has a release out that says they analyzed the HIPAA law and found it useless. (The image is from the blog of David Hoffman.)

HIPAA stands for Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act. It was signed by President Clinton in 1996, when he was trying to triangulate the new Republican majority in Congress with the idea of regulation, but managed by the private sector.

”HIPAA is a toothless tiger,” says Info-Tech analyst Ross Armstrong. “The first problem is that HIPAA is complaint driven, and complaint-driven enforcement doesn’t work. The second problem is that in the one HIPAA-related conviction that has occurred, only the individual was charged, not the organization itself."

“If HIPAA is to be truly protective and useful, healthcare entities and their executives must be held accountable in the same way that Sarbanes-Oxley holds CEOs and CFOs responsible.”

I'll go Armstrong one better. HIPAA is worse-than-useless.

HIPAA isn't entirely to blame for this, but it has driven the bulk of the medical profession into a very expensive case of Luddism. That's because HIPAA:

  • Theoretically makes hospitals and insurance companies liable for mistakes; and
  • Lets small practices out of this problem by refusing to computerize.

Mistakes in records and their release can happen. They do quite often. By accident. Not on purpose. But because there are automatic penalties (if someone complains) two things happen. The handling of all patient information becomes heavily bureaucratized, and patients are given legal gobbledygook aimed solely at keeping them from pursuing their rights if they arre violated.

It's the small practice exemption that really bites, however.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Economics | Internet | Politics | law | medicine

January 30, 2006

The Internet Necessity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bob%20frankston.gifA few years ago some wags talked about people having a "right" to Internet service, and they got laughed at.

Let's try it another way.

America's economic future requires every citizen have access to Internet resources, and full freedom to use them.

Everyone needs Internet access, and literacy, to be part of the modern world.

FAST Internet access. Just as it's stupid to tell someone an 8086 machine is equivalent to a modern computer, so it is sheer ignorance to claim the availability of dial-up means everyone has Internet access. It's got to be fast enough so all modern applications run.

In a recent essay Visicalc co-founder Bob Frankston compares the Internet to roads. In a recent piece here at Mooreslore , I offered something similar. What if the railroads had a veto over road development, I asked, even after the car became popular?

But this dramatically underestimates what we're talking about.

The Internet is becoming a universal database, a universal discussion, almost a hive mind for humanity in the 21st century. If you don't have access you can't contribute. And you can't benefit, either.

This is the Century of the Mind. We've already seen business gravitate to those cities with the best connectivity, with the best chances for minds to connect. That's what Silicon Valley is about. That's what Boston is about, what New York is about, what Atlanta and Austin and Washington are about. Connections.

But with the Internet it's not just cities which are judged on their connectivity. It's nations.

And we're falling behind. Already, just in the last few years, we've fallen to 19th in broadband penetration. We're about to be passed by Slovenia, for God's sakes! Slovenia! Slovenia was, in the 1990s, part of Yugoslavia, a country which destroyed itself in civil war. Now Slovenia is passing us in the access its citizens have to the Essential Resource of our Time.

Why is this? Simple.

We've allowed Internet service to be monopolized by two sets of companies - Bell companies and cable operators - who are paying for obsolete infrastructure, who are forcing us to pay for that infrastructure before they deliver more, and who think only in terms of billing for specific services, not selling bits.

The Internet is just bits. Video bits, sound bits, e-mail bits, Web bits, text bits. The meaning of the bits are defined at the edge, on the computers that exchange them. All producers are consumers, all consumers can be producers. But the gatekeepers won't accept that. They see the Internet as services - TV, phone, e-mail - billable events which they define and they control.

And so, with Internet connectivity held hostage to these so-called "service providers," your ability to be part of the future atrophies, disappears, dot by dot, bit by bit. So does America's competitiveness.

Frankston calls the process through which this has happened the Regulatorium. He's talking about a network of political connections, state and federal agencies, think tanks and Bell-sponsored "consumer groups" who push the Bell-Cable duopoly more effectively than Jack Abramoff's K Street Project dreamed of.

Here, he says, is what we need instead. Some simple statements:

  • Connectivity is fundamental. The Internet is not a service. The Regulatorium doesn't have the language for this. Giving it the language is the leverage point.
  • Speed is useless if you can't communicate. It's easy to speed up the network - what we need is pervasive connectivity. This means that wireless connectivity - be it Wi-Fi or other protocols is our basic right.
  • Rather than giving carriers the ability to define our services, connectivity must be infrastructure like roads and power lines and "just be there". We can then create services and solutions.

This is light years from the way the world works today. But we have to get there.

I've written a lot about these issues here, tangentially. Moore's Law drives the world, not just as it relates to chips but as it relates to telecomm technology too. Moore's Law of Fiber shows that optical fiber capacity can grow exponentially, just by changing out hardware. Moore's Law of Radios shows we can have the same capacity increases using the air that we have with fiber.

All the laws and rules we have in place for telecommunications are based on the idea of scarcity. Capital to build networks is scarce, so only a few big companies can play. The frequency spectrum is a scarce good government must distribute.

I don't know of a better way to say this, so I'll just say it.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | law

The Law and Google

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

googlesignII.jpgGoogle has to obey the law.

Doesn’t matter if the law is oppressive, as in China. If Google wants to do business in China, it must obey the law.

Google can fight stupid laws, as in the EU Google can argue in court against some laws, as it’s doing in the U.S.

But Google must, in the end, obey the law.

I’m sick and tired of sanctimonious claptrap from people who state, baldly, that Google’s stated intent to “do no evil” means it must defy the law. Google is a public company. Google can’t do that. No public company can.

You can complain all you want about Google’s actions within the law. People do. They complain about its cookies, about its tracking usage patterns. They complain about its habit of leaving projects out to dry if they don’t work, about how some projects aren’t worth the spin that’s placed on them. They complain about its lack of lobbying prowess, or how little it has spent lobbying.

But Google has to obey the law.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Economics | Internet | Politics | e-commerce | ethics | law | marketing | online advertising

January 25, 2006

Porn Fight Kills the E-Mail Guy

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

matthew%20prince%20unspam.jpgEveryone hates spam. But there has been no political constituency potent enough to fight the well-organized Direct Marketing Association, which has successfully defended spammers from meaningful regulation for a decade.

Now Matthew Prince, a young Chicago lawyer, thinks he has the answer. Porn. Well, anti-porn.

Using the Christian Right as his political base Prince’s company, Unspam Inc., has gotten laws passed in Utah and Michigan that could both make him rich and make most e-mail disappear. While fighting for the law in a Utah court, he has taken his show on the road to Georgia, Illinois, Wisconsin and Minnesota, trying to get identical laws passed there.

The laws create a “do not porn” registry, run by Unspam, that e-mailers must filter their messages through. Anything in an e-mail deemed “harmful to minors,” even in a link, becomes a felony. Not just porn offers, but alcohol, tobacco, gambling, firearms and illegal drugs are covered. Parents on the list get the right to sue for up to $1,000 per message (Utah) or $5,000 per message (Michigan). There are also criminal penalties, including jail time.

Prince spends money through his “base,” using Susan Zahn’s WDC Media (the same folks used by Christian broadcasters) for his PR, and emphasizing the porn angle in his releases. An Unspam press release sent out via Webwire identifies only the porn industry as fighting the new laws.

But the direct mail industry is now energized as well. WindowsSecrets editor Brian Livingston put out an article on Earthweb last year blasting Prince as essentially a patent troll. (The company has filed U.S. patent application 20040148506 to protect its registry, he says.) Prince claims he wins his registry contracts through competitive bids, but if you got the law through and patented the required technology, well, you figure it out. (I should note here that WindowsSecrets is an e-mail newsletter, so Livingston would have to filter his lists through Unspam if the law holds up in court.)

A recent Wall Street Journal story on Unspam estimates compliance costs this way:

Businesses are charged $7 for every 1,000 email addresses examined each month in Michigan, and $5 per 1,000 in Utah. Companies must have their lists examined once a month. A company with a list of 100,000 emails would pay $14,400 annually to have its list examined by both states. Unspam receives the majority of the revenue to administer the registry, and the rest goes to the state.

Livingston disputes the WSJ conclusions. He says monthly screening won’t protect e-mailers, that 85% of the money goes to the state. He then offers two illustrations of how easy it would be for the law to be abused:

  • A conservative activist puts her e-mail address, which is also used by her daughter, on a state registry. The listing takes 30 days to become effective. She then e-mails a health clinic for information about morning-after pills. If the clinic replies with the information, the sender is guilty of a felony.
  • A liberal activist registers his and his son's e-mail address. After 30 days, he e-mails a gun dealer, asking for product listings. If the dealer replies with details, he's guilty of a felony.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Politics | Telecommunications | e-commerce | law | marketing | online advertising | spam

January 24, 2006

Alternative Energy No Longer an Option

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Hydrogen%20fuel%20cell%20car.jpgJohn Robb of Global Guerillas has posted a blog entry that should curl your hair. (The picture is from Drexel University.)

The control over the price of oil is in now in the hands of global guerrillas -- the open source, system disrupting, transnational crime fueled, sons of global fragmentation covered by this author. These actors can now, at will, curtail the supply of oil through low tech attacks on facilities in Iraq, Nigeria, central Asia, and India. The amount of oil effectively under their control exceeds five million barrels a day, more than Saudi Arabia's two million barrels a day of swing production.

What this means, simply, is that alternative energy research is no longer “something nice” to have, or that switching away from fossil fuels should be a goal.

It means that alternative fuels are now vital to our national security. No, let's be blunt. They are our economic security.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Investment | Politics | Science | Security | energy | war

A Curious Theory of Conservatism

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

conscience%20of%20a%20conservative.jpgIn his latest diatribe against a la carte cable pricing Capitalist Tool Adam Thierer of the "Progress and Freedom Foundation" claims that arguments by his opponents in this debate represent "a curious theory of conservatism."

I couldn't let that go by without a comment.

  • It's a curious theory of conservatism that ignores the 20th century Progressive movement and approves of duopolies from the age of the Robber Barons.
  • It's a curious theory of conservatism that rejects the idea of free consumer choice and tells them corporations know what's best for them.

Conservatism, in fact, has gotten curiouser and curiouser over the last few years, especially as regards tech policy.

I didn't know conservatism was about supporting only those with the most money, or that government policy should be for sale to the highest bidder. I thought conservatives believed in less government, not more, and less intrusive government by free men, not more intrusive government by Supermen with ears that hear everything, eyes that see everything, and no need to tell the people anything. I certainly don't remember Barry Goldwater writing even once on behalf of monopoly or the police state. In fact, I distinctly remember Goldwater, in his 1964 acceptance speech, castigating as liberal the idea that government should hide facts about wars from the American people. "Enough of it has gone by," he said.

...continue reading.

Comments (8) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Politics | ethics | law | personal

January 23, 2006

Sexual Monsters Inc.

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

monsters%20inc%20sulley.gifSomething occurred to me when reading of how the Justice Department wants a week of Google search records, ostensibly to enforce the failed law against Internet pornography, but with authority under the Patriot Act.

This is getting someone’s rocks off.

We all know that, for many people, fear is part of their sex drive. Whether it’s fear of discovery or the ability to instill fear in others, it’s real. And both these fantasies are threatened in an open sexual environment. It’s like the movie Monsters Inc. – what are you going to do if the kids can’t be scared anymore? (In the end Sulley, pictured, found he could produce a lot more energy with laughter than with fear. That’s an important lesson.)

This aspect of sexuality is, on the whole, far less healthy than an appetite for seeing naked bodies, private parts, even things going into things. Fear can be harnessed in sexual play of many kinds, but its abuse is more physically dangerous than, say, voyeurism is. Abusive voyeurism is a Peeping Tom. Abusive fear junkies become sadists, rapists and murderers.

But it’s obvious, from the history of the last few decades, that many of those advocating the elimination of porn have sexual kinks themselves. For some it’s mere repression, but for others it’s a form of sadism. Keeping others down gets them off.

And this sadism, under the guise of moral certitude, is driving much of our sexual law enforcement. Make it dirty, make it forbidden, make it sordid, make it hidden. Then, in the dark, where no one can see, the sadist can do whatever he wants.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | History | Internet | Politics | law | personal

January 21, 2006

Railroaded

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

NOTE: The following entry is being mirrored at the new Infrastructure Held Hostage blog.



old-roundhouse.jpgWe live in an uneasy relationship with the past.Photograph courtesy RPI.)

The whole past is available to us, there to teach us lessons, to give us Clues that can help us avoid yesterday’s mistakes.

We can find multiple analogies within it. While our politics may seem, to some, analogous to those of the early years of the Cold War, in terms of technology they’re far more like those of the early Progressive Era, the early 1900s.

So imagine if the railroads of that time controlled all the roads.

That’s precisely what AT&T and Verizon, aka Bell East and Bell West (making Qwest and BellSouth into Bell North and, what do you know?) are doing to the Internet right now.

Jay Gould should have been so clever.

They’ve gotten away with it (so far) because the Internet uses the old phone network (cars using the old railroad tracks) for transport. As with railroad tracks and cars, the phone network brings irrelevant, even obnoxious, artifacts with it.

Take out the frequencies used for phone calls (which you can easily do with VOIP) and your DSL line could handle up to 7 Mbps down, no problem, without changing out the underlying technology.

Still don’t believe me? If you have a home LAN (and millions do) you’re assigning IP addresses to each PC on the network, creating your own private Internet.

Your transport to the Internet backbone could be delivered just as easily with a cable modem as with the phone.


  • When the cable company offers you phone service they’re not rebuilding the old infrastructure, just modeling it on data.
  • Internet transport could be delivered over power lines, and where my inlaws live, in Flatonia, Texas, it is.
  • Internet transport could even be delivered using radios, through a Wireless ISP (WISP) using the shared unlicensed WiFi frequencies your home network (and garage door opener, and cordless phone) use.

Whether that WiFi cloud is owned by your city or a private company is irrelevant – it would work.

power%20line.jpg
Many large companies create their own networks, linking to the Internet only at competitive peering locations where they can get the best prices on fiber transport. Long distance fiber remains a competitive market (for now). Their fear is that, with so much of the U.S. transport market now held by the Bells, their prices could be squeezed just as yours are.

Given that the cable operators have powerful lobbies, and cable does not cover everyone, the phone companies are, in their own lobbying for privilege, allowing them to exist. It’s also convenient. Their current efforts at “improvement” are aimed solely at delivering TV to homes, as cable does, not at improving Internet service.

By allowing this dual-monopoly on consumer Internet transport, or duopoly, the cable and phone monopolies mask reality. Having a choice between only cable and a Bell for ISP service is like having a choice between only Coke and Pepsi for the liquid you need to live. It’s a false choice.

In his book $200 Billion Broadband Scandal, Bruce Kushnick details how we got from the open, competitive market of 10 years ago to today’s duopoly. But I’m more interested in how we get out of this, and what a truly competitive Internet market might look like.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | e-commerce

January 20, 2006

This Week's Clue: Circuit Breakers

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This week's issue of A-Clue.Com is another one of those policy cum history cum politics ruminations I know some of you don't like.

But it's my newsletter. And some of the subscribers enjoyed this one.

You're invited to join the A-Clue.Com community by clicking this link. Always free.



There are many circuit breakers in life. They all have the same general purpose.

They're there to keep you from getting hurt.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Economics | Futurism | History | Politics | Telecommunications

January 19, 2006

Murder the Beloved Country

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

shalimar%20the%20clown.jpgOne reason I haven't been around much lately is I have been (finally) reading Salman Rushdie's latest 2005 1997classic Shalimar the Clown.

Like all great writers Rushdie tends to be ahead of his time, sometimes far ahead. Just as his Satanic Verses presaged the new Age of Blasphemy, and made Rushdie itself was one of the first victims, so Shalimar describes a national suicide that could yet befall America.

Rushdie's subject is his beloved Kashmir, whose suicide remains an ongoing tragedy. His theme is that intolerance, not tolerance, is the norm, and that no one is immune. His final scene, in fact, takes place in a Beverly Hills bedroom.

There is no way for me to spoil this for you. Rushdie is the greatest writer living in the English language, because he knows so many forms of English. When he writes from India, his sentences are long, filled with the fragrance of allusion, often hilarious. When he writes from America his sentences become shorter, his adjectives fewer, his immigrant wonder clear. When he writes from Europe everything becomes action. I know of no other writer who can truly become different places like that. Some can become different people, Rushdie becomes the flavor of places.

The heart of the book is one page-long paragraph that starts on page 296 of the hard cover edition, after India has decided that the only way to end the crisis over Kashmir is to destroy its people. I'm going to quote only one sentence, and I hope it doesn't violate fair use (because it's a long sentence). Suffice it to say you want to read the first half of the paragraph, along with this, and then you'll be ready for a good, long cry:

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Copyright | History | Journalism | Politics | ethics | fun stuff | personal | war

January 18, 2006

The Video Fiction

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

AN%20OLD%20TV.jpgVideo is NOT the future of the Web. (This picture, by the way, comes from a fine student project at the University of North Carolina on Webcasting rights. Go Tar Heels.)

It’s part of the future, no doubt. It’s even part of the present.

But the assumptions that Internet traffic is growing mainly in response to video, that Internet-capable networks must give video 99% of their capacity, or that Internet Law must be changed to accommodate video are fictions.

The Video Fictions are relics of the pre-Internet age. They’re wrong for three reasons:

  1. Video is passive -- When you’re watching a video you’re watching, you’re not interacting. The Internet is all about interaction. It’s about ideas. It’s about interruptibility. It’s about cutting your attention into as many pieces as you can, multi-tasking in order to do more. Video takes all your attention, and demand for it is limited by audience attention.
  2. Video is expensive -- A quality blog item, like this one, can be created by one person in a few hours. A quality video takes the work of many people over many days, and bad video takes just as much time to make as good video. You can’t have both good video and interactive video. Good video just takes too long to make.
  3. Video has plenty of channels – Most of your cable bill is taken up by worthless nonsense already. There isn’t enough quality programming to fill the DirecTv and Dish Network satellites. Broadcasting has worked for almost 90 years. All these deliver more programming at far less cost than the Internet ever could. The Internet, as a video medium, is best served for tiny niches, with low demand, and it already does this.

The assumption that “the future of the Internet is video” is driving just about all the stupidity we see among big companies and policymakers today.

There are video applications which have value on the Internet, but they don’t need the bandwidth or Quality of Service (QoS) up-sells of true video. Videoconferences are of value (sometimes) and video VOIP calls can be of value (to long-separated family members). But the idea that we need the Internet to watch the same TV that comes to us via satellite and cable is nonsense.

There are also some applications that can use QoS standards, and payments. Interactive games can use QoS, especially when players are going against one another in real time. Medical applications can use QoS, although those applications that really need it should be done in clinics or hospitals with ample bandwidth, not the home.

Meanwhile, there is an enormous, and growing bandwidth shortage in the average Internet home. I face it every day. Why?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Always On | Business Strategy | Consumer Electronics | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | computer interfaces | law

January 17, 2006

Conservative Crackup over Cable?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

A split seems to be developing within the conservative movement over cable policy.

It may be the harbinger of a series of splits on the right over technology. Or it may be nothing.

On the religious side, we have Brent Bozell (phony news a specialty, and if you believe that you're part of the Liberal Media Conspiracy) pushing the idea of a la carte pricing for cable services. This would enable good Christian people to toss not only dirty, smutty HBO but Comedy Central, CNN and TBS out of their homes. They could order just good Christian stations and maybe Turner Classic Movies, plus Fox of course. (The news, not that F/X smut.)

On the corporate side we have Adam Thierer, formerly of the Cato Institute, now of the Bell-funded "Progress & Freedom Foundation", sending otu a "Progress Snapshot" (given the funding maybe it should be a "Regress Rewind") saying bundling is the way to go, and (interestingly) calling out Bozell by name. (Whatever happened to the 11th Commandment of St. Ronnie, boys?)


Ah, the conceit of a regulator and central planner. Mr. Bozell is fine with consumer choices shrinking so long as what's left on the air is the “good programming” that he desires! In the name of “choice,” a la carte advocates will give us fewer choices. But the choices will be “good” ones.


It just goes to show that the fight over a la carte is really a moral battle about what we can see on cable and satellite TV. But Mr. Bozell and many other a la carte crusaders are likely going to be sorely disappointed when the channels that they dislike (such as MTV, F/X, and Comedy Central) survive because they will likely remain very popular, while the channels they think contain “good programming” witness massive price hikes and potentially go under. Some of the most vulnerable programmers to a la carte regulation will be religious and ethnic-focused channels. Without bundling, there probably won't be the audience to support these channels.

He's right, you know. If they didn't force 'em down my throat there are literally dozens of channels I'd love to get off my box. Probably the ones Bozell wants me to watch.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (1) | Category: Politics

January 15, 2006

The Age of Segregation

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

My apologies to regular readers.

Tomorrow is King Day. As an Atlantan, it's a day I take seriously. This essay takes a serious look at the issues arising from Dr. King's life, and the work still unfinished. More tech bloggie goodness will come later.


tv-martin-luther-king-150-9-2-05.jpgI was shocked while watching Meet the Press today.

It was the set-up to an obligatory debate between two black people on the legacy of Dr. King. Marian Wright Edelman was to say that politics were the problem. Dr. John McWhorter was to say the culture and immorality were the problem.

But before they got off their talking points there was Dr. King himself, in a 1967 kinescope, on the same program, with host Lawrence Spivak.

I watched in amazement as Spivak said (and I'm quoting this from memory) “As someone who came up from poverty yourself, why can’t more do what you’ve done?” King responded with his poor people’s agenda, but it was the question that was shocking, not the answer.

Because Dr. King didn’t come up from poverty.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

January 11, 2006

The Content Chimera

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The Media PC ain't gonna happen. The "walled gardens" of the cell companies are going to come down. The telcos' plans in cable are non-starters.

All these huge corporations are subject to the Content Chimera, the idea that networks are pipes for selling content to people, and that it will all "converge" somewhere.

This is nonsense:

  1. TV standards are moving toward those of movies. None of the "Media PC" offerings at CES took HDTV into account.
  2. Networks are not pipes for selling content to people. They are two-way bit pipes. The future is synchronoussymmetrical, not asynchronousassymmetrical.
  3. It's not all going to "converge" in any particular place. We will seek to consumer entertainment where we are, with whatever attention we can give. But we also create, we communicate, we interact. Different levels of attention require different types of devices.

The Content Chimera goes nowhere. It's the technology version of the Oil Chimera that now drives America's relations with the world. The solutions in both cases are remarkably similar.

Interactivity.

The "choke point" for the content market is NOT in production, or distribution, or marketing. It's in each one of us. It's in the time we have to consume, and the attention we can give to creation. Creation of content, by its nature, involves the consumption of older content, and the laws must reflect this, or they're economically non-productive. (Energy creation and consumption must similarly become a two-way street, all of us creating what we can from the Sun or wind or heat around us, and the current grid evolving into something remarkably like the Internet. But that's anoither show.)

So what happens now?

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consumer Electronics | Copyright | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Politics | blogging | computer interfaces | law

January 10, 2006

A Government Action I Like

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Too bad it's not my government.

The Korean government has jawboned an agreement from that nation's mobile operators to get rid of the walled gardens and make mobile Internet service, well, Internet service.

Mike over at TechDirt picked up this story yesterday and noted that Helio, formerly SK Earthlink, could use the lesson to pick up some market share here. He's right.

But the example shows just how far away we are from rational government policy in the U.S., and how easy it would be to make radical improvements with just minor changes to that policy.

If the Bush Administration would put its foot down and DEMAND network neutrality, the Bells would quickly shut up about violating the policy.

If FCC chairman Kevin Martin were to go to the March CTIA convention and say, for instance, that walled gardens are wrong, and that the industry would be wise to do away with them, it would have a major impact. Especially if he were willing to back up his soft words with a big stick.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | cellular | computer interfaces | law | marketing

January 09, 2006

Congress Passes Blatantly Unconstitutional Law Against Internet Speech

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

noid.gifIf Congress thought Netizens were angry before, now we're furious.

Declan McCullagh revealed today that buried inside some must-pass legislation from last year is a provision from Sen. Arlen Spector, chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, that bans all anonymous Internet speech that "annoys."

Annoys? Excuse me? You may not know this, Arlen, but the Federalist Papers were extremely annoying. So were the anti-federalist papers. (You may not have known such existed, but they did.) All of this debate, which is at the heart of our system (and which predates the Bill of Rights, not coincidentally) was conducted anonymously. The Founders rightfully feared legal harassment from the several states for their annoying speech, and kept their names to themselves as they debated the questions publicly. One thing to emerge from all this, of course, was a promise to cofify specific rights of the people, of which Freedom of Speech would come in the First Amendment.

Since then we've had ample precedent and rhetoric upholding the principle that annoying speech, even anonymous annoying speech, is OK. (The legal problem emerges when you get into deliberate falsehoods, into libel or slander, not annoyance.) Among the most recent such defenses is one from Mr. Justice Thomas, in McIntyre vs. Ohio Election Comm., 1995.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | law | personal

January 03, 2006

Diminishing Returns on Spectrum

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

australian%20auction.gifThe U.S. government approved yet-another auction of spectrum last week. (The picture is of bids in an Australian spectrum auction.)

But there's a problem.

The big hoarders of spectrum -- phone companies -- are choking on what they already have. Prices are going to be down.

The key word in the above paragraph is hoarders. The phone companies are acting in regards to spectrum just like teenagers grabbing free music from the Internets. They're barely using what they have.

Consider the MMDS spectrum space. This was originally sold for cable television back in the 1990s. Then it was inherited by Sprint and MCI, for broadband. Is it being used? Uh. no. Yet it's extremely close (just a little "south" in spectrum parlance) to the highly-popular 802.11B region.

What will it take for people to get the hint? You get more economic growth, more innovation, and more taxes, more of everything in the long run, when you deregulate the spectrum, when you allow anyone to use it subject to basic rules on non-interference which can easily be implemented through technology.

Instead, we're getting another auction.

Why?

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (1) | Category: 802.11 | Business Strategy | Economics | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | cellular | computer interfaces

December 29, 2005

End Impeachment Talk Now

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bush%2012-18-05.jpgThere has been some talk on the left calling for the impeachment of President Bush.

That talk should end now.

No competent legal authority has the facts justifying any charge. The Congress is the only such authority, and Congress has not investigated. If Democrats want Congress to investigate they have their whole 2006 campaign.

We'll look into it.

It's all that need be said. When Democrat X stands up to Republican Y, that's all they say. Say, we'll look into it. Does anyone seriously think the present Congress has looked into charges against this President, or that a Republican Congress will? No such promise by any Republican candidate in 2006 has any credibility. So forget everything else this campaign. Just say we'll look into it.

Then, when you're elected, do.

Look into it. Use Congress' power under the Constitution to conduct oversight and investigate all charges against this President and his Administration. Run through the list and look into it.

What will they find? I don't know. Neither do you. Could be simple, honest political disagreements regarding the powers of the President in wartme.

Could be a lot worse.

But Dana, you say, now we're into 2008,. and all we've got is this investigation. Maybe it was stonewalled. Maybe there was no cooperation.

Maybe. Maybe not. But again, the answer is simple. If investigations by a legally constituted Congress can't be made, or if it is found the charges being made today have a basis, then it's clear our system is incompetent to provide justice.

Given the hyper-partisanship that would surround even the words I've written up until now, it is very likely that the American System will prove incapable of finding justice in the case of the People vs. George W. Bush.
icj.gif
So the issue for 2008 (in this theoretical) becomes, what to do?

The answer, transfer it to a competent legal authority. Promise to pass and sign whatever treaties are necessary in order to pass on jurisdiction. Let impartial judges rule. Funding the case should not be a problem.

And if those judges should rule that George W. Bush and all his henchmen have a case to answer for, so be it. Should they find him innocent of all charges, so be it. Should their investigation show there is no case to answer, so be it.

Just look into it and find competent authority to take a case, if there's one to make. Shut up about things you cannot do, or things that wouldn't do any good if you could do them.

And then, at the end of the day, after all sides have been heard, if an international court rules it just...

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Journalism | Politics | law | personal | war

December 28, 2005

Om mane padme WRONG

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

om-malik.jpgI always wanted to write that headline, and finally got the chance today.

Om in this case is Om Malik, whose broadband blog has become one of my regular stops in daily newsgathering.

Om's view? Speed doesn't matter. Who cares if it's 1 Mbps or 2 or 10 or 20? The applications are all the same. What are you going to do with it?

Well in one sense he's right. The faster speeds being sold and claimed by cable and Bell companies right now are bogus. I switched to cable a few months ago and I'm switching back. The cable claims it's running at 5 Mbps, but not really. It's like a hose that sputters and drips. Sometimes it works at that speed, but usually it doesn't. When it comes to such things as latency and real throughput, an ADSL line, like the one I had before, is faster. (I'm sorry Earthlink. I'll hurry home as fast as I can.)

But in the broader sense, he's full of, well, the remains of holiday food. Because just as faster chips meant new applications (and interfaces) in the 1980s and 1990s, so faster broadband can mean that today.

...continue reading.

Comments (13) + TrackBacks (1) | Category: 802.11 | Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Politics | computer interfaces

December 27, 2005

Memo to Soros

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

george%20soros.jpgGeorge Soros (left) has emerged as one of the primary boogeymen of the Right Wing. Not only do the Warbloggers invoke his name in order to justify their continuing to wear Vast Leftwing Conspiracy tinfoil hats, but so do corporate conservatives, who resent his interference in their feeding at the Republican trough, and the scare he helped put into them during 2004.

But in fact Soros has been quiet since Kerry lost. Very quiet. Too quiet. On the whole he's gone back to doing what he did before, make money arbitraging currencies and commodities. This is a noble profession that dates back to the days of George Peabody. (Maybe you heard of the man Peabody left in charge of his enterprises. Junius Morgan. No? How about Junius' son, the one he named for the preacher, J.P.? Getting warmer?)

Anyway, George may be looking for a good, cheap way to turn America into a new, more profitable direction, and here's one right here. Fund TeleTruth.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Internet | Investment | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications | law

December 23, 2005

This Week's Clue: The Spring of Consensus

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Robert_Prechter_small.jpgThis week's issue of A-Clue.Com is my annual Year in Preview essay.

You're invited to join the A-Clue.Com community by clicking this link. Always free.


One problem I have with Robert Prechter's work is its apocalyptic nature. It's the deep breath before the long plunge. The forest is about to burn, the world as we know it about to come to an end.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Economics | Futurism | History | Linux | Politics | war

December 22, 2005

Melinda

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

personsoftheyear.jpgOf all the dumb-ass things Michelle Malkin has ever written (and she does it deliberately) this is the one that got me mad:

Sorry, but Melinda Gates? She marries the software mogul after he has done his greatest work...and that makes her a co-person of the year?

Melinda Gates is more than worthy. She gave humanity to a man who needed it desperately. And in turn she is shaming the rest of us into action (well, those of us with hearts and brains).

What struck me most in Times' cover story is how old Bill looks. He's younger than I am, for gosh sakes! (Oh, right.) His face is lined, his neck is stretched. Only a few pictures showed anything different -- those where he was looking at his wife.

Bill married Melinda rather late. He was 39. It was the year his mom, Mary, passed away. Melinda was a product manager at the company. He was ready. What she saw in the shuffling geek I don't know. It wasn't the money.

Melinda changed Bill into someone Mary would be proud of. She's as bright as he is, but she brought a new perspective to Bill's life, and a moral imperative he had avoided for years. She gave him back his humility, she took him out of his mind and into his heart, a place many geniuses never get to go.


...continue reading.

Comments (7) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Futurism | Journalism | Politics | personal

December 21, 2005

Law & Order Twist in Blackberry Case

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

techdirt.gifThe patent case concerning the RIM Blackberry has taken a twist that could have come out of the TV show Law & Order. You know, those shows where the fights are over which of two adults killed the mistress and it turns out to be one of the kids?

Anyway, Derek at TechDirt reported yesterday that, just as patent claimant NTP was about to turn off Blackberry service in order to enforce its rights, those patents are about to be tossed by the Patent Office.

The USPTO is worried that NTP is winning the court case based on what they now know to be bad patents, but patents which they mistakenly granted. Not only is this massively unfair to RIM, but the credibility of the entire intellectual property system in the US is in jeopardy.

The case points to a need for reform in the patent system, major reform. But that should not start with changing how we apply for patents, or who should win them. It should start with higher fees for patents, which could perhaps be paid out of future revenues, and an immense expansion of the Patent Office's ability to investigate such things as prior art, originality, and editing the patent to cover only the new stuff -- no more broad claims.

Think it will happen?

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consumer Electronics | Economics | Investment | Politics | Science | law

December 19, 2005

The Terrorists Won

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bush%2012-18-05.jpgThis is an easy call to make.

When you’re terrorized, the terrorists have won. And Americans remain terrorized.

When a democracy is spying on its own people, when it claims the right to do this with impunity, when it’s attacking the right of college students to research history, when it claims the power of the executive is absolute, when it is engaging in torture, you can bet that democracy is terrorized.

When the supporters of a government call the other side “traitor” and mean it they’re scared. That’s the goal of terrorism, to scare you, to force you to become the evil they see in you, to make you unhinged.

Americans today are unhinged.

This has been a natural over-reaction in America since its foundation. We acted like Communists in the name of stopping Communism, engaged in ethnic cleansing in the name of stopping Fascism, we forced people into the Army at the point of a gun to fight slavery. We even, in the earliest years of the Republic, copied the worst excesses of the British system because we hated them so much.

It’s called projection. We copy our enemies thinking they are better, that they might have a point, that they might be right. We punish ourselves, we engage in proxy wars, we burn down the villages in order to save them.

When it’s over we always apologize, and the world always seems to forgive us. But the world never really trusts America. The world does not believe in American Exceptionalism, except as it refers to our exceptional military, with its exceptional soldiers, who will do the impossible or die trying. At this point, only Americans believe American rhetoric anymore, and as the terrorism continues those numbers keep dwinding.

Power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. It’s true for politicians. But it’s also true for nations. Corruption isn’t just driven by greed. It’s also a product of fear, and when fear becomes paranoia the corruption does indeed become absolute.

Nations suffer under corruption, regardless of its cause. They lose power. Their economies lose steam. Their people lose faith. Their armies become occupiers, and are treated as such.

In 1946 James Cagney starred in a movie called 13_rue_madeleine, as an OSS agent behind enemy lines in France. What he’s engaged in, primarily, is terrorism – blowing up bridges, harassing the enemy. He wants them to send people behind the lines and worry about him so there will be fewer troops at the front lines.

He is, in other words, a terrorist. And America has always engaged in terrorism as a technique of war. Jimmy Doolittle's raid on Tokyo in 1942 had no military value. It was terrorism, an attack on civilians. And it was glorious.

You can’t really beat terrorism once it’s in your heart. You can only beat it within your heart.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | blogging | law | personal | war

December 16, 2005

This Week's Clue: Slouching Toward Armageddon

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This week's issue of A-Clue.Com is my annual Year in Review essay.

You're invited to join the A-Clue.Com community by clicking this link. Always free.


bush%20bubble%20newsweek_cover.jpgThere are many forms of depression.

There's the economic kind.

There's the personal kind.

There's also the political kind. It's this last America is suffering from right now. Left and right are reacting to one another with anger and hatred, while the rest shake their heads and mutter curses on both.

When this era is over, and we're able to get all the facts on it, we may conclude that George W. Bush and his minions were truly alien to the American culture. We may find that he stole both his elections (and others), that he corrupted our entire system -- economic, tax, spending, judicial, media - that he worked systematically all his life to destroy America and replace it with his own warped Theocratic Fascism.

That view will be wrong.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Economics | History | Journalism | Politics | ethics | law | personal | war

December 15, 2005

Nationalize the Phone Network

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

leakyrowboat.jpgIt's a crazy notion that is going nowhere.

But it would solve a lot of problems, most especially for the Bells, who would be the idea's staunchest opponents, if it were proposed. (It's not being proposed. I'm just blogging here. This is a thought experiment.)

The problem is there is billions of dollars in copper infrastructure that is becoming worthless faster than the loans made to build it can be paid off. This fact is the elephant in the room no one wants to talk about.

So throw those assets, and the debt behind them, into a pot. Sign yearly management contracts with the present owners (mainly the Bells) to keep those assets going.

Then anyone who wants to build on those assets (including the Bells) or provide services using those assets (like ADSL) can do so without discrimination. The Bells no longer have an incentive to stifle competition. They do have an incentive to build, to build fiber, to build what amounts to a cable system, because every dime they use in that effort is a new dime, and every dime that comes in as a result of that effort is their dime.

The Bells would all create management arms, and cash flow from the contracts. But the corporation as a whole would have a different set of incentives. It would want those costs kept down. It would be pushing all its assets into advanced services, and seeing the management company as a cash drain. Fine. If they try to starve the management company, there would be a process by which customers could complain and have a new manager appointed.

Why should the Bells agree to this?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Digital Divide | Economics | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | fun stuff | personal

December 14, 2005

The Right Way to Economic Development

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

jeff%20skolnick.jpgThis month Atlanta lost Rafael Furcal to a $40 million LA Dodger contract, but picked up Jeffrey Skolnick for $7 million.

I'd say we came out ahead. Skolnick is a leader in bioinformatics, the use of computer technology to model biological processes and steer research toward breakthroughs. Furcal is a good shortstop, but that's about it.

I'm being a bit flip here. The point is that cities and states are bound to do better going after academic superstars than sports stadia or fading industries. Yet most deals are aimed at sports stadia or fading industries.

Georgia, for instance, put over $180 million in tax revenue into building Philips Arena, where the elite eat sushi in luxury boxes lining one side, while the rest pile into seats on the other. They are offering all sorts of tax breaks to Ford if it will keep its Hapeville assembly plant open.

But for $5 million in laboratory expenses and $2 million for an endowed chair (some of it privately-funded) Georgia gets Skolnick, along with 19 colleagues and $1.5 million in grant money. Not a bad deal.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consulting | Futurism | Investment | Politics | Science | medicine

December 09, 2005

This Week's Clue: Kilby's Law

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

In this week's issue of A-Clue.Com we take a new look at Moore's Law, the process that stimulated The Blankenhorn Effect: How to Make Moore's Law Work for You. I come to some new conclusions, about this and other things.

You're invited to join the A-Clue.Com community by clicking this link. Always free.


kilby.jpgWe live in an analog world.

Moons cycle around planets cycling around Suns cycling around the black holes of galactic cores.

Electromagnetic waves cycle in frequencies ranging from visible color and sound through invisible radio frequencies reaching toward infinite speeds.

We live our lives in cycles, from youth and strength to decay and death. Yet DNA assures that death is always replaced by birth. Evolution continues, species cycling through.

Our digital age masks this, in our time, by delivering binary on-off, yes-no choices. Most analysts think the Intel microprocessor is the most vital part of our era, but that's wrong. The most vital part is the Texas Instruments Digital Signal Processor (DSP), which let us model the analog world much as calculus lets us model curves into algebraic forms.

Since the 1980s DSPs have worked their magic in real time, compounding the impact of Moore's Law, giving it depth and dimension in the analog realm. Perhaps the biggest mistake I made in my book "The Blankenhorn Effect" (other than the title) was not naming this Kilby's Law, after TI's Jack Kilby.

Now that we can model and even accelerate analog change through Moore's and Kilby's Laws, it's time to take the blinders off the way we've thought of change and the future.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Economics | Futurism | History | Journalism | Moore's Lore | Politics | law | personal

December 06, 2005

Point of Personal Privilege: -ic

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

lefty%20donkey.jpgMuch of the disrespect found in American politics today can be traced to two letters -- ic.

The letters come on the end of the name of the current opposition party. It's the Democratic Party. Democrats belong to the Democratic Party.

Yet for many years I've seen conservative Republicans call their opponents the Democrat Party. The -ic is usually dropped right at the point of personal insult.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | personal

December 05, 2005

What The World of Always On Needs Now

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

internet%20of%20things%20itu.jpgThe International Telecommunications Union has released a full report on what I've been calling The World of Always On, which they call The Internet of Things.

The report correctly identifies the biggest problem, user acceptance:

Concerns over privacy and data protection are widespread, particularly as sensors and smart tags can track a user’s movements, habits and preferences on a perpetual basis. Fears related to nanotechnology range from bio medical hazards to robotic control.

None of these are unreasonable fears. Addressing them requires acceptance of some very new, and important societal values:

  • Privacy
  • Personal control of personal data

These must be enforceable to have meaning. The technology and tools for all this have been around for years now, but the business has not gone anywhere because no country on the face of the Earth has yet accepted the fact that it must give up absolute rights to its citizens' data before people can trust the technology enough to use it.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Futurism | Moore's Lore | Politics | Security | Semiconductors | Software | Telecommunications | cellular | law | personal

Good News From New Orleans

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

novodevichy_tower_lg.jpgNew Orleans has become the first U.S. city to escape the Bell Gulag.(That's the Novodevichy Tower in Russia to the left. Figured you were tired of Bell logos.)

It is doing this by building a WiFi network in defiance of a hissy-fit from BellSouth, the local monopoly.

Here it is, straight from The Washington Post:

Hours after New Orleans officials announced Tuesday that they would deploy a city-owned, wireless Internet network in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, regional phone giant BellSouth Corp. withdrew an offer to donate one of its damaged buildings that would have housed new police headquarters, city officials said yesterday.

According to the officials, the head of BellSouth's Louisiana operations, Bill Oliver, angrily rescinded the offer of the building in a conversation with New Orleans homeland security director Terry Ebbert, who oversees the roughly 1,650-member police force.

BellSouth disputes this, and claims negotiations are ongoing. But the best thing for New Orleans to do right now is hang tough.


...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Politics | Telecommunications

November 24, 2005

The al-Jazeerah Story

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

aljazeera.jpgI don't know, frankly, whether President Bush sought to bomb Qatar in order to destroy al-Jazeerah TV.

But the way this story has been reported, and not reported, makes me question just how freedom-loving the U.S. and Britain really are.

Let me summarize that:


  • The story has been virtually ignored by the U.S. press. It has been left to political blogs to carry it forward.
  • The British government is prosecuting those who leaked the story under its Official Secrets Act, and the BBC has given it no coverage, making it appear to be a government propaganda organ.

Clearly there is circumstantial evidence for the charge. The agency's offices in Afghanistan and Baghdad were bombed. Both times the U.S. claimed it was an accident. The U.S.-backed government in Baghdad later kicked Al-jazeerah out of the country. The U.S. said Iraq was acting on its own.

But the direct evidence of a 2004 memo on the subject of bombing Al-Jazeerah's main office in Doha, Qatar, if it's real, shows George W. Bush to be nothing more than Saddam Hussein in a business suit. Add the use of white phosphorous (it's a chemical weapon), the horrors of Abu Ghraib, the Cheney fight to maintain torture as an option, and impartial observers will draw their own conclusion.

The point is, simply, that this was an important story.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | law | war

November 18, 2005

Open Source Political Opportunity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

boycott-riaa.jpgThe year 2006 is shaping up to be a bad political year for incumbents, a good one for challengers of all sorts.

It may be the best opportunity ever to end the Copyright Wars and gain political neutrality (at least) for issues like unlicensed spectrum (WiFi) and open source.

Challengers may have Karl Rove's K Street Project to thank for this chance. As soon as Bush took office, Rove began pressing lobbyists to end their even-handed treatment of the parties and put all their eggs in the Republican basket. The result is most corporate lobbies are locked-in to supporting GOP incumbents, which until now let them write their own tickets.

But in a democracy political winds shift. Democrats are not interested in doing lobbyists any favors, even with the wind at their backs.
markos2.jpg
And Democratic challengers may be downright antagonistic, especially if they come to office as so-called "netroots" candidates. That's because one of the main policy differences between Washington and the netroots involves technology policy, such issues as copyright, network neutrality, and competition for broadband.

But that's not all.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Politics | blogging | law

November 15, 2005

Give Me Hotzones or Give Me Death

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Patrick%20Henry.gifThere's a lot of hyperbole there. (Patrick Henry, right, was nothing if not hyperbolic.)

But the fact is that the tools and technologies needed to create a "hot zone" -- an area that can get 802.11 wireless coverage -- keeps going down.

There is no need for such zones to be defined by political boundaries. There is no need for there to be just one such network in an area. There are tons of places near me that have multiple networks in reach. That's the beauty of the unlicensed band.

What you need to deliver a HotZone to a corner, a neighborhood, or a development are:

The biggest danger to this vision is coming, the mergers of local and Internet backhaul outfits to be known as Verizon and AT&T.

If those companies are allowed to consolidate and control Internet backhaul and sell it through an eye-dropper, as they now sell broadband through an eye-dropper, then they can halt the American wireless revolution in its tracks.

But there's a dirty little secret for these boys.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Business Models | Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Internet | Investment | Moore's Lore | Politics | Telecommunications

Phishing and Terrorism

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

john%20robb.JPGJohn Robb, at his Global Guerillas site, today has one of his most fascinating posts yet, a comparison between terrorism networks and phishing networks.

He starts with an analysis of the phishing business from Chris Abad of Cloudmark, which found that its vertical integration is very loose. Instead it consists of specialists in various horizontal skills -- mass e-mail, templates, chat rooms, fences - which individual gangs then put together. Then he notes this is just the way the IED market is run in Iraq.

The result is intense competition at each stage of the supply chain, and incredibly low prices for phishers and terrorists. A terrorist can get an IED to blow up an American convoy for just $50.

The bazaar for such transactions is the key. It's virtual.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (1) | Category: Digital Divide | Internet | Politics | Security | law | spam | war

November 14, 2005

War Among the Democrats

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This is another one of my political analyses. Please go elsewhere for tech bloggie goodness.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

November 11, 2005

Analysts, Advocates and Journalists

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

thinksecret.pngThe real difference between mere "blogging" and "journalism" is a functional one.

And here is the test. What does the opinionated blogger do when the story goes against them?

Analysts cover the story. They may or may not admit to error, but they write through the pain. The real journalists among them put their feelings about the event completely aside, they go into the winner's locker room, they get the quotes, they describe what happened, and (based on the facts they gathered) they help the reader or viewer understand what may happen next.

The advocates drift away. They change the subject. They're full of "oh, yeah" because they were never in the fight to begin with, just in the crowd.

There are many people who are paid to do journalism who are, in fact, merely doing advocacy today. They're the columnists who write about something else when events go the other way. I find such behavior all over the blogosphere -- liberals who were quiet through November 2004, conservatives who are now silent on the Administration's scandals. I also find it in the nation's biggest newspapers, and on the TV news.

Advocates wait for the talking points, or they change the subject and keep attacking rather than dealing with what anyone else may be saying.

Analysts admit defeat, and try to see what is next.

Journalists act like they don't care, and that's a good thing. They look for facts, they write up what they find, and they move on.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | personal

November 08, 2005

Democracy vs. Consensus

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

un%20san%20francisco.pngAmericans idolize democracy. It is, as Winston Churchill observed, the worst political system possible, except for all others.

In a democracy forging a majority gives you power. The system is stable because majorities shift. People change their minds over time and give power to other leaders. Coalitions are flexible.

But democracy is not the only way to run a free system. Consensus is the alternative.

With consensus a mere majority won't create action. Minority groups must agree to accept a solution as well.

The United Nations runs based on consensus. To Americans this explains its general inaction and irrelevance. But the UN actually does a lot of good work. Blue-helmeted UN troops are familiar scenes in world trouble spots, once both sides in a conflict agree to their appearance. UN agencies do a lot of good work in health and global development. It's not "world government" -- far from it -- but it's not irrelevant.

The Internet also runs based on consensus. The "governing entity" -- ICANN -- is nearly powerless. Every country agrees to use the same DNS, the same IP addressing systems (IPv6 is backward-compatible with IPv4), and the same economic model. The "threat" of WSIS is that the consensus may be broken leaving us, in time, with multiple Internets that don't communicate.

Open source is also driven by consensus. You don't have majority rule in an open source project, that's a recipe for a fork. What you have is either a dictatorship, in which one company or developer group exercises control of the whole, or true consensus, in which developers get together (usually online) and agree on priorities, and on how to divvy up the work.

This is at the heart of a great deal of misunderstanding. Some Americans confuse consensus with Communism. Some of that confusion comes from proprietary software FUD, some from a raw ideology that rivals Leninism (in my view). Some is simply honest head-scratching.
tim%20oreilly203.jpg
Tim O'Reilly has spent much of his career fighting the misunderstanding. He's fighting it today in a BBC interview. He describes it in terms of the evolution of capital, of value moving from hardware (the IBM era) to software (the Microsoft era) to services (the Google era).

What really separates open source from proprietary models, however, lies in how it harnesses altruism. "I believe that the human motive to share is very powerful," O'Reilly told the BBC's Bill Thompson. "The human motive to profit is also very powerful and I think that the profit motive and the sharing motive are not exclusive." The idea that they are is the FUD O'Reilly fights every day.

The battles over open source, and the lessons from that battle, are now spilling into the common political sphere.

...continue reading.

Comments (6) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | law | war

Bush and Gates

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

MalariaHP.jpgWhen exchanging e-mails I am struck by how support for Microsoft seems to correlate with support for the Bush Administration.

It's not just the numbers, but the rhetoric. When people talk negatively about Microsoft they often use the same language, and make similar charges, as made by the Administration's opponents. Supporters of Microsoft don't always make that connection. Right now, Bill Gates is far more popular than George W. Bush.

Gates has always cloaked his personal politics in secrecy. He doesn't go to fundraisers. His foundation supports causes like health and education that some would consider liberal. The illustration, for instance, is from his foundation's home page. (Then again, Gordon Moore's foundatoin also focuses on environmental and health causes, and he's a reliable Republican.)

The politics of Microsoft seem to have shifted during the 1990s and over one issue, Microsoft. The Clinton Administration pursued the anti-trust case. Republicans opposed the prosecution, and it was quietly drop after Bush took office.

...continue reading.

Comments (7) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Politics

November 07, 2005

The End of Online Freedom?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

left%20blogistan.jpgThe failure of the Online Freedom of Speech Act has provoked intense anger in Left Blogistan (pictured), directed mainly at its own representatives in Congress, and those interest groups supporting "government reform."

It's easily dismissed as a left-wing copy of the right's anger over the Miers nomination, except that while Bush eventually pulled Miers and gave the right what it wanted, liberal bloggers are not going to get what they want, which is an exemption from the demands of the McCain-Feingold Act.

The rage is especially acute against the Pew Charitable Trusts, which worked with other liberal foundations to pass campaign reform and then beat back the Online Freedom of Speech Act. For the first time, liberal bloggers are comparing Pew with the right-wing Scaife, Olin and Heritage Foundations, and not in a good way either.

Regulations for the Internet under McCain-Feingold have not yet been finailized, and while the left rages, let me offer another view..

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Digital Divide | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | law

November 02, 2005

The Second Great Reversal

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There was a reversal in American politics during the 20th century. Democrats went from Woodrow Wilson's racism to Bill Clinton's liberalism. Republicans went from being the Party of Lincoln to the Party of Reagan.

We may be seeing a second reversal here in the early 21st century. Republicans who once preached deregulation are now micro-managing the market and defying science. Democrats who urged regulation are now calling for it to end and embracing technology.

The reasons for this reversal come down to money and power Republicans see money as fueling their power. Democrats are stuck relying on bits. But bits can set you free.

bob%20frankston.gifBob Frankston's latest essay, called "Reality vs Regulation," illustrates this profound shift. Copyright and telecomm businesses threatened by rapid change have gone to Washington, campaign contributions in hand, to halt technology in its tracks. Moore's Laws of fiber, storage and radios, on the other hand, have moved us from an age of information scarcity to one of abundance.

Until this week, however, the rhetoric had not decisively shifted. Republican regulators still pretended to be in the deregulation business. Democrats were calling mainly for different regulations, not deregulation.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications

November 01, 2005

Cops vs. Robbers

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Cops_Robbers.jpgSome recent posts at Techdirt have me thinking of some basic questions, about the pace of change and the continuing battle between cops and robbers.

In successive entries, we have dismissal of new anti-crime ideas from the banking industry, copyright cops taking on tricks of online robbers, and the same industry trying to push DRM technology onto analog devices. (I know, the order should be reversed, because the last item was written first, and the first last, but what can you do?)

In many ways robbers have natural advantages over cops in technology crime. Cops have to stop everything. Robbers only have to succeed once. But that's misleading, because once a robber is caught they're "in the system" -- you only have to be caught a few times to have your life ruined.

Robbers can also use many open source advantages, sharing tips freely while cops obsess over secrecy, engaging in innovation while cops have to maintain standards.

These are some of the concepts John Robb deals with in his Global Guerillas blog. How popular must an uprising become before it becomes impossible to take down? Put in terms of more ordinary crime, how many must oppose a law before it becomes virtually unenforceable?

What cops, and civilization, fear more than anything else is that the answer to that question drops as technological sophistication rises. They see civilization as digital, either existing or not existing.

This is the great false assumption of our time. It's false in two ways.

First, technology does increase the need for consensus, rather than narrow majorities, in order to hold society together, because the percentage of "objectors" needed to threaten society does go down as technological sophistication increases. This is not a bad thing. In fact, consensus is far more stable than democracy. Consensus is what keeps the Internet together.

Second, civilization is analog, not digital. The alternative to the absolute triumph of law and order is not chaos. We're talking about a much more complex structure. A certain amount of chaos must be acceptable in order for progress to continue. Shrinkage is natural. We work to balance shrinkage with costs in all our enforcement efforts. It's the only rational way to go.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Moore's Lore | Politics | Security | law | war

Net Neutrality Will Triumph

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

at%26t%20logo.JPGA lot of people are (rightfully) upset over SBC CEO Ed Whitacre's recent statements dismissing the concept of network neutrality.

Given that SBC will take the AT&T name once its merger with that company is complete it has many fearfully humming the theme from "Empire Strikes Back," seeing the Death Star in the sky again, preparing to see the Internet lights turned off all over the world. (The song is now a favorite of every Enormous State University band, usually played in the Third Quarter as Little Sisters of the Poor are crushed.)

Frankly, Mr. Whitacre is an idiot. There are many reasons why net neutrality, and not paid content access, will triumph in the U.S.:


  • Google is one of the largest owners of dark fiber in the world. That's what their San Francisco WiFi bid is really all about. They need to fill that fiber, and WiFi can easily render wired phones (and lines) obsolete.
  • Sprint has some interesting deals going with cable companies that create a "triple play" with cable networks combining phone, mobile, and television service. Network neutrality in that offering could cause millions to switch off their phones.
  • Level 3 can easily link their fiber backhaul capacity to new providers via WiFi and WiMax, delivering another alternative for consumers.
  • People aren't stupid. Consumers understand what the concept of network neutrality means. If it's threatened they will demand it from regulators and Congress.
  • The U.S. is an increasingly small portion of the Internet. Continued slow growth will make the U.S. an economic backwater, and people know that.

...continue reading.

Comments (6) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Economics | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | e-commerce | marketing

Still the Economy, Stupid

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

debtmountain1.gifExcuse me if I take politics off for a while. (Picture from Estelle Carol of EstelleGraphics.)

Despite the excitement both sides feel toward political minutia, politics is still generally driven by the economy. Without profound economic change there is no real political turmoil, just the appearance of such created by politicians, pundits, and a press that demands stories.

For the last quarter, officially, GDP was up 3.8%. (Actually, it was up at an annual rate of 3.8%, but that's how it was reported.) Sounds good. Is good. Employment is even up in Silicon Valley. It's not the go-go 1990s, but then what is?

On the other hand we already know what will cause the next recession. Debt. The world economy is running on twin Ponzi schemes right now -- our willingness to create debt, China's willingness to buy debt. Those trends can't continue indefinitely. China's currency must rise in value to reflect the country's holdings of our assets, and our currency must be devalued to reflect our Peronist economic policy.

There is no such thing as a "soft landing" from that unwinding. There are literally trillions of dollars in real estate debt whose holders think it's backed by the U.S. government, but isn't really. (It's backed by two quasi-government agencies, FNMA and FHLMC.) Popping that bubble will make the dot-bomb look like a picnic.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Politics | Telecommunications

October 31, 2005

The Return of AT&T

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Frankenstein.gifHiow is this for a Halloween story?

Like Frankenstein's monster, AT&T is coming back from the dead.

The genesis of this stupidity is probably the old North Carolina National Bank. It acquired dozens of banks, large and small, and became NationsBank. That was a new, powerful brand. Then it acquired the Bank of America, based in San Francisco. After the deal was done it took that name. Now, in downtown Charlotte, there are homages to the old BofA on the cornices of its downtown office campus, along with some of its other kills. The bank thinks it's a nod to history, but I think it's more like the old hunter who puts deer heads on his wall.

In this case, it's SBC chairman Ed Whitacre who has the big ambition. He thinks that, by using the AT&T name, he can inherit the Bell System and, eventually, recreate it. Put back together what was torn asunder, only this time with no regulation, no controls, all powerful.

And in control of your Internet.

In his first move with the power of AT&T, Whitacre wants to start charging sites rent in order to reach his customers. Forget network neutrality. Forget about the nature of the Internet, which is that users route around attempts at control. If you're using SBC (excuse me, AT&T) DSL, Ed Whitacre will decide what sites you can see, what services you can use, what protocols you can support. My guess is he won't start by demanding rents from Google. He may go after smaller sites, like Corante, first, in order to set the precedent. But this is his promise.

This is the way Bellheads think, and it's good to get it out in the open. It's all about control of the customer, total control. Whitacre seems under the impression that today's political status quo will survive forever, that he will be allowed to control his customers as he wants.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | e-commerce

October 25, 2005

Rich and Poor

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

david_spade_capital_one.jpgOnce there were three classes in America. Now there are two.

You are rich or you are poor.

How do we tell the difference? It's quite easy:


  • In the 19th century the rich were fat. Prosperity meant you had enough to eat.
  • In the 20th century the rich were thin. Prosperity meant you could control what you ate.
  • In the 21st century the rich can age.

It's access to health care that now divides the rich from the poor. If you've got a good health care plan, or can even afford to go beyond it for cash, you're rich.

If you can't, you're poor. Are you in an HMO that says "no" like one of David Spade' s Capital One ads? You're poor. Are you attracted by these new "pretend health care plans" that say if you're young and healthy you've got "found money" and you don't have to pay for others' problems? You're poor. Work for Wal-Mart and you're not a manager? Don't let their adoption of their own "pretend" plan kid you, nor their talk of how you're an "associate," you're poor.

The divide -- the key to the divide -- lies in preventive care. Specifically the drugs you need to stay out of the hospital.

I'm lucky. I'm rich. Thanks to my wife, and her health care plan, I can get Lipitor for my cholesterol, Diovan for my blood pressure. My son can control his anger, my daughter can control her acne. We even have eyeglasses and regular dental check-ups.

I know, wow. If she left me, or were fired tomorrow, I'd be on the other side of the divide within moments. My prosperity rests on a knife edge. We call this middle class.


...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Journalism | Politics | Science | medicine | personal

October 19, 2005

Is the Blogosphere Really Better?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The question is serious.

I have seen a ton of blogs lately which have all the pretentiousness, all the assumed (rather than earned) authority, and all the tone-deafness to reality of anything in the so-called Main Stream Media they're criticizing.

We live in a time of immense selfishness, and hollow ethics. This is true in both parties. This is also true in all media -- including the blogosphere.

Just because reporting is "open source" does not mean you believe all sources. It means you take responsibility, as part of the conversation.

An example follows.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | personal

October 18, 2005

The Indian Invasion of America

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

geronimo.jpgNOTE: The following is meant for the coming launch of a local start-up. (I'll tell you when.) So it's a preliminary draft. Your thoughts and brickbats are all appreciated.


Next time some Mexican is blowing leaves around your house, look him in the eye. Look closely at his face, his nose, his lips, his hair, his skin color.


...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 07, 2005

This Week's Clue: Second Acts

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

We all grow older, even tech executives. And this week, my free weekly newsletter, A-Clue.Com offers some thoughts on that. (Subscribe here.)

Think of it as another product of...the aging process (you should live so long).

Enjoy.


web 20 conference.gif
I have been thinking a lot about second acts lately.

Part of it is my work with Voic.Us. I'm having to become a system administrator, at least part-time. I am trying to recruit a staff, some paid and some not. I'm trying to be an executive.

These are roles I never took on before. I wrote about them, I critiqued them, but I never had to play them before. And there are times when they make me tired.
steve_jobs_150x200.jpg
There are other reasons, on my regular tech beat, for me to think of second acts. The great tech companies founded by my generation - Microsoft, Dell, Apple - are all into the second act thing these days. Apple's is highly successful, as Steve Jobs has become a consumer electronics mogul, a content gatekeeper. Microsoft's second act has not been so successful. Bill Gates keeps fiddling with the deck chairs, and in the latest fiddling a guy near my age, Jim Allchin, found himself forced into retirement.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | Security | blogging | ethics | fun stuff | personal

October 04, 2005

More on The Internet Break-Up

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Paul vixie.jpgDiscussion of the possible DNS fork by the UN or ITU continues on Dave Farber's always interesting Interesting People list. (And if Dave Coursey doesn't like it, he can leave.)

Perhaps the most interesting comment was this from Paul Vixie, father of BIND:

I've pondered the meaning of all of this within the context of the dns protocol and of my company's open source
implementation of that protocol, and I think I can see a way to define and support alternate roots in a way that will reduce their chaos -- but not their harm. Given that the US-DoC/VeriSign/ICANN trinity pursuing "a policy contrary to their own interests" and that the inevitable result of this will be hundreds if not thousands of chaotically interrelated dns namespaces, i'm ready to consider ways that DNS and BIND might be extended to make that inevitable condition less painful to live in.

But if i do it, it will be with rage in my heart against hose who could have helped us preserve name universality but who squandered that opportunity for short term political or financial gain. (Emphasis mine.)

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications

October 03, 2005

This Week's Clue: George Lindsay

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This week's issue of my free weekly newsletter, A-Clue.Com, was closer to the subject of this blog, talking about international economics. (Subscribe here.)

Enjoy.


john lindsay.jpgIt's a special responsibility to have a reserve currency. (The picture is of the late John V. Lindsay (1921-2000), Mayor of New York from 1966-1974.)

The honor is not lightly given. History requires liquidity, military power and a reputation for sobriety before it grants the honor. The honor, once lost, can never be reclaimed.

Until the 19th century gold was the world's reserve currency. The British pound became a reserve currency only because it was believed to be tied to gold. Precious metals make good reserves because their supply is fairly fixed. They're difficult to mine and extract. Gold's ability to serve as a reserve currency in this century is being undermined, in part, by new chemical mining techniques which dramatically increase yields.

The American Indians' reserve currency of choice until the 17th century, wampum made from mother-of-pearl, was undermined by the western invention of a machine that let colonists mass produce the stuff.

The lesson is simple. A reserve currency must be supply-constrained. If it can be inflated, if it is over-inflated, it pops and ceases to have value.

The U.S. dollar has been the international reserve currency since 1945. Spending produced liquiity, our armed forces brought us victory, and our central bankers knew to take the punch bowl away when the party got going.

Democrats lost the faith of the world's other central bankers during Vietnam. By spending on both guns and butter we ran what looked like large deficits. The first Nixon budget showed a surplus. Democrats have never recovered that faith. Even the reign of Clinton was accompanied by the conservative Republican Alan Greenspan running our central bank, the Federal Reserve. By the 1990s there was no real alternative to the dollar as a reserve currency.


...continue reading.

Comments (9) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: B2B | Economics | Investment | Politics | Security

October 02, 2005

Race to the Bottom

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bugs bunny elmer fudd.jpgThe U.S. and China are in a Bugs Bunny situation.

You've seen it. Two characters are falling through the air, but they are still fighting over which one will hit the gruond first, Galileo be damned.

In the cartoon, one character "wins" (always the protagonist) and the other goes splat.

In real life, it doesn't matter much which one reaches the bottom first. They're both going down.

The U.S. and China are the cartoon characters, the fall is history's greatest ponzi scheme. The U.S. imports goods and exports debt, while China imports debt and exports goods. Both sides pretend to be growing, and that growth is used to prop up corrupt regimes. In fact the U.S. debts can't be paid without destroying the currency, and the Chinese government is still losing the race against its own people.

I reflected on all this today on reading an AP story on China's new "Internet controls." The story stated "The government says there were 74,000 major protests last year nationwide." Most were over corruption, the seizing of private land (Chinese peasants don't like Kelo either), and pollution.

These protests are happening, and growing, despite an increasingly-restrictive Internet censorship regime. But the logic of that regime is self-defeating. You can't control thoughts. You certainly can't both control thought and increase prosperity. Not for long.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Investment | Politics | Security

This Tower of Babel Has Fallen

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

tower-of-babel-dark-big.jpgI'm about to go off on the Bush Administration again, but at least this time it's on a subject near to this blog's stated purpose.

Some days I think George W. Bush was imposed on us by our enemies. If there were a Manchurian Candidate, he is doing that candidate's bidding.

Our brave armies have been destroyed in Iraq. Our budget has gone from surplus to unrecoverable deficit, and our currency is heading south. The Gulf Coast lies in ruins while a system of kleptocracy that would make Vladimir Putin blush rules in Washington.

And now the Internet's gone.

What follows is from Milton Mueller of Internet Governance:

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law | personal | war

September 30, 2005

Internet War Begins...in the U.S.?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

KeystoneKops.jpgThe Internet War we've warned about here for years has begun, but in a most unexpected way.

While most attention was being placed on the UN and ITU, which were making noises about seizing control of Internet resources, perhaps by building their own DNS root servers, a private U.S. company just went up and did it.

The company is Neustar, and they have created a root DNS server for their .gprs domain, which will serve the mobile phone industry. (Warning -- that link above is to a PDF file.)

NOTE: As reader Jesse Kopelman has correctly noted, this action was taken on behalf of the GSM Association, a trade group of mobile operators based in London. Here's their press release. Essentially, the GSM Association has created its own private Internet. And no one has done anything about it.

Tne Neustar move is a direct challenge to ICANN, which previously approved a domain for mobile phone services called .mobi. But carriers may prefer the Neustar "solution," as it might enable them to control what users have access to on "their" Internet, and to shakedown information providers wishing to be accessed. A private Internet with private gatekeepers. Is this what the government meant when it said it preferred private control to government?

Meanwhile, the U.S. government (a Mack Sennett production) was attacking EU proposals to even consider obsoleting ICANN. "Some countries want that. We think that's unacceptable," said Ambassador David Gross, the US coordinator for international communications and information policy at the State Department.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Economics | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | cellular | law | war

September 29, 2005

Dean's Choice

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

howard dean 2.jpgWhile everyone in Washington is talking today about Tom DeLay, I want to talk about Howard Dean.

The office of party chairman has devolved into that of a water carrier. The elected leaders of the party give the leader his marching orders, and he duly carries them out.

Dean accepted the job, but did he accept the role?

Right now, Democrats desperately need to hear someone sound the call, clearly and unequivocally. Elected Democrats aren't sounding that call. Too many of them took too much corporate money for far too long.

Howard Dean represented reform in 2004, and if he doesn't represent it in 2005 then his party will stand for nothing, and deserve its own destruction.

.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 25, 2005

This Week's Clue: Back to the 60s

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There's more politics in this week's issue of my free weekly newsletter, A-Clue.Com. (Subscribe here.)

This time with more historical perspective.

Enjoy. Or move on.


At some point it becomes apparent that a generation's political assumptions don't work anymore.

This point is often where that generation has reached the zenith of its power, where the assumptions seem least open to question.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | personal

September 20, 2005

Who Will Audit the Red Cross?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

NOTE: A few days after this appeared the Los Angeles Times published a long opinion piece calling the Red Cross a "Money Pit.".
redcrosslogo.jpgEveryone is on the Red Cross bandwagon these days.

But that was not the case before Katrina. The Red Cross was fiercely criticized for its reaction to 9-11. The criticism was bipartisan.

All was forgotten once Katrina hit. The only alternatives offered for giving wre overtly-religious organizations, ranging from the Salvation Army to Pat Robertson's Operation Blessing (number two on the Administration's hit parade).

Besides, you've got to figure, this was really more up the Red Cross' alley than 9-11, which in the end only took out the center of a well-insured central city, and completely displaced only a few tens of thousands. This was different, not just New Orleans but the parishes around it, and Mississippi all the way up to Jackson.

So how are they doing?

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | History | Politics | medicine

September 19, 2005

Gittin' While the Gittin's Good

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

joebarton.jpgThe winds of change are blowing hurricane-force in Washington. Every politician in town knows it. So the natural inclination is to push the envelope as far as possible, knowing that it will be pulled back fairly quickly.

This is as true regarding the Internet as anywhere else. The Bell-cable duopoly hangs by a thread. Wireless ISPs have Moore's Law on their side. The incumbents need something very strong to counter.

This is precisely what they're going for with a bill in the House that would raise entry barriers to the sky and prevent independent ISPs from ever gaining a market toehold. (That's the chairman of the committee proposing the legislation, Joe Barton, up above.)

Naturally they call it "pro-competitive," but in the Orwellian Washington of today those with a Clue should never listen to what they say but look at what they do.

The bill is also filled with goodies for broadcasters and TV networks, such as:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law

September 16, 2005

They Don't Need Your Identity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Here is a surprising story.

Three times more money is lost to identity theft where the thieves just make up an identity than when they use someone else's.

Gartner Group figures $50 billion is lost from such "victimless fraud" every year, against $15 billion from identity theft.

The problem is U.S. banks don't check identities closely. Crooks can get a pay-as-you-go mobile phone with no credit check, open up a bank account in the name of that "person," pay bills on that account for a while, then use the account to get credit cards.

Banks in Europe share identity information and aren't subject to the same fraud to the same degree. Gartner said.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | law

This Week's Clue: The Mugabe Precedent

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This week's issue of my free weekly newsletter, A-Clue.Com, offered some real political red meat. (Subscribe here.)

Some like that. Some hate it. So most of it is after the flip. Enjoy.


How is a democracy lost?

It isn't. Just as freedom can't be given, only taken, democracy can't really be lost, only stolen.

There are dozens of examples over the centuries, of honest systems turned to dictatorships. And what they all have in common is ruthlessness, not just of the dictator, but of those around him.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 14, 2005

Where to Find the Times' Columnists

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

newyorktimes-logo small.jpgAmidst all the wailing over the Times' experiment in forcing people to pay subscriptions for Internet newspaper content, an important fact is being lost.

The International Herald Tribune.

I have seen no announcement that the IHT is changing its policies, or changing what content it offers. (The Tribune is owned by the Times Co., which bought out The Washington Post Co.'s interest a few years ago.) Here's today's opinion front page.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Internet | Journalism | Politics | e-commerce

September 06, 2005

Bolshevism

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Lenin.gifA dedicated minority can overwhelm a disinterested majority.

To do so takes discipline, and a mindset that will brook neither criticism nor interference, that is totally obedient to the will of the leader.

What drives this mindset is fear. The leadership drives fear into people, and the mindset is gradually acquired. There are many examples of this. South Africa's Nationalists. Mussolini's Fascists. It was a hallmark of Peronism in Argentina. It's not a left-right thing, since it's most closely associated with Lenin's Russia, but it's more common than most in the democratic world believe or accept.

Note that in all these examples there's one ingredient which, many will say, does not exist in today's Republicans -- ruthlessness. That is, the willingness to do anything in the name of the cause, whether that's stuffing ballot boxes, taking control of the news media, or just shooting to kill. In the wake of New Orleans I'd question whether that ruthlessness is lacking. When you hear someone try to defend what has happened, it's hard to argue it's lacking.

Political movements can easily morph into Bolshevism, even in democracies. It's the main Achilles Heel of the whole system. I think it's what Washington most feared when he talked of "factions."

Over the last two centuries many political movements in this country have been accused of a Bolshevistic mind set, even before such a thing existed, starting (long before there was such a thing) with Jefferson's Democratic-Republicans. Jackson's Democrats had some of it, and it morphed into the Slave Power, which had it in spades. Did the Big City Machines have it? How about the New Deal -- they were certainly accused of it.

See how common this is?

What's most infuriating about our time is how many white, male Americans (some females, some blacks, but overwhelmingly it's white males) have internalized this mindset. It's why I find it increasingly difficult to communicate with these bozos -- all avenues of communication are blocked-off.

Want to see the dance?

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 05, 2005

The Spoils System

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

garfield assassination.gifGeorge W. Bush's Bridge to the 19th Century has deposited us in 1881, in the era of the Spoils System.

The spoils system was instituted by Democratic President Andrew Jackson. "To the victor goes the spoils" meant that every government job belonged to the party in power. Postmasters, and port managers (big jobs in those days) were all political hacks.

The movement against the spoils system was led by a Republican named James A. Garfield. He was elected President in 1880 alongside a representative of that system, Chester Alan Arthur, former port commissioner for New York. He wasn't a perfect vessel for reform, but he moved in that direction.

The picture illustrates what happened next. Garfield was shot, killed, by Charles J. Guiteau, a "frustrated office seeker," in other words, a party hack who was upset that Garfield wanted to bring competence to government. (Guiteau, in fact had visions of becoming Ambassador to France.)

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | personal

September 01, 2005

The Dry Drunk Meme

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bush finger.jpgThere is a long-running charge, or meme, on the left that President George W. Bush is a "dry drunk," an alcoholic who hasn't dealt with the roots of his alcoholism, and thus exhibits alcoholic behavior even when sober.

Dr. Justin Frank explored this in a book called Bush on the Couch. Katherine Van Wormer made the charge in 2002 and Malachy McCourt has gone further, writing in his short 2004 book, Bush Lies in State that he’s still an alcoholic.

How common is this meme? Example one. Example two. Example three. Example four.

So here is my point. Given his falling popularity and recent bizarre behaviors (running away from Cindy Sheehan, comparing Iraq to World War II while New Orleans died) I'm wondering if this meme isn't about to move.

...continue reading.

Comments (7) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | blogging | medicine

August 30, 2005

The Big One

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

NOTE: I have been, and will be, criticized for "politicizing" the naton's worst-ever natural disaster. But knowing how something happened, what made it worse, how it can be made better and how it might be prevented is the only way I know to make sense of things which are otherwise beyond comprehension. My prayers to all.
wtc009.jpgEveryone knows 9/11 was a turning point. (Picture from Tales from the Teapot.)

It changed attitudes irrevocably, in ways we're still trying to deal with four years on.

Hurricane Katrina is another turning point, a different turning point, and a much, much bigger event.

The terrorists destroyed two buildings, and the center of a city. Katrina destroyed multiple cities -- Slidell, Gulfport, Biloxi, New Orleans.

We knew after 9/11 it could happen again. Know this after Katrina. It WILL happen again, and again, and again.

The civilizing process of the 20th century, with its oil-driven economy, is now driving the global environment off a cliff. Most of the world knew this before Katrina. Now even Mississippi knows this.

And this will change us.

  • We can no longer pretend to independence. We are interdependent.
  • We can no longer pretend that the environmental damage of the oil economy can be borne. It cannot.
  • We can no longer remain dependent on the oil economy. It is failing, and will fail.

One of the most maddening aspects of the Katrina coverage, for me, has been MSNBC's continued emphasis on the Casinos as the engines of the Gulf Coast economy. We drive through that area every vacation, and I have taken to calling Mississippi "Pottersville," the town Bedford Falls became in the nighbmare sequence of "It's a Wonderful Life." And Louisiana has made itself into West Pottersville.

I'm not talking about sin here. I'm talking about depending on something that's artificial, fake, phony, as the basis of an economy. Pretending that you'll get rich off others' sin, that the residue won't touch you, and you can then say "screw you" to the needs of the poor, to education, to your fellow man, to the real world, that always fails in time.

It is time for an attitude adjustment.


...continue reading.

Comments (14) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | personal

August 27, 2005

Save the Internet!

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

HoS-XXX-5_Front.jpgMilton Mueller and the Internet Governance Project, whom we interviewed in June, has entered the political arena with a petition against U.S. interference in ICANN. (The illustration chosen has little to do with the subject, it's the cover of an Hour of Slack CD called XXX, from Subgenius.com.)

Mueller and the IGP were moved to act by the government's unilateral decision to shut-down .XXX after it was approved by ICANN. In his note to Dave Farber's list Mueller writes, "IGP urges everyone not to let the
advocates of content regulation be the only voices
heard by the Commerce Department."

Read it carefully.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Internet | Politics | law | war

August 26, 2005

A Modest Proposal

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

burqa.jpgHere's something I haven't seen proposed anywhere. But since I'm "just a blogger" and I can't get the thought of my head, why not?

Read on. If you dare.

Many in the U.S., on both the left and right, say our enemy is Islamic Fundamentalism. One of the hallmarks of that movement (besides violent anti-Israel rhetoric) is the systematic subjugation of women.

Wherever Sha'ria (Islamic Law) is imposed, women lose their humanity. They are killed if they're raped, killed if they so much as meet with a man unchaparoned. They are ritually abused in a horror called "female circumcision" which removes their clitoris, often without anethesia.

Under Sha'ria women are treated worse than dogs. A dog who licks a stranger's hand may get a treat. An Arab woman who even looks the wrong way at a stranger will be killed by her family. (Any devout Muslim woman who wants to argue with me that slavery is freedom, please don't waste your time.)

When the Bush Administration wanted to find support for its Iraq adventure early this year the President claimed this was a war for womens' rights. He even used an Iraqi woman as a prop at his State of the Union address. (She now wants out.)

Well, it seems to me we have the wrong Muslim refugees in the West. So here's my modest proposal:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | war

August 25, 2005

Corruption of the Lists

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

boortz book.jpgThere's a chain of bookstores in South Georgia that hold a secret.

I discovered it on the way back from a convention in Orlando one day, desperate for some present to give my book-loving wife.

Stacked floor-to-ceiling in these stores are "best-sellers," nearly every "big" title from a right-wing hack delivered over the last decade or more. There's Laura Bush's autobiography, alongside the Swift Boat attack on John Kerry and titles from the whole Fox News pantheon. There are right-wing preachers, firebreathers, and a ton of get-rich-quick books by folks who, if they really knew that much, would have gotten rich some other way.

I think about those stores whenever I see "books" like Kevin Trudeau's Natural Cures or Neal Boortz' Fair Tax Book topping things like The New York Times best-seller list, week-after-week.

Do you know anyone reading this dreck? You might not.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Copyright | Economics | Journalism | Politics

August 22, 2005

Artificial Scarcity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bob frankston.gifDavid Berlind, one of my bosses over at ZDNet, came up with an incredible statistic recently that deserves a lot more play than it got.

His source on this is Bob Frankston, co-founder of Visicalc and one of those great online friends I've never met personally. (As you can see by this picture, he's also well on his way to being a Truly Handsome Man (that is to say bald)).

Here's the key bit, as Berlind saw it:

By Frankston's calculations, for example, Verizon is reserving 99 percent of its government-ordained right of way (in the form of bandwidth that should be available to us as well as its competitors) for itself so that it may compete in the IPTV market.

Frankston's got the whole story, in hiw own words, here.

More on the flip.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | cellular

August 19, 2005

This Week's Clue: Beyond The Culture Wars

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This week's issue of my free weekly newsletter, A-Clue.Com, dealt with politics. (Subscribe here.) That's why the jump is so high up. Those who don't like politics, or who don't like me blogging about it, should be forced to see as little of it as possible.

But there are things I have to get off my chest.


Political generations end when a crisis emerges that they can't answer for. Then new values emerge, new myths are told, and a new generation takes power. Gradually the new formulation replaces the old until its alliances become second nature.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | personal

August 16, 2005

The Emperor is Naked! The Empire is a Lie!

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

casey_sheehan_714.jpg Cindy Sheehan has been able to demonstrate just how naked the Emperor is, and thus demonstrate the lie of Empire.

No one else could, because everyone else was afraid. Howard Dean said "we broke it, we own it." John Kerry supported it and couldn't back away from it.

This is how Democrats felt forced to respond, because they'd been stuck into a political wilderness for a generation by Vietnam. They were afraid to equate Iraq with Vietnam, fearing that political wilderness, and its chains, which bound liberalism and the cause of human rights for a generation.

Well, Cindy Sheehan broke through that fear. She lost her son. It transformed her. (It didn't transform her husband , but everyone's journey is different.)

By putting that transformation in our face, and in the face of George W. Bush, Cindy Sheehan is also making a change in us. Damn the past, damn the present, our kids are dying. Scales fall from the eyes.

There is no way at this point for the Emperor to appear clothed again, and his supporters know it.

That's why they're acting as they are toward Sheehan. It's like the crowd in the story, at first. Of course the Emperor's New Clothes are beautiful. You're just a stupid little boy. You just can't see the big picture.

Stupid. Little. Boy.

Stupid Little Boy, says Cindy Sheehan? Look at him, look at the Little Boy. Look at Casey. You call him Stupid, you call me Stupid?

Maybe we were. We were stupid because we believed in you. And look at what it's gotten us. My son is dead! And this is no fairy tale.

...continue reading.

Comments (9) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Journalism | Politics | Security | law | personal

Bush Cuts Off DNS Intelligence

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

signposts5.gif
The Computer Science and Telecommunication Board has released a fairly Clueful report on the Domain Name System that manages the Internet.

Unfortunately the Bush Administration has, on the very day the report came out, moved to undercut its key recommendation.

Here's the key bit:

Before completing the transfer of its stewardship to ICANN (or any other organization), the Department of Commerce should seek ways to protect that organization from undue commercial or governmental pressures and to provide some form of oversight of performance.

The report, in other words, supports ICANN under the U.S. government because it sees this as keeping ICANN independent of government or commercial interests. Moving toward ICANN's independence is desireable, the report says, in order to minimize the perception that the U.S. government is controlling the Internet.

So far, so good.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law

Refusing to Learn

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

washington canard.jpgPeople often ask me what's wrong with journalism.

The answer comes down to one word -- arrogance. Even junior members of the trade think they're in a profession, whose job it is to rule on what's true and what's not, all decisions final.

Take William Beutler of The National Journal, for instance. Beutler just got a pretty amazing gig. As editor of the Hotline Blogometer he spends the day scouring the political blogosphere and tallying up the points. (He is still listed as writing The Washington Canard, but he doesn't update it often anymore. The picture is from that Web site. Beutler's a shy fella.)

It's hard work, as some in Washington might say. And mistakes will happen. Journalists complain that bloggers won't spend 5 minutes on the phone to get something right. Well, journalists won't spend 20 seconds on Google to do the same thing. And Google's improving much faster than the phone.

Anyway, Beutler's August 15 missive began by referencing Cindy Sheehan as an "alleged" gold star mother. I went ballistic. Whatever you think of Sheehan's protest, no one can argue that she is, in fact, a Gold Star Mother (all caps), this being " an organization of mothers who have lost a son or daughter in the service of our country."

After considering my e-mail for some time, Beutler made a slight change. He didn't acknowledge the mistake. He just took the alleged out. And gold star is still lower case, still in quotation marks.

Now, before you click below, get out your hankies.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Copyright | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | personal

August 12, 2005

A Great Woman Lies Dying

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


Mo Mowlam is dying.

Americans who have never heard of her should remember her name. Hers is one of the great peace-making stories of our time.

By the late 1990s, Northern Ireland had been at war with itself for nearly 30 years. As Northern Ireland secretary, in 1998, she saw that the peace process could never get off the ground without the support of radicals, then held at Maze Prison.

She went to Maze Prison.

Mo Mowlam spent an hour in that prison, talking to prisoners face-to-face, eventually persuading them that the para-militaries should send representatives to peace talks.

The result was the Good Friday Agreement.

It wasn't perfect then. It's still not perfect. But it is holding. The killing has stopped. The IRA has stood down. A cycle of life is replacing the cycle of death.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | personal | war

August 08, 2005

Intel Fights the Power

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Intel_Logo.gifIntel holds the telecommunications balance of power in its hand.

Here's how The Register puts it, with its usual hyperbole:

Intel is throwing its financial, technical and lobbying weight behind the rising tide of municipally run broadband wireless networks, seeing these as a way to stimulate uptake of Wi-Fi and WiMAX and so sell more of its chips and increase its influence over the communications world.

And Intel is not going to back down. As ZDNet notes today, there's money to be made.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Business Strategy | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications | law | marketing

August 07, 2005

The WiMax Imperative

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

kevin martin.jpgCoke and Pepsi do not represent competition. It's a shared monopoly, the Drinks Trust.

The same is true for Wal-Mart and Target, Home Depot and Lowe's, and, to cut to the chase, your phone and cable companies.

By endorsing duopoly calling "competition" what is in fact a Trust, new FCC chair Kevin Martin has shown us clearly where the Bushies stand. Those who believe in competitive markets that can compete in the world need to digest this.

china.map.gifAnd Martin's model for the Internet policy? China.

So, do you want to be an ISP?

There is only one way to do it now. You have to be a WISP. You have to connect WiFi to WiMax, and reach competitive fiber.

Otherwise you're officially dead.

The FCC ruled, over Friday and Saturday, that Bell companies no longer have to wholesale their lines to competitive ISPs. They don't even have to charge competitive prices for backhaul to the Internet. They essentially repealed the 1996 Telecommunications Act.

Those phonr lines that were built with government-controlled monopoly powers over decades? They're now the sole property of four corporate entities. And they can do with this monopoly power whatever they want.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law

August 02, 2005

The Moore's Law Dialectic

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

gordon moore.jpgToday's politics is cultural.

Even economic and foreign policy issues are, in the end, defined in terms of social issues. This creates identification, and coalitions among people who might not otherwise find common ground -- hedonistic Wall Street investment bankers and small town Kansas preachers, for instance.

I am coming to believe the next political divide will be technological. That is, your politics will be defined by your attitude toward technology.

On one side you will find open source technophiles. On the other you will find proprietary technophobes.

It's a process that will take time to work itself out, just as millions of Southern Democrats initially resisted the pull of Nixon. Because there are are divisions within each grand coalition we have today, on this subject.

  • On the right you see many people who work in open source, or who worry about their privacy, asking hard questions of security buffs and corporate insiders.
  • On the left you see many people who consider themselves cyber-libertarians facing off against Hollywood types and those who create proprietary software.

This latter split gets most of the publicity, because more writers are in the cyber-libertarian school than anywhere else.

Initially, the proprietary, security-oriented side of this new political divide has the initiative. It has the government and, if a poll were taken, it probably has a majority on most issues.

But open source advocates have something more powerful on their side, history. You might call it the Moore's Law Dialectic.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Copyright | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Moore's Lore | Politics | blogging | law | personal

August 01, 2005

What's a Brother Gotta Do (to get fired around here?)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

armstrong-williams.jpgNews that Armstrong Williams is making a comeback, that he is back on the air (that he hardly ever left), leaves a nagging question in my mind.

What do you got to do to get fired around here?

The question is serious. Unless we have a way of getting rid of those who violate some ethical standard, why should anyone believe any of us? Why have any standards if we can't get rid of violators?

For those who don't know, Williams got caught in January taking bribes from the Bush Administration for touting its education policies. Yet the next month, WWRL in New York put him back on the air, in afternoon drive. Now he's got a book coming out, one which calls liberals like myself racists.

If being a racist means hating crooks who happen to be black, I'm a racist. (It doesn't mean that, so Armstrong, take your black skin outta my face.) Armstrong Williams is a crook, corrupt. He should be on an unemployment line alongside Jayson Blair and hundreds of others -- of every color -- who can't be trusted. Yet he's heard loud and clear while honest men (and women) aren't. Including honest black, male conservatives, many with great speaking voices and stories to tell. Just look around the blogosphere for five minutes if you don't believe me.

Williams tells The Hill that he's "changed," that he doesn't harrangue Democrats anymore.

But that wasn't the point of the scandal. It's like a bank robber telling me he doesn't beat his wife anymore. It's irrelevant.

Armstrong Williams put himself out as a journalist, as an independent voice, when in fact he was in the pay of the government. That was the scandal. That remains a scandal.

But there is no way to fire people who violate even such basic ethical precepts anymore. If nothing else, he could go out and blog -- make big bucks like Andrew Sullivan. Who'd know? Who'd care?

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | History | Journalism | Politics | ethics | personal

July 29, 2005

The Tech-Politics Contradiction

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

cisco_logo.jpgThe big trend of this decade, in technology, is a move toward openness.

It started with open frequencies like 802.11. It then moved into software, with open source operating systems and applications. Now we have open source business models. The ball keeps rolling along.

Open source has proven superior in all these areas due to simple math. The more people working a problem, the better. No single organization can out-do the multitudes.

But this simple, and rather elegant, fact, is at odds with all political trends.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Futurism | Internet | Moore's Lore | Politics | Security

July 28, 2005

Magic Word

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

When someone gets really frustrated with me, and tries to dismiss me, there's a Magic Word that sums up their feelings, isolates me, and identifies me to the like-minded.

Works like a charm.

It's the "C-bomb."

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Politics | personal

July 27, 2005

Cheap Shot in a Good Cause

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

rebecca mckimmon.jpgRebecca McKimmon (left, from her blog) took a shot at Cisco's China policy recently, confirming through a spokesman that the company does indeed cooperate with the government.

This is not news. So does nearly every other U.S. tech company.

The U.S. policy is, and has been, full engagement with China. This has already hurt Cisco. Back in the 1990s one of the prices for getting into the market was to share technology. Cisco did so, and a few years later Huawei, a Chinese company, had routers and bridges very similar to Cisco's old stuff, along with most of the Asian market (thanks to lower prices).

McKimmon's point now is that China Cisco is cooperating with the worst excesses of the China government, which is seeking to have both the world's best Internet technology and full control over what people do with it.

That is a good point, but I don't think you don't go after Cisco to make it.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Internet | Investment | Journalism | Politics | Semiconductors | Telecommunications

July 23, 2005

The Coming Crash?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

john rutledge.gifI should not be a fan of Dr. John Rutledge (left).

His economic prescriptions are unrelentingly right-wing. He's a social Darwinist, a raging bull.

But he's not an idiot. He understands money. He knows trouble when he sees it. And, on his blog this week, he sees it.

As I've written in my novel, the name of this big trouble is little China.

The process of China's inevitable Yuan revaluation has begun.

In a series of blog entries Rutledge ticks off what's happening.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Investment | Politics

Qwest Seeks Yet More Subsidies

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Let's review.

The Bells promised to serve us broadband if we let them run over Wireless ISPs. Done. No broadband.

So they promised us broadband if we would give them absolute control over their lines, ending any requirement for wholesaling. Done. No broadband.

Then they promised us broadband if we'd stop cities from buildig out wireless networks that might compete with them. Nearly done. Still no broadband.

Now, Qwest is pushing a plan in Congress to tax your broadband access and hand it the money, promising broadband in rural areas.

It's amazing anyone would believe such hollow promises, given the history. Color Democrat Byron Dorgan and Republican Gordon Smith (both represent areas covered by Qwest) as believers. The National Journal reports the two Senators are working together on just a Qwest-subsidy bill.

Here's a quote from the National Journal article:

Aides to Smith said the bill would make money in the Universal Service Fund available so telecommunications providers could build out broadband facilities. "It would be built into the same structure, and might end up as a stand-alone fund, within the current system next to the high-cost fund," an aide said.

Here's why this is not only theft, but stupid.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Digital Divide | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications

July 21, 2005

Seattle Weekly Discovers VRWC

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

free republic.jpgVRWC is shorthand for "Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy."

It's something conservatives laugh at. But it's real.

UPDATE: Various people, some affiliated with this site, have been issuing comments here over the last few days. Most have been taken down. I stand by this story, the opinions expressed in it, and my opinion concerning sympathizers with these bozos.

It's the lynch mob mentality fostered by preachers, by politicians, by demagogues, a mentality used to attack Miami vote-counters, Vince Foster, Joe Wilson -- the list goes on and on.

It was also used to attack Andy Stephenson.

Stephenson was a blogger. He worked with sites like Democratic Underground and BlackBox Voting. He died this week of pancreatic cancer.

But not before teaching us all just what evil lurks in the hearts of men.

...continue reading.

Comments (6) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | blogging | personal

July 19, 2005

Harold W. Furchtgott-Roth (Gumby)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

gumby.jpgMonty Python used to have a running gag called the Gumbys. They would put on moustaches, shorts, place diapers on their heads, and talk sheer lunacy for effect. CORRECTION: There's an update to this piece below the fold which could make this reference even-more apt.

Former FCC commissioner Harold W. Furchtgott-Roth, now a fellow of the right-wing American Enterprise Institute , is a Gumby.

This guy is so Clueless that, in an age when any wingnut can practically become a millionaire by snapping his fingers, he can apparently get his stuff published only in the New York Sun, a right-wing daily with few readers, no business model, and a crappy Web site that won't let you inside its home page without giving them tons of personal information. So no link.

Instead, you'll have to read the whole thing:

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | Internet | Politics | personal | war

July 16, 2005

America's Shame: Spam War Heats Up Again

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

us flag.gifThat's the title of the most "popular" spam in my inbox right now, and maybe in your inbox as well.

It represents a new form of brazenness by U.S. spammers against the Net, because when you input the phone number in the message into Google you find the same message, as comment spam, attached to a host of different topics.

When you publicize a phone number like that, and get away with it, it's pretty obvious that the authorities are simply not interested in pursuing you. The CAN-SPAM act has gone from sick joke to tissue paper, a dead letter, and the entire Internet is now under attack from American spammers.

So am I.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | law | spam

July 15, 2005

This Week's Clue: The Good German

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

If I had my druthers, every issue of A-Clue.Com would be chock-full of stories concerning e-commerce, Moore's Law, and mobile technology.

But as a human being, I sometimes feel compelled to state what I feel, and whatever happens as a result, happens.


For the first time in my career I've been afraid this week, afraid to write what I feel.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | ethics | law | personal | war

July 14, 2005

The Finnish Example

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

finland.gifThere's a long, admiring story in today's Washington Post extolling Finland as a possible model for European development.

Finland has invested heavily in scientific research, especially since it backed a big winner during the early 1990s in Nokia. Nokia stock held by the government is one source of funds, but overall the country puts a whopping 3.6% of its income into research, well ahead of the U.S., and nearly twice as much as the European average.

The result is that, while Finland does have substantial unemployment, and the problems of an aging population threatening its ample social safety net, the 5.5 million people there are nearly as happy as those in the Monty Python song. (All together, Finnophiles!)

One respondent at the Dave Farber list expressed the view that the U.S. actually does better than the figures indicate, and that government is mostly out of the picture.

He's half-right.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | Science | personal

July 13, 2005

Fast Work on London Blasts

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

When four bombs went off in London during the G-8 summit my first thought (like yours) was Al Qaeda.

I didn't blog it. I'm glad of that now.

It turns out, according to British police, that the four suicidie bombers here were British citizens, natives. Three from Leeds, one from Luton. True, their parents were Pakistani immigrants, but the people who carried this out were local. The British police, who have done wonderful work on the case so far, are now trying to find out who put them up to this.

Again, let's not pre-judge. This might be an Al Qaeda "sleeper cell." But they could have been working under a British-based Islamic radical. Their targets may not have been Englishmen, but Muslims, since all four bombs went off in areas where many Muslims live.

I don't know. Neither do you. Let the system work.

But the face of this attack is looking less like Osama Bin Laden....

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | law | war

July 12, 2005

Fight for One Internet

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

joi ito.jpgJoi Ito took up a challenge I laid down recently, in my piece on the possibility of Internet War.

Joi's point is that the Internet split has already begun, and it is based on language. Chinese and Japanese people don't care for English. People want URLs in their own language. And these URLs are unreachable by those whose keyboards only write what the Japanese call "Romaji," Roman letters.

"Why should these people be forced to learn some sort of roman transliteration in order to access the company page where they know the official Chinese characters for the names" he writes. (This is a very short excerpt. I urge you to read the whole post -- it is very wise.)

The peculiarities of language provide an excellent source of control for tyranny. Most Chinese don't leave the Chinese Internet, leaving them at the mercy of the authorities. Many Japanese choose not to leave their own language, leaving them ignorant of how others feel.

Language can also provide cover for terrorists. We can't translate all the Arabic-language e-mail or Web sites out there. We can't even find the URLs, unless we know how to look for them. So many of our problems in the War on Terror are exacerbated by a shortage of translators, or mis-translations. This problem continues to get worse.

There's more, of course.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Politics

July 01, 2005

Has The Internet War Been Declared?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

richard forno.jpgThe U.S. government has announced it will continue to control the DNS root structure, indefinitely.

Is this how the Internet War starts?

Until today the U.S. position was that it wanted to transition control of the root over to ICANN, a private entity, and several extensions were given.

Earlier this year, ICANN hesitated in extending Verisign's control of the .Net registry, following the SiteFinder scandal, where Verisign redirected "page not found" errors to a site it controlled (and sold ads against). Control was finally given, through 2011, but Verisign's ethical attitudes have not changed. As we noted earlier this week, it is Verisign that is behind the Crazy Frog Scandal.

Some felt that ICANN caved under U.S. government pressure. What you have here is assurance that such pressure will continue to be effective, and on behalf of a very corrupt company. If that is not seen as a provocation by the ITU I will be very surprised.

So how can that result in Internet War?

The problem, as former ICANN board member Karl Auerbach noted to Dave Farber's list today, "the only reason that the NTIA root zone is 'authoritative' is because a lot of people adhere to it voluntarily." Security expert Richard Forno (top) noted, to the same list, that "the timing is weird, coming as it does only a short time before the forthcoming meeting of the UN-sponsored World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS)."

I would assert that the timing is not weird at all. The U.S. government has told the U.N. that it can shove any thoughts of international control over the DNS where the sun don't shine. It has, in effect, thrown down a gauntlet and dared the international community to challenge it.

More after the break.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | law | war

June 30, 2005

Pressure on the Good Guys

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

feingold.jpgPolitically I think Senator Russ Feingold is one of the Good Guys. So, to be perfectly bipartisan about it, is Senator John McCain. (You know what McCain looks like, so here's Feingold.)

This is especally true regarding campaign finance. Proponents of reform have been pushing uphill with scant success ever since the 1976 decision in Buckley v. Vallejo, which basically said money is speech, and those with more money can out-shout the rest of us.

McCain and Feingold tried to fit that decision inside their eponymous campaign finance act, and while on most counts the Supreme Court ruled they did, that act also covered the Internet, and both men have insisted to this day that's true.

Now that the blogosphere has pushed-back on this, pushed back hard, from both sides of the aisle, the good guys have not been heard from.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | History | Internet | Politics | blogging | law

June 27, 2005

A Digital Brown? Or A Digital Plessy?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

DavidSouter.jpg

It's unanimous.

By a 9-0 count the Supreme Court has held that Grokster (and its ilk) can be sued.

The decision was written by David Souter (right, in an old picture from Wikipedia), a conservative-turned-liberal appointed by the first President Bush.

Here's the key bit:

"We hold that one who distributes a device with the object of promoting its use to infringe copyright, as shown by the clear expression or other affirmative steps taken to foster infringement, is liable for the resulting acts of infringement by third parties."

I've highlighted the most relevant portion. To me it looks like they wouldn't hold against BitTorrent, but that Grokster's business model, which did sell the service as a way to infringe, crossed a legal line.

As written I find it hard to argue against the language, but I guarantee I'll disagree with the interpretation, especially the spin being placed on this by the copyright industries.

As I see it the decision puts a limit on the "non-infringing uses" language of the Betamax decision, but does not overturn it. Grokster falls because its business model is based on infringement. BitTorrent has no business model, and thus may be exempt.

Trouble is that is an assertion that will be tested in courts that will twist this result just as the DMCA was twisted to reach this decision. Congress was told by the Copyright industries in 1998 that the DMCA would not overturn Betamax, that it would protect fair use, that it would not be extended in that direction and should not be interpreted as going there.

With this decision -- a unanimous decision as opposed to the 6-3 Betamax ruling -- I guarantee you the industry's lawyers will try and turn this into open season on the Internet.

But can they?

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Copyright | Internet | Politics | law

June 20, 2005

House of Card

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

orson card.jpgThanks to his political involvement many liberals are treating Orson Scott Card as a pariah.

I’m certain he doesn’t care. Many great writers have been men and women of uncertain, even unwelcome politics. Like all people they’re products of their environment.

This is especially true in science fiction, a subset of literature devoted to worlds far removed from our own time and space. I didn’t like Robert Heinlein’s politics, and I don’t discuss politics with Jerry Pournelle, either. But I enjoy both, immensely.

I also enjoy Card's work. I'm a fan, with eyes wide open to his faults and limits, but a fan nonetheless.

...continue reading.

Comments (9) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | ethics | fiction | personal

June 15, 2005

The Journalism Crisis

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

mencken387x250.gifIt should surprise no one that "professional" journalists hate Wikis and blogs.

A little history lesson shows you why. Only this one's fun. As part of your summer reading get yourself a copy of H.L. Mencken's Newspaper Days. (That's Mencken to the left.) It's his memoir of Baltimore's newspaper business around the turn of the last century.

Newspapermen at that time were lower class, hard drinking, smoking, swearing, worthless ne'er do wells. You wouldn't bring one home to mother. They hid in saloons, spun lies, spied on people, made less than the corner grocer, and were generally shiftless, lazy bums. Despite this, they considered themselves a class apart.

This last is still the case. But today's newspaper writers are either middle-class bores or upper-class twits. Those who report on Washington, write columns or work on editorials are among the most twittish. Many make more than the people they cover, especially if their faces are on television.

Blogs, wikis and the whole Internet Business Model Crisis threaten these happy homes. (Although I've got news for them -- stock analysts treat newspaper stocks like tobacco stocks and their ranks are being thinned like turkey herds in September. They'd be a dieing breed even without the Net.)

What's most galling to "professional" journalists is not the loss of jobs, or money, but their continuing loss of prestige. On the upper rungs of the ladder they're being replaced by "players" -- sports stars, lawyers, politicians, former entertainers. On the lower rungs they're being driven into poverty -- we've talked before of the corrupted tech press. And in the middle rungs you've got these blogs, wikis and the continuing problems of being treated like a mushroom. (You're in the dark and they're throwing manure on you.)

Our times are, in many ways, a mirror image of the 1890s.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging

June 10, 2005

A Note to Pew

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

carol darr.jpgThis is a note to the nice people at the Pew Charitable Trusts.

Some of your money has gone astray. Specifically, it has gone to George Washington University for something called the Institute for Politics, Democracy and the Internet, formerly the Democracy Online Project.

GWU put a woman named Carol Darr (right, from the Center for National Policy) in charge of this group, and she has proven to be, well, not to put too fine a point on it, an idiot. Clueless, in the parlance of this blog. To be blunt about it, she is using money given for promoting democracy on the Internet in order to destroy it.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Internet | Journalism | Politics | law | marketing | online advertising

This Week's Clue: Destroying the Village

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

vietnam war.jpgI guess I felt a little down this week -- about the direction of technology, about the economy, about a lot of things.

So the readers of A-Clue.com got an earful. (You can get one too -- always free.)


There are times when history, like television, goes into re-runs.

We have literally turned Iraq into another Vietnam. But we've seen this movie before, so when Rumsfeld does his McNamara imitations, or Bush plays like LBJ's dumber brother, we change the channel.

Yet the fact is that when history repeats (unlike television) it does so in spades, in triplicate.

World War I was horrible. World War II was worse.

Iraq is not the only Vietnam repeat out there. We're doing the same thing with the Internet.

We're ignoring history. We know what would work to secure our computers, and the networks they run on. But we don't act. So we get this incremental escalation, this drip-drip-drip that leaves us, in the end, worse off than we would be had we taken decisive action at the start.

There are laws on the books that should deal with spam, with spyware, and with the problems of identity theft. They can be found under headings like fraud, theft, and fiduciary responsibility. Nothing is being done today that wasn't done before - only the means have changed.

Instead of moving against these problems together, as was attempted in the 1990s, we're leaving everyone on their own, and sometimes the cure winds up being worse than the disease.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Politics | war

A Master Politician at Work

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Transformative politics is not for sissies.

...continue reading.

Comments (8) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

June 06, 2005

Anakin Scott Card

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

orson card.jpgAs a young writer the force was strong in Orson Scott Card.

His Secular Humanist Revival Meeting was a model of the form. He came on in the guise of a Baptist preacher to speak against creation science, and for a secular society in the humanist tradition.

The strongest statement he made in that talk was to note that any religion which gained the power of the state could lose its holiness because its first task once in power would be to oppress other religions. “This was even true for my own religion, in the Rocky Mountains,” he said.

His reference was to the Mormon Church, of which he is a lifelong member. To escape its secular hold he made his home in North Carolina. Still does.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | fiction | personal

June 02, 2005

Short Term Values

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Transfer-Values.jpgWe do have a values problem in this country. (The illustration is from a Mormon-oriented marketing outfit.)

Too many of us have short-term values.

I could go off on our leaders over this, but leaders need followers, so I'm going after you instead.

  • Why can't businesses see past the current quarter?
  • Why is the environment so easily dismissed?
  • Why does the news care more about the idiot on the Buckhead crane than what is happening in Iraq?
  • Why are religious leaders so anxious to take the state's money?

We see this on the Internet all the time. I think this new XXX TLD is a perfect example. It doesn't answer the question -- what's sexual and what should we do about it? Just build a ghetto and toss Jenna Jameson in there -- oh and Planned Parenthood too. Then what, Adolf?

Americans won't move toward IPv6 because we got a ton of addresses back in the day. Besides, NATs work fine, right?

It is so easy to outsource our software production, to let Taiwan and China make our chips, to do everything we can to discourage kids from getting into tech. Our kids want to win American Idol. India, meanwhile, has a reality show called "the search for India's smartest kid."

Which country do you think is going to win the future, hmmm?

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | ethics | personal

May 28, 2005

One for the Web?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

eiffel tower.jpgThe European Constitution's impending failure in France is being credited to the Web. (Picture from Wikitravel.)

As the BBC reports:

This is the first major campaign in France in which the internet has become a key weapon, with bloggers and internet-users becoming the "No" campaign's front-line troops - not just in terms of influencing public opinion but also in rallying the French public to attend its campaign events.

If it happens, and the Web is credited after-the-fact, it would be a first, and it would be important.

As for Europe? I have a cunning plan...

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | blogging

May 26, 2005

Always On Political Roadblock

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Domecam.jpgWhy hasn't the World of Always On arrived?

The ingredients are all here, and they're cheap-as-chips: (An example is this nifty little camera, from yoursecurity.us.)


  • Wireless networks. You can buy an 802.11 wireless gateway for $65.
  • PCs to run the applications are down well below $250.
  • RFID kits? Cameras? Sensors? All available.
  • Long battery life? Thanks to Zigbee, that's a big check mark, too.

I'm convinced the hurdles facing Always On applications aren't technical, and aren't artifacts of the market.

They're political.

Let's run them down, shall we?

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Futurism | Politics | fun stuff

The Way of Hollywood is Madness

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

When will we get effective political pushback against Hollywood's absolutism on copyright?

I once thought it would happen when people were jailed for linking.

I was wrong.

The filing of criminal charges against the people who ran Elite Torrents, a BitTorrent "tracking site," and the complete take-down of the site, has caused few ripples. Washington remains as absolutist as ever.

Instead, it's technology that retains our confidence. BitTorrent is now becoming trackerless. No trackers, no tracking sites to take down, no track linkers to toss in jail.

But that's not good enough for me. This is like depending on super weapons to defend us in an atomic age. Without peace, soon, between copyright owners and copyright users, the Internet will be effectively destroyed.

It doesn't take much imagination to see Al Qaeda propaganda, or even terrorist plans, being distributed via a Torrent. Especially a trackerless torrent.

From there it is a very quick move to seeing politicians equate file sharing with terrorism, Torrent users with Al Qaeda, and demands for a complete shut-down on any technology that can benefit the enemy.

...continue reading.

Comments (9) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Politics | law | war

May 25, 2005

Screwed

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

screwed.gifJuan Cole today headlines a think piece on Iraq, "Sometimes You are Just Screwed."

I don't disagree. The insurgency has become a meat grinder, but bugging out would mean total defeat. The Army lacks volunteers, and there's no appetite for a draft. It is (as I feared it would be years ago) a Tar Baby, and it's destroying our economy as well as our military.

If that were all that was going wrong it would be bad enough. Vietnam cost 58,000 American lives and Iraq has already wounded one-third that number -- over 12,000 troops, over 6,000 contractors.

Getting into a second Vietnam is bad enough. But that's just one of three terrible fates facing the U.S. today.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Politics | personal | war

May 24, 2005

The Frist Rule

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

frist.jpgThe filibuster, as we knew it, is dead.

Who should we thank for this? Why, Dr. Bill Frist, M.D. (right, from eparent.)

Until U.S. Senate Majority Leader Frist acted it took 60 Senators to assure passage of anything. That was the number needed to invoke cloture, a motion to limit debate in the self-styled "world's greatest deliberative body." Any group of 41 Senators could hold questions open through this filibuster-lite tactic.

Now the number needed for passage is less than 60. Depending on the unity of the proponents of a person or position, it could be as many as 59 or as little as 50.

So a Democratic Administration with a thin Democratic Senate majority could, if its Senate members were unified, pass strong environmental laws with 50 votes (and the Vice President), voting to ignore the chamber's rules and go ahead. It could pass national health care legislation, or a gay marriage bill, on a wafer-thin majority. It could make Hillary Clinton the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. (Heck, it could make Monica Lewinsky Chief Justice. Get thee to law school, girl!)

This became the de-facto rule as soon as Frist moved toward what its advocates called (at the time) the Nuclear Option (probably because it's so gosh-darned funny when the President tries to say the word "nuclear").

Yesterday's historic agreement was in fact a fig leaf over this accomplished fact.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

May 21, 2005

This Week's Clue: Jerimoth Hill

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

belmont statue01.jpegIn last week's issue of my free weekly e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.com, I took a look at business models , following a weekend at beautiful Belmont University in Nashville (left).

This week I continued the discussion, asking why so many responded to that piece denying they had any such thing as A Clue, let alone A-Clue.Com.

Enjoy.


There was an interesting reaction to my piece last week, denial.

Many of the leaders in the blogging business read it, and all of them denied its inherent truth, namely that they had A Clue.

I'm not a business, insisted Jason Calacanis. Never mind that he has 65 blogs, a uniform look-and-feel, that his writers don't even get their pictures on their blogs and, when they leave, they leave with nothing. No, it's all about passion, he insists. We do this for love, he says. Business? We're not building one of those.

So it went.

I'm not a success, insisted Rafat Ali of Paidcontent. I'm not powerful, insisted Markos Moulitsas of DailyKos. I'm a dilletante, said Glenn Reynolds. I'm only here for the beer, said Dave Winer. I'm no one at all, said Pamela Jones of Groklaw.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Copyright | Futurism | Internet | Investment | Journalism | Politics | blogging | e-commerce | online advertising | personal

May 18, 2005

Newsweek and 2+2

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

newsweek_logo_180x180.gifI didn't want to blog this. But when a good friend repeats a lie as truth and gets upset over it, truth just has to get its shoes on. So here goes.

Newsweek didn't kill anyone. Anyone who claims different is selling something.

Newsweek reported old news. The reporter, Michael Isikoff, had good sources in the Administration. He did all the right things. He had what he considered to be a reliable source. It was even buried deep in the back of the magazine.

The fact that people rioted, and people died, after the story came out is not the fault of Newsweek. It's the fault of whoever stuffed a Quran down the toilet. It's the fault of those who committed torture in our name, those who turned a blind eye to it, and ultimately those at the top. In the end I'm guessing that for every potential life saved by anything given under torture, at Abu Ghraib, Guantanamo, wherever, we created 100 terrorists, maybe more.

So let's get the story straight.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Journalism | Politics | ethics

Rushdie World

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

rushdie_salman.jpgAs the U.S. Senate prepares to take up the nuclear option, as the U.S. steps gingerly toward a trade confrontation with China, as pensions and real estate hang as if on a precipice, I'm not worried.

My saintly wife will tell you how I do sometimes rant-and-rail, about this-or-that, how I promise to pull up stakes and move to, say, South Africa. But I never do. Because at the end of the day, I believe, we'll muddle through. Americans have seen worse and gotten by, I tell myself. The system is resilient. This too shall pass.

Not necessarily. I have spent the last few weeks reading Salman Rushdie's most recent masterwork, The Ground Beneath Her Feet. The Earth is constantly shaking, people are always dying, nothing is permanent in this book. Everything and everyone around the narrator is subject to sudden disaster and destruction. The survivor's job is to witness, then tell the tale.

In many ways 9-11 was a visit from Rushdie World. Rushdie himself had moved to New York by then, trading in his beloved Tottenham Hotspur for a New York Yankee cap. And the tragedy is a sub-text to the book. It can happen here. It does. It will. Think of it as evolution in action. Too many people are just no darned good. Their greed, their causes, their passions make them all like nitroglycerin. And the Earth itself is no better.

Yet Rushdie is still here. And I'm still here. And you're still here. For how long we can't know. And we all seem fairly prosperous. Those with talent, and those who are willing to change themselves, may witness more, may survive longer, and may (like Rushdie) leave a mark.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Journalism | Politics | blogging | fiction | fun stuff | personal

May 17, 2005

Patently Obvious Patent and Copyright Reform

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Now that high-tech corporations are being held up (by smaller companies) there's a move afoot to reform the patent system.

Here is a simpler proposal, one in keeping with the intent of the Founders.

...continue reading.

Comments (10) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Economics | Politics | law

May 16, 2005

Oy, Canada

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

canada_flag.gifYou probably don't know this but Canada is in a world of hurt right now. And it's about to get worse.

The hurt is of self-inflicted. The governing Liberal Party is caught up in scandal , and the opposition is very regional - a Bush-like party based in the middle provinces, seperatists in Quebec and socialists in British Columbia.

But the big problem isn't political. It's regulatory.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications

May 11, 2005

CNN Surrenders to Blogosphere

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

CNN-logo.jpgWith CNN's decision, now reflected on its air, to become a national version of local TV news, with "it bleeds, it leads" sensibilities and a complete emphasis on simple stories told in front of courthouses rather than anything researched, the word needs to go out.

They have surrendered to the blogosphere.

With local TV news no longer covering politics or policy, and with cable news now virtually ignoring it, what other conclusion can be drawn?

It's not as if politics has no audience. Political blogs have the highest audiences, and highest degree of audience participation, in the blogosphere. Many are profitable, some wildly so. Many also break real news stories, either through the efforts of the people running them or just from common posters who do their own investigations and report the results.

In the history of journalism this is big news.

But it's not being reported as such.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging

May 09, 2005

Dirty Little Secret: Glenn Reynolds Is OK

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

GlennReynolds.jpgThe dirty little secret I uncovered at Blognashville is that Glenn Reynolds is actually a very nice guy. Smart, too. (Not truly handsome like I am but OK for a hair-head.)

Reynolds, who teaches law at UT Knoxville and apparently enjoys it, also plays a right-wing crank on his Instapundit site. He does this part-time and, in part thanks to first-mover advantage, he dominates the right half of the political blogosphere, with over 15,000 incomng links at last count. (This blog, by contrast, has 262.)

Reading Reynolds, and those who admire him, one gets a completely false impression of the man.

In Nashville I found an erudite, intelligent, and amused gentleman of the old school, always in a suit and tie, never seeming to sweat, with a genuine smile that looked nothing like the MegaChurch preacher readers might expect. The haircut looks like something out of a 1968 Young Republican Club, and the blog reads like that as well, but the mind and the man behind them are quite different.

There was some real wisdom in the man as well. Don't believe me? Following are some quotes lifted directly from my notebook during the event:

...continue reading.

Comments (28) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | e-commerce | marketing | online advertising

Manchurian Fantasy

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

James Gregory.jpgThere are days when I dream of a White House presser where a reporter snaps a Queen of Hearts at the President, just to see if they can trigger something.

If this guy were created by our enemies to destroy us he couldn't be doing a better job.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Politics | personal

May 05, 2005

New Left

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Ann.bmpAfter 1964, history shows, American liberalism went off the rails.

It started slowly, but it eventually accelerated until liberalism, as an ideal, became anathema to the majority of a generation.

While most 1960s liberals remained wedded to the principles of the New Deal, and the system it created, other voices demanded more radical change. A continuing land war in Asia drained the moderates' legitimacy, inflation rose, and in frustration many leftists dropped out, demanding a revolution against legal authority.

In 2005 a lot of liberals are scared of right-wing extremism, the way their parents were scared of long hair back in the day. There are loonies trying to re-condition gays into playing straight. In Kansas the state government is trying to toss science in favor of miracles. In Washington there's a court-packing scheme reminescent of Roosevelt's own in 1937 (which is just as popular).

And, of course, there's Ann Coulter (above). I think of her as Grace Slick for the neo-Nazi crowd. Since she's anti-drug (and apparently anti-food) she has to talk mighty big trash to get her little followers hot-and-bothered. Why get mad? Why not just laugh?

Unfortunately most liberals are responding to this by wailing almost as loudly as Goldwater conservatives (like my dad) did in the mid-1960s. Liberals seem both apoplectic and incompetent in the face of opponents run riot.

Personally, I think liberals ought to keep their cool, preach values to Wall Street, and simply look sober.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | fun stuff

May 04, 2005

East of the Blog, West of the Media

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

blog-mad.jpgI will be in Nashville this weekend, attending the meeting of the Media Bloggers Association. (The image is from a cool Brazilian blog I found, apparently written by a 16-year old.)

Before I could pack, leader Robert Cox sent me a list of new applicants for membership. Given the fact I felt my own journalistic credentials were under a microscope for months, waiting for his yea-or-nay (turned out I was lost in the shuffle) and given my own recent mistakes here, I was loathe to pass on the qualifications of others.

Generally, my opinion in the past was that the market decided who should be a journalist, and who was "just" a blogger. But that may not be right. After all, bloggers can go on-and-on until they exhaust themselves, and much journalism is subsidized by politicians, so that the requirement to lie becomes a lifestyle, and the liars become institutions whose credentials no one can question. Robert Novak is a journalist only because he's paid to play one on TV.

But then came news from Reporters Without Borders that 53 journalists died last year trying to report the news. That's paid journalists, real journalists, reporters, editors and publishers.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | law

May 02, 2005

The Myth of Scarcity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The bidding war between Verizon and Qwest for MCI is based on a myth of scarcity. That is, both think they can make the deal pay by squeezing customers for the scarce resources represented by the MCI network.

Moores Law of Fiber rendered that inoperative many years ago. There is no shortage of fiber backbone capacity. And there are ample replacements for Plain Old Telephone Service -- not just cable but wireless.

The myth on which this deal is based is, simply, untrue.

Yet the myth persists, and not just in the telecommunications business.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Economics | Internet | Investment | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications | personal

April 29, 2005

The Seventh Crisis

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

AntiJeffersonCartoon.image.jpgLast week I took a dispassionate look at economic cycles. This week let's take an equally dispassionate look at political cycles.

Political cycles are generational in nature. (The cartoon is from 1800 and AmericanPresident.Org. ) They're set in a time of great crisis. They're re-set when a new crisis occurs that the old assumptions can't deal with.

But they also wear out. Ideologies are like roads. You set off in a direction but, at some point, go beyond your destination. Yet the road keeps leading you on. And the kids finally say, let's go a new way.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | History | Politics | personal

April 25, 2005

Tear Down The Great Wall of Silence

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

mao zedong.jpg On the surface, the current upset between China and Japan seems ridiculous. (Illustration from Paulnoll.com. Mr. Noll was a corporal during the Korean conflict.)

That the heirs of Mao , that the Butchers of Beijing should lecture anyone about human rights seems absurd.

China puts more people to death each year than any country in the world. (Yes, even more than Texas.) China is a brutal dictatorship that oppresses its people as no other country, the most Totalitarian regime on Earth. My mentioning this may get Corante blocked to all of China, by the state's firewall system, the most extensive Internet censorship regime on the planet.

By contrast, Emperor Hirohito and the brutal system he led are dead. Japan acknowledged its sins in the 1951 Treaty of San Francisco and has since been a functioning democracy where politicians must accomodate the views of voters. Japan's Constitution forbids it to make war on its neighbors. Japan contributes more to good causes than any other national governnment.

This is power politics. China is pushing Japan out of the world power picture, letting Taiwan know that resistance is futile, and successfully challenging America's status as a Great Power. Just 12 years ago we were The Hyperpower. Now we're becoming second rate, losing our status to tyrants.

The reaction in the U.S. to all this has been silence. Deafening silence.

Few U.S. outlets have covered the story. The right-wing Cybercast "News" Service actually offered a balanced perspective. The New York Times offers only a fearful editorial on possible Chinese revaluation of the Yuan -- at another time this would be called appeasement.

The reason for this silence is not subject to dispute.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | Science | Security | Semiconductors | war

The Open Source Political Challenge

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

lobbyist.jpgIn politics a committed minority usually wins. (The lobbyist image originally appeared in New York's Gotham Gazzette, but I found it at Italy's e-laser.)

That's because, on most issues, there is no majority view. Most people don't care.

Learning an issue, and becoming committed to it, teaches you the source code of politics.

If your organization is tightly-knit, if your issues are driven by corporate interests, then your politics is closed source. On issues that mainly interest businesses this is determinative. Lobbyists and financial contributions fight and often come to settlements that aren't half bad. Traditionally most issues before regulators, from the EPA and FTC to the FDA and FCC, have been closed-source arguments.

If your organization is loosely knit, and if your issues are driven by personal feeling, then your politics is open source. Open source politics defines social issues, and the numbers involved in turn drive American politics as a whole. Politicians can win with only committed minorities on their side, if those minorities stand united.

What happens when closed source and open source politics collide? It depends on how much real interest those on the open source end can manage.

This collision is now apparent in telecommunications.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Digital Divide | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law

April 19, 2005

Old Girl Network

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


I declined to get involved in the Larry Summers sexism affair. (That's Larry at left, along with other future cast members of Saturday Night Live.)

But an opportunity has come to make a relevant comment, and brag on the old alma mater at the same time.

One big difference between Harvard, where Summers is President, and Rice, where I went to school, is that Harvard has an extensive Old Boy Network and Rice does not.

As an alumnus it pains me to admit this. Rice offers a high-quality education, better than Harvard in many ways, but once you're out you're on your own. There's no big power network in New York and Washington waiting to give you a leg-up.

But we're now seeing the flip side of this. Rice is a pure meritocracy. If you've got the goods, the Owl will shine his light on you. Harvard openings often go to those in the know, or those who know those in the know.

This may be why Larry Summers has trouble finding high-quality female scientists. Rice has had no trouble at all in that regard. In fact, the new Rice engineering Dean is Dr. Sallie Keller McNulty. The science dean is Kathleen Matthews, who chaired the search committee.

That is not all. Far from it. Dr. Rebekah Drezek and Dr. Jennifer West of the biochemistry department have recently found that silica-gold "nanoshells," another form of the Buckyball first found at Rice 20 years ago, can help cure cancer through imaging. They were following up on pioneering work on nanoshells by Dr. Naomi Halas, an electrical engineer. Dr. Halas, in turn, is currently being featured on PBS' Nova.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | Science | medicine

Open Source Transparency

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The key benefit of open source is transparency. (That's a transparent Mozambique garnet, from CLDJewelry in Tucson, Arizona. Transparency doesn't have to be perfect to be beautiful.)

The key benefit is not that the software is free. It's not that you can edit it. It has nothing to do with the obligations of the General Public License. It's inherent in every open source license out there.

The key advantage of open source is you can see the code. You can see how it works. You can take it apart. You can fix it. You can improve it. Most people do none of these things, but all benefit from this transparency.

The benefit became clear when I got responses to a ZDNet post called Is Linux Becoming Windows? The news hook was a Peter Galli story about how some folks were getting upset over the feature bloat now taking place in the Linux 2.6 kernel.

Those who responded said simply that the complainents, and I, had lost our minds. Kernel features aren't mandatory. Just because something is supported doesn't mean you have to do it. You can pick and choose among features, because you can see the whole code base -- it's transparent. You can look at the various builds out there and, if there's something you don't like, something you can do better, you can fork it, and maintain your own enhanced code base.

When Microsoft changes its software it makes things incompatible. When Linux software changes this doesn't happen, because the change is transparent. New builds are transparent, and if you come to a fork in your operating system road you can take it.

Transparency is the key term. And it doesn't just apply to software:

...continue reading.

Comments (19) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consulting | Economics | History | Investment | Linux | Politics | law

April 18, 2005

Blogger of the Year

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

groklaw.gif
Having done this work for a few years now, I do sometimes ask myself what the best bloggers have that I might lack.

The answer comes down to one thing. The best stay on one thing. They know their beats, know their limits, they do the research, and they don't flit around outside those subjects (the way I often do).

The most important blogger of our time is probably Pamela Jones of Groklaw. Groklaw is more a community than a blog (but so is DailyKos). Despite the extensive help her audience gives her, Jones still gives her beat rigid attention, tons of supporting materials, and she gives her enemies plenty of rope for hanging themselves so that, when she does speak her mind, she has both authority and supporters.

...continue reading.

Comments (14) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | law

April 13, 2005

WiFi Movement in Disarray

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Lenin named his small movement the Bolsheviks, a word meaning majority. He called his majority opponents Mensheviks, a word meaning minority.

The point is that if one side is large and undisciplined while the other side is smaller but tightly disciplined, the smaller group can win a political struggle.

That seems to be the case with municipal wifi. It's an undeniable good everyone wants. It's relatively cheap to install and maintain. It should be a no-brainer.

But it's losing to telephone monopolies because of lax discipline.

I've gotten a taste of that this week in criticisms of my recent pieces on Philly's WiFi plan.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Consulting | Digital Divide | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications

April 12, 2005

The Right Way to CityWide WiFi

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Glenn Fleischman and I disagree so seldom, we both get confused when it happens.

It happened this week when I wrote predicting the failure of Philly's WiFi plan. Glenn says the taxpayers are protected and it all looks good to him. I, on the other hand, have seen Eagles fans.

Long story short I thought it would help if I described what might be a better plan for citywide WiFi. Apologies to those of you who have read this before.

The short answer is WiMax. The long version follows the break.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | B2B | Business Models | Consulting | Digital Divide | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications

April 11, 2005

Today's Big Lie: Spam Is OK

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

spam.gif Today's big lie is a misinterpretation of the latest Pew Internet Survey. We think spam is no big deal.

(The great-tasting pork-shoulder-and-ham concoction from Hormel pictured to the left is still a very big deal in Alaska and Hawaii. They love the stuff.)

"Email users are starting to get comfy with the spamvertisers" claims Silicon.com. Internet Users Unruffled by Spam, says TopTechNews. Internet users more accepting of spam, says Forbes.

Well, nonsense. (I would use stronger language, but I want everyone to get the point.)

Here are some facts from the same study. Barely half of us now trust e-mail, down 11% from a year ago. Over one-fifth of us have cut down our e-mail use because of spam, just in the last year.

As for the rest...users have learned to deal. We have spam filters. I use Mailwasher. We don't get as much as before because more of it is being stopped at the server level.

That doesn't mean we like it. And it's deliberately misleading to say it is. It's like the battered wife syndrome. Why doesn't she leave the jerk? Why don't you just go offline?

It's the same question with the same answer. You find ways.

But if someone would finally arrest the batterer and throw his butt in the slammer for a good long time she'd learn to be grateful.

Which reminds me...

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | ethics | law | personal | spam

April 04, 2005

Who Sets The Agenda?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

thomas friedman.gifThe great struggle of our time, between "major media journalism" and "blogging" involves who sets the agenda.

Exhibit A. I've been writing about the economic threat of India and China for years now. I've called the War on Terror a mere distraction from the real game. I know other bloggers have done the same.

But suddenly, wonder of wonders, Thomas Friedman of The New York Times goes to Bangalore, discovers we're right and now it's on everyone's radar.

I've written before here of the methods by which the major media is trying to co-opt the blogosphere and eliminate the threat. They're taking on some people, attacking others, and in this case, just taking others' ideas and claiming them for their own.


...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Digital Divide | Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | personal

April 01, 2005

The Issue of Our Time

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The following appeared today in my free weekly e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.Com, now into its 9th year of publication.

You can get it free any time.


Science is the political issue of our time.

It will surprise many to hear it's controversial. But to those with an historical perspective it's no surprise at all.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | Science | law | personal

We Love Vint Cerf

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

vint cerf.jpg Over the years I've been critical of Vint Cerf, one of the original gearheads credited with TCP/IP.

(One look at the hairline, of course, and one must admit he's a Truly Handsome Man. The picture is from Computerhistory.org, a page describing his early work.)

When Cert looks into the future today, he gets it. He understands where we should be going, and perhaps more importantly where we should not be going, in regards to the Internet.

He shared some of that wisdom Wednesday at a dinner called Freedom to Connect.

Following are some of the high points:

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | law

March 31, 2005

The Right Telecomm Policy

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

simplicity.jpg

Now that you’ve read my latest dismissive screed against the government, the question may have occurred to you.

What might a proper telecommunications policy consist of? (Very pretty flower, I know. Here's where I got it. The picture is called Simplicity.)

It’s really quite simple.

Click below and I'll tell you.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Economics | Internet | Investment | Moore's Lore | Politics | Telecommunications | law

Qwest Persists For Big Government's Sake

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

qwest.jpgQwest is playing the game Wall Street wants it to play.

That game is predicated on the assumption that there can only be a few big "winners" and everyone else is a loser.

Wall Street also believes that tleecommunications is fearfully expensive to provide, that it is a "capital-intensive" business.

In this analysis, Moore's Law is ignored. Forget how fiber becomes more efficient with each passing year. Forget how we use bandwidth more efficiently, or how the cost of processing goes down.

To Wall Street, telecommunications is capital intensive and there can only be a few winners. Period. The end.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications

March 29, 2005

Google vs. News Inc.

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

hg otis.jpg
The real Hardball isn't the game show on MSNBC, where politicians lie and yap at one another.

It's something far more serious, played every day, by huge corporations that masquerade as guardians of the public interest, but are in fact as corrupt as the rest of us. (That's LA Times founder Harrison Gray Otis on the right. More about Harry Otis here, near the bottom of the page. I direct David Shaw's attention to the quote from Theodore Roosevelt.)

The prerogatives of these corporations and their hirelings, who call themselves journalists (then deny this status to you and me) is under threat on this medium as never before. They're scared, and they're playing Hardball.

Their right, earned by corporate might, to define what is and what isn't news, what is and what isn't fair comment, is under threat, right here, right now.

And they don't like it one bit.

The game is being played mainly on three search engines. On MSN note how these corporations are given, not dominance, but exclusivity. The same is true on Yahoo. Note the list of "resources" at the top-right of the Yahoo page. Note too the prominence given one outfit's stories, the newspaper co-op called AP.

In both cases what you see on your screen is the result of business negotiation. News value is determined by people, meeting in rooms, and (perhaps) money changes hands (we're not told).

Is this fair? It may well be. It's certainly business as usual. And -- here is the key point -- the process is completely opaque.

On the other hand, we have Google News. What you see here looks similar but it is, in fact, quite different. While the stories of the giants do get prominent play, so do other organizations, and other types of news coverage.

At 11:15 AM for instance I checked Google's "coverage" of Laura Bush's trip to Afghanistan, sorted by relevance. Position four was held by a right-wing group, the Conservative Voice. Position seven was held by a left-wing site, Counter Currents, posting a blog item from Counterpunch.

The results on all stories change moment-to-moment, and only a small part of what we call the blogosphere is represented, but the fact is that Google News is offering a far wider set of sources than its rivals. These include "official" outlets like Voice of America and Pravda. They include newspaper sites requiring registration. They also include many sites from outside the U.S.

In some cases, they even include blogs. Yes, even this one.

But that's not the full extent of Google's challenge to the news industry.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Copyright | Digital Divide | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications | blogging | ethics | personal

March 28, 2005

The Schiavo Spammer

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

tacm.jpgHere is the problem I have with special pleading. Anyone can do it.

But once we let one do it, all do it.

And so I call upon whoever hosts the Tony Alamo Christian Ministries to pull the plug on its ISP account.

And I call on all other ISPs to refuse the pastor's money.

I do this because his site just spammed me from the e-mail address tlthe5th@myway.com.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics | ethics | spam

The Demonization of Google Has Begun

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

google_fark.jpgThe demonization of Google has begun. (Image from InternetWeekly.org.)

It's one of the great laws of politics. As soon as people decide you have power, and you can be moved, everyone and his auntie is going to try and move you.

I hinted that something might be happening more than a month ago, but it was probably the controversy over Google News that tipped it over.

With Google News, from the very beginning, Google did something it claimed it wasn’t doing. That is, it exercised editorial judgement. As SearchEngine Journal noted, “While an algorithm based on publishing popularity chooses which articles are found under which keyword phrases, the news-authority sources themselves are supposed to be pre-screened by a human.” And some immediately started writing programs to see what those humans might be doing.

But just as I was objecting, wanting to get in, others were objecting wanting to stay out. Agence France-Presse has won an agreement from Google that News won’t even spider stories sent to its affiliates, while Jeff Jarvis is crowing that Google News no longer spiders “hate sites.”

And now the atmosphere of controversy has spilled into the main site. French law demands that ads for competitors not be placed against trademarks. Google complies, on its French site, but continues to employ them on its U.S. site, where the standard is different. So the French sue.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Copyright | Internet | Investment | Journalism | Politics | e-commerce | online advertising

Editorial Licensing

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Photo-los-angeles-times-building-post-bombing.jpg

At the heart of the First Amendment is the idea that you don't need a license to do journalism. (Take a close look at the Wikipedia picture -- there will be a test later.)

Now, in the name of fighting competition from a new technology, some journalists are calling for just such a license.

The bleating is seen best in today's column by David Shaw of the LA Times. Shaw feels that privileges his industry worked hard to create will be threatened if bloggers can avail themselves of the same protections.

I hope I'm getting the best of his argument in the following quote:

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Journalism | Politics | blogging | law

March 25, 2005

Content's Forgotten Middle Class

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

discreet charm of the bourgeoisie.jpgIn all the arguments over copyright and patents the interests of the middle class creator are constantly invoked, then discarded.

The fact is that, while most western countries are middle class, the structure of their creative classes is pre-Marxist. That is there are a few writers, artists, musicians and actors who get rich from it, and a lot who get virtually nothing.

Unless you have business acumen, or constant success in your field, you're very likely to end up poor. And without a big hit, you're nearly certain to end up relatively poor from your work in the content industries.

At the same time, those who manage the industry, whether or not they have any talent, nearly all wind up rich.

Thus there's a difference between what we find in society as a whole and the content society.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consumer Electronics | Copyright | Futurism | History | Politics | law | personal

March 23, 2005

Bill Nye for President

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

bill nye.jpg Few people understand this yet, but there is a thread tieing together most public issues in our time.

That thread is science, the issue represented best by comedian Bill Nye, the Science Guy. Thus the headline.

This Administration, and its acolytes, oppose science. But science is our only hope for solving real problems. As a result America's competitiveness is disappearing.


  • In the Schiavo case, Bush is ignoring the science showing the death of the brain is the real death, not the beating of a heart.
  • In the case of Alaskan Oil, Bush is ignoring both the sciences of global warming and of hydrogen replacement.
  • This Administration favors the ignorance of "intelligent design" over the science of evolution.
  • The isolation of scientists from political decision-making guarantees ignorant decisions.

It is becoming increasingly difficult for this Administration's supporters to point to an issue, or a decision, or a controversy, where their side supports real science. Instead, science itself is increasingly politicized.

The idea that science is under direct attack remains inchoate in the American electorate. Despite repeated political calls by real scientists for more science education, and a greater use of science in decision-making, those involved in technology remain reluctant to brand George W. Bush their enemy.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics

March 21, 2005

Terrorism or Freedom Fighter

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

kofi annan 2.jpgI am a supporter of the U.N. I want it to have real power and influence.

This makes me a minority among my countrymen. So be it.

But I found myself troubled in reading this definition of terrorism today from U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan:

"any action constitutes terrorism if it is intended to cause death or serious bodily harm to civilians or non-combatants with the purpose of intimidating a population or compelling a government or an international organisation to do or abstain from doing any act".

In effect this prohibits any violent action against any tyrannical government, and puts the U.N. on record supporting that tyranny.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | Security | law | personal | war

March 18, 2005

The Oil Curse

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Spindletop.gifNote: The following was published today in my free weekly e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.Com, now in its 9th year. Join us -- always free.


The great financial Curse is to have money coming out of the ground.

I didn't believe this when I started in journalism. I started in Houston, whose economy was based entirely on the concept of money coming out of the ground - Black Gold, Texas Tea.

For most of history, money has mainly come out of the ground. Assets were what you could drill for, what you could mine, or what you could grow. The exceptions to this rule were those of trade. If you sat astride a trade route, if you had a deep water port, if the railroads decided that your location would work for a station, then your land had value.

Moore's Law has changed all that. The Internet has changed that for all time.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | History | Investment | Moore's Lore | Politics | law | personal

The New ILECs

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Steve largent.jpgCellular companies used to be the small, scrappy, second-tier telecomm carriers.

They're now morphing into ILECs, like the Bells. The two largest cellcos -- Cingular and Verizon Wireless -- are in fact owned by Bells. The other big guys -- T-Mobile, Sprint -- also have local coverage areas. (T-Mobile's is in Germany.)

But I'm talking about more than a superficial resemblance. At CTIA, CEO (and former Congressman) Steve Largent (right) announced MyWireless, the beginnings of an effort to use all forms of manipulation -- including Astroturf , to protect the industry's position and stall change through the courts and legislatures.

This is not how Largent (who was also a record-setting wide receiver for Seattle in a past life) put it.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | cellular | law

So Now You Notice...Why?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

jeff jarvis.jpg
Who is to blame for the vapid nonsense of celebrity journalism?

To some extent, you are.

When I write about things that are really important, about space or futurism or how our lives are changing with cellular, few notice. This is normal service.

When I step on the tail of Tina Brown, suddenly the blogosphere pays attention.

Partly as a result our most popular blogs are the cattiest, the most like the worst of the Main Stream Media attitude I criticized.

Is this an attack on Jeff Jarvis? (That's him on CNN.) No, it's not. He's responding to the market, to the audience, to you.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Futurism | History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics | personal

March 17, 2005

Bloggers are the new Stasi?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

google stpatricks_05.gif
Dem's fighting words, ma'am.

The words are from Tina Brown (right, from the syndicator of her column), at the Washington Post, and they are among the greatest pieces of chutzpah I have ever seen. (Although, personally, I'd love a syndicator. And I could do a job for one, too.)

Careful about clicking below, because I'm about to get mad and my language is about to get very blue indeed.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | ethics

March 15, 2005

IBM Suit Demonstrates Hollowing of Military

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Folks who should know better, like Steve Gilliard, are gleefully piling on a story from New York about an IBM executive who was fired because his Reserve commitment rendered him worthless to the company after September 11.

The story, by columnis Denis Hamill (left) is a righteous bust. IBM is going to lose the suit. IBM deserves to lose the suit. And the only reason I get to write about this at all is because IBM is a tech company.

But the issue goes deeper than any one employer.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Journalism | Politics | personal | war

March 14, 2005

Spectrum Law Is Not Property Law

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

When John W. Berresford speaks, the Bush Administration listens.

Berresford is the FCC's senior antitrust lawyer and a professor at the right's favorite school, George Mason. He has power and the connections to turn his statements into policy.

So when he came out with a paper today about spectrum policy, it was bound to be read avidly.

In his paper Berresford favorably compares the law of land property to that of spectrum. He notes how property rights and spectrum rights are limited under the law, often in the same ways, and states that "efficiency" should be the watchword in spectrum policy.

We should know what we're in for when, in his first paragraph, he mischaracterizes the debate:

Debate rages about whether the allocation and management of the radio frequency spectrum should be mostly a political process, treating it as “The People’s Airwaves,” or mostly market-driven, treating it as private property.

That's not the debate. The debate boils down to science and markets. What treatment of spectrum best serves the market, that of a government-owned monopoly or a carefully-managed resource?

We haven't just "discovered" how to use vast new areas of spectrum in the last 20 years. We've learned a lot about how such spectrum can be re-used, again-and-again.

Thus the argument of property vs. commons isn't a left-right argument (as Berresford supposes in his introduction). It's an argument over science and efficiency.

And the plain fact is that the spectrum which is most efficiently used in this country, which makes the most money per hertz, by far, is the unlicensed spectrum.

Berresford ignores both the science and market forces behind this fact.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Economics | Futurism | Politics | Telecommunications | law

March 11, 2005

Dean Kamen Gets It

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

What should a rational U.S. technology policy include? Very simple:

  • Honor education.
  • Pay educators.
  • Invest in Big Science, big dreams.
  • Turn scientists and engineers (even young ones) into stars.

Fortunately, someone gets it.

Dean Kamen (right) gets it.

Yeah, the Segway guy. Here's how he puts it on the home page of the educational organization he founded, US First:

"Create a world where science and technology are celebrated... where young people dream of becoming science and technology heroes..."

I can't say it any better.

Best of all, his words are backed by action. What follows is my personal testimony to this:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Politics | Science | personal

Doerr Doesn't Get It

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

A delegation from the TechNet lobby, including John Doerr (Rice '73) and Cisco chief John Chambers, were on Capitol Hill today warning legislators that the U.S. is in danger of losing its technology lead.

By some measures, it has already happened.

TechNet wants more spending on math and science education, especially in middle schools, and more tech-oriented retraining for displaced workers.

Amen to that. Both my kids felt math was fun in 4th grade, but neither is pursuing it anymore. My son's school refused to challenge him in 7th grade, resorting to a curriculum he'd already learned, and he lost interest. My daughter was bedeviled by reading difficulties and her strength in math was ignored.

Then Doerr went off and spoiled it all by saying something stupid.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | Science | fun stuff | personal

March 10, 2005

Mutterings on Corporate Personhood

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The folks at ZDNet (of all places) are starting to hear mutterings against the concept of corporate personhood.

Companies are individuals under U.S. law. But they can't be killed or jailed as real people can. Their interests are immortal. (The illustration is from a group trying to change this.)

Corporations were made persons by the footnotes to an obscure 19th century Supreme Court decision involving the Southern Pacific Railroad. All those involved are long since dead but the railroal company's interests survive as part of the Union Pacific Corp.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Journalism | Politics | law | personal

March 09, 2005

BBC Gets It Wrong On China

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The BBC has a feature today claiming China's censorship of the Internet is highly effective.

In some ways China has been effective. All ISPs and access points are licensed and monitored. The Great Firewall of China rejects controversial queries. A blogger who criticized the authorities using their own name would be quickly arrested.

But there's a lot more to the story than that:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | personal

March 04, 2005

Fall of the American Empire

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Note: The following was published today in my free weekly e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.Com, which celebrates its 8th birthday today. Join us -- always free.


In his "Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire" (no relation to the record company whose logo is to the right) Edward Gibbon notes that the causes of Rome's problems were not debated at the time.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | blogging | personal | war

March 03, 2005

Barrett for President

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I used to like Intel chairman Craig Barrett.

Now, as he prepares for his May exit from the job he's had for seven years, I love Craig Barrett. (Image from ComputerWorld's Heroes page.)

Steve Stroh thanked VNU for the news tip, and I hereby thank Steve. But in his final address to the Intel Developer Forum, Barrett basically went off on the FCC.

I wish I had been able to say this:

"I believe in the Hippocratic Oath for government: first do no harm. That means sorting out spectrum allocation, fostering R&D and creating an environment to let business function," he said.

"[WiMax] is the solution to the 'last mile' broadband issue. It will get us out of the half-assed broadband situation we're in today. 1 Mbps to 2 Mbps is not broadband; 50 Mbps is."

Tell it, brother Barrett. Amen. More on what this means after the jump.


...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Futurism | Journalism | Moore's Lore | Politics | personal

February 28, 2005

Gates Gets A Clue

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I was at the YMCA yesterday, pushing the old bones through another workout, and a crowd gathered around a TV where Bill Gates was giving a speech.

He was reading the speech the way he does, one shoulder slumped down like a hipster from the 50s. The expensively-crafted words did his work for him. He didn't need to work to sing. It's good to be king.

And his message was simple. High schools suck. The words were repeated gleefully as far away as Beijing. "When I compare our high school with what I see abroad I am terrified for our work force of tomorrow."

Both my kids are in high school, Bill, and I'm terrified too. But platitudes won't get it done. Neither will all your money.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | Science | personal

February 26, 2005

Media Timidity

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Good journalism stories have clear leads, a point of view, and publishers have the courage to defend the results.

There is very little good journalism going on today, which may be why the profession's reputation is shot. In today's class we have two examples of this to show you.

Exhibit A is Spectrum Wars, a long National Journal feature proudly sent to the Interesting People by its author, Drew Clark of their Technology Daily.

It's a solid, workmanlike overview of efforts to free-up spectrum going back over a decade. But it fails to put across any point of view, other than repeating that broadcasters want to keep their frequencies, including those given for HDTV.

It refuses to answer key questions:


  1. Should frequencies be sold or made part of the commons?
  2. Should we be broadcasting or data-casting?

In fact, it doesn't even effectively ask them.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | ethics | spam

February 25, 2005

The Climax State

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Note: The following was published today in my free weekly e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.Com, which celebrates its 8th birthday next week. Join us -- always free.


Karl Marx was one of the great moral philosophers of the 19th century. But his vision was perverted, in the 20th century, and made the center of a system that imprisoned billions of people, one that required decades of war to eradicate.

Ayn Rand, who was born 100 years ago, was one of the great moral philosophers of the 20th century. Her novels, The Fountainhead and Atlas Shrugged , have become as important as Marx' Das Kapital was to Communists, in defining the ideology of modern Conservativism.

It's just as imprisoning.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | History | Politics | ethics | personal

February 24, 2005

Academic Freedom

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Academic freedom is the great issue of our time, because it's not a one-way street.

Just as the GPL carries with it, as one of its "freedoms," the obligation to give back your finished tools under the GPL, so academic freedom also carries an obligation.

That obligation is to the scientific method. (The illustration is from a great discussion of bad science from Frankfurt, Germany. Use the link and then tell me who's pictured in the comments.)

The scientific method does not deal in truth, but in theories. All theories are constantly tested and adjusted by new observations or experiment. They are measured by whether they work, in engineering or in creating new lines of inquiry.

Academic review works similarly. Anyone who has done a dissertation knows the drill. You have to defend your work before people who understand it, and only after you withstand the scrutiny do you get the robe.

Politics exists in both science and academia, but politics doesn't control the whole process. The check on campus politics is the presence of other campuses, and the wider world of the discipline.

This is precisely what is under threat in our time.

...continue reading.

Comments (4) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics | Science

February 23, 2005

Rock or Hard Place?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

As of now, all class action lawsuits must go through the federal courts.

The Bushies may be sorry they made this change, because a very big class action is likely to head their way very soon.

The action will be against ChoicePoint, which managed to sell 145,000 credit dossiers to criminal gangs.

That's a big class. Every single victim may have had their identity stolen, either now or sometime later. At minimum, each victim faces a daunting task to re-establish their identity, and the impact of this theft is likely to follow them for years.

That's what lawyers call an actionable tort.

So far only one lawsuit has been filed, an individual suit in California. Expect many more.

The press coverage of this scandal has, so far, been horrendous. Most stories, like CNN's, act like the victims here somehow did something wrong.

They didn't. This was a deliberate act by a company too greedy to take proper care. They deserve whatever the legal system can dish out -- which right now is a lot less than it was a few weeks ago.

And that's the problem.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Investment | Politics | e-commerce | law

February 21, 2005

Moohr's Law

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

As mentioned in the previous item, I was honored last weekend to speak at the Virginia Journal on Law and Technology (VJOLT) Symposium, "Real Law and Online Rights."

I'd expected an argument. The vast majority of copyright lawyers today are employed by copyright holders. Instead, I was given the lead-off slot, the small congregation nodded in time to my music, and the speakers all advocated a balanced view of copyright and patent law.

One of the best (in my opinion), was Geraldine Moohr, who teaches at the University of Houston Law School, a short bike ride from my old stomping grounds at Rice. She based her talk on a paper she wrote last year on copyright criminal law.

The short version. It doesn't work. "There is a lack of a social norm that would condemn personal use infringement," she said. "Civil penalties may be good enough. They have a a punitive quality to them."

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Copyright | Politics | law

Would Franklin Blog, Would Jefferson Fileshare

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

While Susan Crawford was asking whether Ben Franklin would blog, (and Donna Wentworth was pointing the world to her piece) I was being asked a similar question "would Jefferson file share" at a VJOLT conference in Charlottesville.

The answer, in both cases, would depend on which Franklin or Jefferson you were talking about.

Franklin was desperate to publish as a young man, and the 1721 Franklin would doubtless have blogged. As a printer, Franklin routinely used copyrighted material without payment, and as a raconteur/diplomat he was far more often on the receiving end, so if he had blogged then he would have done it very carefully, judiciously, with an eye toward public opinion.

Jefferson was the first consumer, and doubtless would have used Grokster in his dorm at William & Mary. But later, as he became a public figure, he would have been far more conscious of the need for anonymity. As a politician, he would have no more admitted to copyright violation than George W. Bush would admit to smoking pot.

Both men, however, learned to live as though their private lives were public. Franklin used his fame to win an alliance with France, even letting himself be pictured in a beaver hat. Jefferson dealt with the Sally Hemings affair throughout the 1800 campaign, not to mention his lifelong reputation as a spendthrift, a wastral and, in the end, a bankrupt.

A better question might be this. Could you, or I, have done as well, then or now?

I doubt it. But we all should try.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | History | Politics | blogging | ethics | law

February 18, 2005

The Chinese Century Begins (Really)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Unlike my novel, The Chinese Century, the following is true.

China now outconsumes America on most goods (gasoline being an exception).

This fact carries with it some important economic implications. Let's discuss them:

  1. The U.S. is going to have to learn conservation. Being outside the Kyoto accord doesn't matter. If we are to waste what we use, we will be unable to buy more.
  2. In most U.S. recessions prices go down. Next time they won't. There are other big markets for the world's goods. We're not essential any more.
  3. China's economy continues to grow at nearly 10% per year. The gap between their market and ours is widening.
  4. China is becoming less dependent on exports to the U.S. in order to clear its production shelves. When our economy tanks their prices will go down, and their consumers will benefit.
  5. China is not Japan. Japanese consumers remained reluctant to consume throughout their boom. China has proven it will consume.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Futurism | Politics | personal

February 16, 2005

Cato The Clueless

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The Cato Institute claims to be an advocate of free enterprise, by which we are meant to think free and open competition. (That's the logo from one of their standard online products.)

Nope.

They are, in fact, huge supporters of untrammeled business power, of oligopoly. Hey, where do you think their funding comes from, rabbits?

Here's a great example. It's a blog they call Tech Liberation. It takes a few clicks to learn this is a Cato shop, but they're not really hiding it.

The piece is by Adam Thierer (left), who works full-time at Cato as "director of telecommunication studies.". Its theme is the latest round of telecom mergers. Its message is don't worry, be happy.

"We can safely conclude that the communications / broadband networking business can be very competitive with 2 or 3 or even 4 major backbone providers in each region providing some mix of voice, video and data services."

Evidence for this? A Wall Street Journal piece noting that SBC wants to get into cable television. Other than that, a lot of chirping crickets. And some very nasty lies.

Want a taste?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Economics | Futurism | Investment | Moore's Lore | Politics | Telecommunications

February 14, 2005

(Trying To Be) Too Big To Fail

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

What's the Clue from SBC's purchase of AT&T and Verizon's coming purchase of MCI? (That's a 1949 Southern Bell logo, from the Knox County, Tennessee historical collection. Beautiful, isn't it?)

The Bells know they are irrelevant to the future. They hope to become too big to fail.

Regulators in most of the world understand that phone monopolies need to be broken up, not just for the sake of competition but for the sake of technology. The EU is spurring the development of VOIP and regularly slapping the hands of "incumbent carriers." The developing world, meanwhile, is able to create multiple wireless competitors, by fiat, and watch competition drive innovation to a degree we can only dream of.

Why are the U.S. Bells the only phone companies in the world that could truly become "too big to fail?"

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications

Is Science Politics? Gilder Thinks So

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

One way I can tell that America's conservatives have become ideologues, akin to Communists, Fascists, and other idiots, is how they have turned everything into politics.

Even science.

I'm not talking about the ongoing debate over teaching science or religion on the schools. It's easy to see how so-called "intelligent design" is religion because you can't do anything with the insight "God did it" -- it leads to no experiment, and ends questioning. Evolution, on the other hand, constantly brings new questions with it. Theories are used to stimulate questions, not end them.

I'm talking instead about how, when you get some of these advocates in a corner, they will flat-out admit that the whole thing is politics, just another way to fight the liberal impulse on behalf of their ideology.

The canary in this coal mine is named George Gilder, (above, from Forbes), and in Wired this month he sings this tune like Sinatra.

Watch him build (then knock down) his evolution straw man:

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Politics | Science | personal

February 10, 2005

Open Source Politics

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


NOTE: Howard Dean will become chairman of the Democratic Party this weekend. Consider this an open letter to the new boss, from the bottom of the grassroots.



I was wrong about something important last year.

The year 2004 did not represent a “generational election” because people live longer than they used to. Thus, the Nixon Coalition was able to get the knees to jerk by turning 2004 into 1968. Democrats went along by nominating a man of the 60s.

Had this been a true generational election Vietnam would have been irrelevant, just as the New Deal was irrelevant to those marching in 1968, and the Spanish-American War was history to the hungry of 1932.

Will 2008 be the generational election? Maybe, but maybe not. In that year a person born in 1955, at the height of the “baby boom,” will be only 53. That’s still old enough to matter.

But a new generation is coming along, and that’s where Democrats should concentrate their attention.

The last generation had a name, Baby Boom. The new generation has a name, too.

The new generation is the Internet Generation.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Futurism | Internet | Politics | blogging | personal

February 05, 2005

MCI Fingered for Spam Flood

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

MCI grossed an estimated $5 million/year violating the law in its home state of Virginia, by knowingly hosting sales of a Russian virus used to turn PCs into spam zombies.

The full story, by Spamhaus' Steve Linford (below) was distributed online today. It charges that MCI knowingly hosts Send-Safe.Com, which sells a spam virus that takes over innocent computers and turns them into spam-sending proxies. Linford tracked Send-Safe to a Russian, Ruslan Ibragimov. Linford estimates MCI earns $5 million/year from its work supporting spammers.

The theft of broadband-connected PCs by viruses, mainly Send Safe and another Russian-made program, Alexey Panov's Direct Mail Sender ("DMS"), is responsible for 90% of the spam coming into AOL and other major ISPs, Linford charged.

Here's the nut graph:


MCI Worldcom not only knows very well they are hosting the Send Safe spam operation, MCI's executives know send-safe.com uses the MCI network to sell and distribute the illegal Send Safe proxy hijacking bulk mailer, yet MCI has been providing service to send-safe.com for more than a year.

Want this made a little more explicit? Read on.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: B2B | Copyright | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Security | Software | blogging | ethics | law | online advertising | spam

February 03, 2005

The Legal Threat To Growth

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I agree with President Bush on something.

Lawyers represent a major threat to our economy.

But I'm not worried about defense lawyers, or plaintiff's lawyers. I'm worried about the newer scourge of so-called "intellectual property" lawyers.

You won't find the phrase "intellectual property" in the Constitution. (It's often credited mainly to James Madison, left.) There, patents and copyrights are covered by a subsection of Article I, Section 8, whcih gives to the Congress power "To promote the progress of science and useful arts, by securing for limited times to authors and inventors the exclusive right to their respective writings and discoveries."

For limited times. To promote progress.

Because economic power has shifted, in our time, from our hands to our heads, and because technology is now able to move the product of our minds around the world at the speed of thought, American lawyers have done just what their British counterparts did two centuries ago. They've tried to make our economic leadership permanent through the language of law.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Economics | Futurism | History | Journalism | Politics | law | personal

February 01, 2005

The Closeted Generation

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There is much wailing-and-gnashing-of-teeth going on concerning a poll showing U.S. high school students are indifferent to freedom. (The image, by the way, is from The Minhdonian National Gallery.)

There should be no surprise. This may be the most closeted generation of young people ever. How in the world do you expect them to value something none of them have ever been given?

Today's high schoolers have been told "no" in the loudest possible terms since they were babies. Say no to drugs. Say no to sex. Get your rock from the Disney Channel. Get your rebellion from Nickelodeon.

If they have newspapers in high school these are routinely censored. Even college papers are censored, and closed if they trouble authorities in any way. Kids are even punished for publishing diaries on the Web, even anonymously.

Kids live in a world of V-Chips and drug tests, of mass media with Cyber-Nanny software. It's a comfortable world, for most of them. They're driven from school to ball-field, from day care to proms, but constantly warned that one step over the line will kill them, literally kill them.

No wonder they don't care about freedom.

And I'm not saying this from a sense of moral superiority. I've got two teenagers of my own. They're as closeted as their peers. Although I love them dearly.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | History | Politics | ethics | personal

January 28, 2005

Lessons From SBC-AT&T

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


Assuming SBC does swallow AT&T (no doubt for less than BellSouth was offering earlier) would provide important lessons. (The image is from FreeBSD developer Greg Lehey, and was originally produced in 2002.)

First and foremost, it would be the murder of a great company by the government. It was government that broke up AT&T in the 1980s, and it was government that made AT&T non-competitive in our time.

Second, of course, it means that business tributes to the U.S. government are even more important than previously imagined. If the government can murder the nation's largest company (albeit over time and in chunks) it means no company is safe from a rapacious government, regardless of party. (Is is coincidence that AT&T was forced to divest during the Reagan Administration, and killed under Bush II? Check the campaign contribution files for the answer to that one.)

But wait, there are more lessons.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Economics | History | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications

January 27, 2005

Another Greater Fool Study

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The Elliott Wave people ask, "Is the Greater Fool Era Ending?"

Answer: No.

Here is proof. Strategy Analytics has recently published another of those truly loony market studies, this one claiming that mobile phone operators will lose $12 billion from broadband wireless over the next several years.

It's nonsense because its premise is false, namely that those profits are out there to lose.

Yes, it's possible that if WiFi and WiMax didn't exist that all broadband revenues would go to cellular. It's also true that if freeways didn't exist all inter-city traffic would be by railroad. But that does not mean I impute a loss of billions to the railroads.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Economics | Investment | Journalism | Politics | Telecommunications | law

January 26, 2005

Open Source Campaigns

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

gdtop3.jpg
I wrote this for the GreaterDemocracyblog, but I'm also posting it here, because I can.



The software you have on your PC determines what you can do with it. The software a campaign or political movement uses reflects what it can do.

The biggest mistake Howard Dean made in his 2004 campaign wasn’t his attacks on Gephardt, and it wasn’t the scream. It was his software’s failure to “scale the intimacy,” to give the 1 millionth, or 10 millionth, campaign participant the same features, and the same sense of belonging, given the 10th and 100th.

Throughout the campaign, and even to this day, Dean and his Democracy for America have relied on Movable Type as their interface with supporters. MT is a good product, but its interactivity is limited. You enter an item on the blog, and comments flow from it in a straight line.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Software | blogging | computer interfaces | personal

January 25, 2005

Bush's Great Favor

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The Administration has begun its campaign against Iran through infiltration (which it denies) and by trying to cut Iran's arguments off the Internet. (Picture from CNN.)

This is an immense favor, both to Iran and to the neighboring Arab world. It forces Iran to seek alternate Internet server access for its arguments, and it will. Maybe these will be in Bahrain or Dubai (I'm guessing the former). Maybe they will be in the Ukraine. Or Russia. Or China.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Internet | Journalism | Politics | war

January 19, 2005

Moore's Inverse Law of Labor

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I have been singing the good news about Moore's Law for many years now. It spurs productivity, it spreads knowledge, it increases the rate of change across the board, etc. etc.

But there is a dark side to all this that most who write on technology don't talk about. (The image is from Youngstown State University in Ohio.)

That's what I call Moore's Inverse Law of Labor.

Simply put, Moore's Law makes large productivity gains absolutely necessary. To compete in a Moore's Law world, you have to continually replace people with technology, and move folks' time into more productive tasks, or they fall behind.

This is true for individuals, for business, for government, for nations. It has very profound implications for all of us.

Let's think about some of them:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Consulting | Economics | Futurism | History | Journalism | Moore's Lore | Politics | fun stuff | personal

January 16, 2005

Who's A Journalist, and the Tragedy of the Dean Campaign

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Some journalists are bloggers, but not all bloggers are journalists.

A blogger is a journalist if they act like a journalist. When anyone researches a story and broadcasts the results on a blog they are a journalist.

When a blogger doesn't identify their role, you should treat them as a journalist until they indicate otherwise. Don't tell them something you don't expect to see published. Give them all the information you would any other journalist.

Journalism, in other words, is a process. It's not defined by a paycheck. It's defined by what you do. UPDATE: A new Gallup poll shows that only 5% rate journalists "very high" in honesty. Would bloggers do worse?

All this is prelude to reporting a contretemps Slate reported about The Wall Street Journal. Apparently when Dean campaign chairman Joe Trippi and aide Zephyr Teachout first approached bloggers MyDD and DailyKos in 2003 it "was explicitly to buy their airtime" in the words of Ms. Teachout (right and above, the one without the hat).

The bloggers weren't told this. Markos Moulitas (Kos) and Jerome Armstrong (MyDD) thought they were being treated as consultants, and consulted. Neither wrote anything on their blogs to disqualify the work as journalism.

Click below to see the rest of the story.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Journalism | Politics | blogging | personal

January 14, 2005

Seuss and Brin

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


The Bee Watcher-Watcher watched the Bee Watcher.
He didn’t watch well. So another Hawtch-Hawtcher
had to come in as a Watch-Watcher-Watcher!
And today all the Hawtchers who live in Hawtch-Hawtch
are watching on Watch-Watcher-Watchering-Watch,
Watch-Watching the Watcher who’s watching that bee.
You’re not a Hawtch-Watcher. You’re lucky, you see!!!

Dr. Seuss's "Did I Ever Tell You How Lucky You Are?" is as subversive now as it ever was, and always finds a new context.

Today the context lies in the proliferation of cameras, which seem to be watching us, all the time, and whether our "privacy" means we should turn them off.

With every Hawtch-Hawtcher out watching each other, does privacy really exist?

The answer may surprise you.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | law | personal

January 11, 2005

The Broadband Answer

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There's a good discussion going on at Dave Farber's list today, following a Declan McCullagh article that claims the U.S. is doing fine in broadband. (Image from Mystro Satellite of Canada.)

Declan's point is that it's available. Critics point out that it's slow, expensive, and more people have it in other countries than here.

The question they're all asking is, how can the situation be improved.

The correct answer is one word.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Economics | Internet | Investment | Politics | Telecommunications

January 10, 2005

The Great Race

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

NOTE: The following was published in this week's edition of my free e-mail newsletter, A-Clue.Com. You can get on the list here.



The Great Race has always been between tyranny and freedom, with order as tyranny's worthy handmaiden, and crime as freedom's ugly stepsister.

The triumph of liberty in the 20th century was basically a technological triumph. It was Moore's Law that did it. Moore's Law, and all its antecedents, changed the rules of the economic game, of the power game, and the balance between rulers and the ruled.

Moore's Law, the idea that things get better-and-better faster-and-faster, means that trained minds are the key to economic growth. Willing hands, the key to economic growth in the industrial age, matter far less than they did. Chains may keep trained hands working. They don't do so well with trained minds.

In America the result, as Dr. Richard Florida (left) wrote, was the rise of a new "Creative Class" that could dominate societies and drive economic growth. These were people, accused of wealth and guilty of education, whose values were intellectual and meritocratic, and (perhaps most important) were capable of economic satiation. Creative people have, on the whole, risen through Maslow's "hierarchy of needs," and are in search of self-actualization, not food or even luxury.

...continue reading.

Comments (10) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Consulting | Copyright | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Moore's Lore | Politics | personal

January 04, 2005

Dissing Open Spectrum

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Chris Davies offers a fine dissent on open source spectrum today.
If you look at his example it even looks compelling.

There are problems with power management, with computing requirements, and with wave attenuation in the open spectrum idea. But the problem isn't inherent in the spectrum proposal of Kevin Werbach (left), and the solution isn't to sell spectrum to the highest bidder. That doesn't really deal with the problem.

The problem is two words: real estate.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Economics | Futurism | Politics

December 15, 2004

Regulation Good

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Charles Leadbetter, a freelance analyst who works with Demos of the UK and others (sort of like me but with better management), offered some great insights into the need for regulation recently that have been making the rounds of the blogosphere. (That's one of his books over there.)

How to Profit from Ignorance posits that regulation is needed to regulate ignorance. As life gets more complicated, we become more dependent on experts. Regulation becomes the experts' stamp of approval.

But there's another way of putting the same point -- transparency.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consulting | Economics | History | Investment | Politics | blogging | personal

December 06, 2004

Microsoft's Chinese Experiment

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Microsoft has launched an experiment in tightly-controlled liberty called MSN Spaces whose attitude is very oriental, nearly Chinese.

Spaces is a blogging tool (Microsoft loves to own the language, thus blogs become spaces as bookmarks became favorites) with a difference, namely central control and censorship.

However it's defended, and whatever it's called, control is the essence of the Microsoft experience. You will only use Microsoft tools, and Microsoft formats, under Microsoft rules, and write what Microsoft allows.

What could be more Chinese? (The link preceding is to the location of the art at the right.)

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Copyright | Internet | Politics | Telecommunications | blogging

December 01, 2004

Read The Fine Print: Pennsylvania's Shame

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Philadelphians are celebrating an agreement with Verizon which, they say, allows them to offer a citywide Wi-Fi network despite a law, signed (shamefully) by Governor Ed Rendell yesterday, aimed at stopping the municipal WiFi movement.

But they need to read the fine print.

Wetmachine has the story:


HB 30 prohibits the state or any municipality (or any municipally owned or operated entity) from providing any sort of telecom or broadband service for any kind of remuneration. The bill grandfathers any existing systems, tho, so no one will get cut off.

Sound good? Read on:

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Economics | Futurism | History | Internet | Investment | Politics | law

November 22, 2004

Success In A Failed State

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The BBC has a wonderful series of articles on its Web site about the failed state of Somalia. (The picture, of downtown Mogadishu, is from the BBC Online series.)

Since American troops abandoned the country to its warlords a decade ago the place has been a study of anarchy and Hobbesian choices. There is no government to educate the people, or to protect them. Private checkpoints that extort money from everyone and line the pockets of those manning the checkpoints are everywhere.

Many people live in makeshift structures "made from branches, orange plastic sheets and old pieces of metal" on what were the lawns of schools and hospitals. Even aid agencies have left, citing the danger.

Yet there is a success story to be told here, mobile technology.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Investment | Politics | cellular

November 02, 2004

What Are You Doing Here?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Isn't there a voting line you should be standing on?

And this just in. My favorite writer of all time, Jimmy Breslin, (right) is ending his column.

Jimmy was one of the first writers to inspire me, back when I first learned to type. IMHO he was the greatest columnist ever. The first book to make me cry was his World Without End, Amen, about the "troubles" in Northern Ireland.

A new era has truly begun.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

November 01, 2004

One More Political Rant

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Last one. And it really relates to what I wrote earlier on OJ-ization:

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 28, 2004

The Unlikely Voter

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I spent 90 minutes at the local courthouse the other day, waiting on line to vote. For me the election is over.

So I hope you don't mind if I spend a few moments this morning theorizing about what happened, and why.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 26, 2004

Trump City

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

An election with an incumbent is easier on voters. And hopefully this will encourage some of you to show up.

Because next Tuesday you all get to play Donald Trump.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 22, 2004

Original Sin

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

As a German-American I often ask myself, “How did Hitler happen?”

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 17, 2004

Non-Political Political Entry

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

As we enter the home stretch (yay!) some more points about how technology is changing politics. (Images from the Presidential Market.)



  • You can do a lot more TV ads with today's technology than ever before. You can do them every day.
  • You don't have to buy TV time for such an ad to be effective. Just post it on the Web.

  • While the candidates may be turning this into a dozen-or-so "swing state" races, the Web is transforming things the other way, making this all one race.
  • You can be as active, as knowledgable, and as engaged about the candidates' strategies in a red or blue state as in a purple one.
  • When the votes come in expect surprises. Most politicians haven't accounted for the Web yet, except as a form of TV that collects money.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 14, 2004

Political Ceviche

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I deeply resent instant analysis of Presidential debates.

It's not a boxing match. No one has been, or ever will be, knocked out.

It's more like dueling experiences, that you need time to measure in your mind, as you would two CDs. It needs time to marinate, like ceviche or kimchee or sauerbraten. Your patience will be rewarded.

But if you want my own opinion...

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

October 06, 2004

Megatrends on Steroids

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Remember Megatrends?

John Naisbitt and a herd of library assistants basically looked at news stories from all over the world in order to divine underlying trends -- they extrapolated the recent past to describe the future.

He made a bundle.

Now a man named Charles McLean, working at an outfit called the Denver Research Group, has updated the concept using RSS feeds. David Ignatius (pictured, in his official portrait) has the story.

The title of the piece is "Google With Judgement," a title suggested by McLean. What he does is monitor 7,000 political sources (probably everything with an RSS feed) in an attempt to catch trends before they start.

McLean is cagey on his specific methodology. He's trying to sell the process for big bucks to corporations that need to know what the market's thinking quickly enough to act on it. But it sounds like he's databased a bunch of feeds and learned to distill their meaning pretty accurately.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Consulting | Futurism | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging

The Good News About America

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This is a political post that is non-political.

It's apparent that this Presidential race is close, and the result is riding on the debates.

This means all the money spent until now has not been decisive. It means people will listen to two men discuss the issues, and make a decision based on what they hear.

That's what democracy is about. So long as we get an open process, an honest debate, and a clear victory for one side or the other, I'm pretty happy. And I think you should be, too.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 29, 2004

Don't Believe Any Survey

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

donkey_rising.gif

Don't believe surveys. Any surveys.

I'm talking about more than the Presidential Polls. I'm talking about any survey, public or private, no matter the subject, that claims statistical validity based on calling people on the telephone.

The technique is broken. Cellular killed the polling star.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Consulting | Journalism | Politics

September 27, 2004

Ireland's Second Cyber-War

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

That's right, kiddies. Ireland has gotten into its second major cyber-scrape, one big enough to use the word "war" in describing. (You will also notice that the ancestral home of my mom's people, the O'Donnells, is not shown on this Irish map from the Goingonvacation site.)

Ireland's first cyber-war came in the late 1990s, when an Irish entrepreneur, Connect-Ireland, won the contract to manage East Timor's registration service. East Timor at that time was trying to break away from Indonesia. So Indonesian hackers engaged in a cyber-war to try and take the Irish site down.

Its latest effort is more offensive-minded.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Internet | Journalism | Politics | Security | Telecommunications

September 17, 2004

The Issue Is Not The Frame

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

We interrupt this tech blog for another political polemic. You tech fans just go on about your business.

Or, better yet...we'll have Saturday cat blogging. Pet the cat. (Her name is Indy.)
Indy (close-up).jpg

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 13, 2004

Spoiler Alert

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

If you don't want to know how the U.S. election turns out, just don't click through.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

September 08, 2004

Who's Howard Dean?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I still think Howard Dean is the best President we never had.

But maybe that's just me.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

August 28, 2004

The Present Danger

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

This piece by Juan Cole is being ignored by all the political blogs, so I offer it here.

Cole, who works at the University of Michigan and has become a "go to guy" for Iraq war criticism, charges that Israel has taken over U.S. foreign policy and the current hoop-de-doo over an analyst's passing of documents to a pro-Israel lobby is just the tip of the iceberg.

Pro-Likud intellectuals established networks linking Defense and the national security advisers of Vice President Dick Cheney, gaining enormous influence over policy by cherry-picking and distorting intelligence so as to make a case for war on Saddam Hussein. And their ulterior motive was to remove the most powerful Arab military from the scene, not because it was an active threat to Israel (it wasn't) but because it was a possible deterrent to Likud plans for aggressive expansion (at the least, they want half of the West Bank, permanently).

But wait, there's more.

...continue reading.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

August 26, 2004

Health Care Technology Standards Needed Stat

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I have written several times about how antiquated computing is in the area of health care.

Politicians are starting to take notice of the same thing. (Registration Required)

Fortunately this is a bipartisan recognition. The Post comment above is written by the Republican Senate Majority Leader, Bill Frist (right, from CNN), and a leader of the minority Democrats, Hillary Clinton.

But what are they really proposing?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Consulting | Economics | Politics | medicine

August 25, 2004

Shorter Agre

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Philip Agre of UCLA has put out a provocative essay attacking conservatism at its core and proposing what should be done.

It’s long. It’s pedantic. It’s the kind of thing an information studies professor at UCLA would write. (Well, he is an information studies professor at UCLA.) But it won’t get you on The Daily Show or even Meet The Press

For that we need a shorter Agre. Here goes:

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

August 23, 2004

PrePaid Government

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

By announcing she was under consideration as the next Chair of the FCC, the Bush Administration has drawn a ton of telecommunications industry money into the uphill race of Becky Armendariz Klein, running in a heavily Democratic district against a five-term incumbent.

Some questions:


  • If Bush wins and she's not appointed, do the lobbyists get their money back?
  • If Bush loses, will there be heavy pressure to give her one of the required Republican seats on the FCC?
  • Is anyone going to follow what value these lenders get for their money?
  • Would Democrats have the nerve to pull this kind of scam on an industry?
  • Have they?
  • Why doesn't Klein's Web site say anything about telecommunications issues?

Just asking.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

August 21, 2004

Two Kerrys

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I supported Howard Dean, and opposed John Kerry, because there is one Dean and two Kerrys.

Howard Dean opposed the War in Iraq before it began. One John Kerry supported that war, while a second now calls it poorly executed and offers no realistic plan to do better.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

August 19, 2004

A Political Struggle

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


These ladies aren't discussing the battle between Real Networks and Apple. But there's an important Clue to be derived here nonetheless.

The dispute between Real Networks and Apple Computer over getting Real songs onto the iPod is a business dispute, even a legal dispute. It's not supposed to be about politics or religion. (The illustration, from the Portland Tribune, is from a political rally.)

Customer loyalty, usually a wonderful thing, can be turned into passion that looks very political indeed. And when Real tried to make this political, through a petition, the backlash began.

...continue reading.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Consulting | Politics

August 16, 2004

Plenty of Good Names Still Available

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

You can still buy a .com name, at the regular price, that gets your point across, that's memorable, and that gives you a platform for what you want to do.

OK, the name may be a bit long....

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Politics

August 13, 2004

Cringely's Masterpiece

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I have been rather unkind to Robert Cringely over the years. It was nothing personal. I just had some disagreements.

But the dude can write. He has sources. And today he has come up with a masterpiece. (Picture from the Bitwaste blog.)

The story is on the U.S. sentencing guidelines, and a study showing they wouldn't work which was performed, then buried in 1982. Had the results of this scientific study been accepted, rather than rejected for political reasons, he writes, hundreds of thousands of people might be out of prison, contributing to society, and crime might indeed be lower.

But read the piece yourself and make your own decision. As writing, I want to point to this snap ending:

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: History | Journalism | Politics | Software | personal

August 07, 2004

I, Robot (I, Subversive)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The most politically subversive movie of the year is not Fahrenheit 911*.

It's I, Robot. (Image of the poster from AMEInfo in the UAE.)

My 13-year old son dragged me to see this Will Smith vehicle today. It tells the story of an evil, soulless corporation (check) whose creatures seek to destroy freedom in the name of security (double check).

But wait, it gets better. (Of course, if you click you'll learn the whole plot, so consider this your spoiler alert.)

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | fun stuff | personal

August 05, 2004

Secrets of Blog Success

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The secret to turning a blog into a financial success lies in the word community.

Community is what lets a blog scale from one person spouting off into a true online service, with enough traffic to pay the bills with advertising.

Markos Moulitsas Zuniga (left, from his site) revealed this today on his site, Daily Kos, but I am NOT making a political point here. The most successful conservative sites, from FreeRepublic to Lucianne.Com to Andrew Sullivan, all do the exact same things.

What do they do?

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Consulting | Internet | Journalism | Politics | blogging | computer interfaces

August 03, 2004

Population Bomb Defused?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Remember The Population Bomb? This was Paul Ehrlich's Mathusian nightmare scenario from 1968, the idea being that population was growing so fast the Earth would be unable to sustain it.

Well, a funny thing has happened on the way to Armageddon. While the world now has nearly twice the population it did when Ehrlich wrote his book, the rate of growth worldwide is slowing. Some places are even de-populating.

That's the conclusion of Nicholas Eberstadt, of the American Enterprise Institute (from which the picture was taken). And it's not just happening in Japan and Europe, either.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | Science

Spectrum: The New Frontier

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

A very important political story snuck by us last week. I blame John Kerry for it.

The story is the new push by Intel for 802.16 WiMax spectrum.

While there are lots of high frequency bands in which WiMax could live, the inescapable fact is that the lower your frequency the farther your waves can travel. That's why AM stations can be heard across the country (when conditions are right) while FM stations have trouble being heard across town.

Intel executive vice president Sean Maloney (above, from the Intel site) is lobbying China, the UK and the U.S. to open up space in the 700 MHz band, frequencies UHF TV stations will be abandoning as they move to digital broadcasting, for unlicensed use as WiMax transmission bands.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: 802.11 | Always On | Business Strategy | Economics | Futurism | Politics | Telecommunications | law

August 02, 2004

John Perry Barlow's Cunning Plan

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

There is great angst, trepidation, even an anticipation of tsuris (not to mention a lot of Vertruckete), surrounding the Republican National Convention in New York later this month.

The GOP fears terrorism. Mayor Bloomberg fears demonstrations. Democrats fear that something will get out of hand and give their opponents a big boost. (Think Chicago in 1968.)

Well, former Grateful Dead lyricist (and, he adds, former Republican) John Perry Barlow has what the British might call "a cunning plan."

Dance.

...continue reading.

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Blogging In Perspective

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

For all the hoo-ha over blogging it's important to put the "industry" into its proper perspective.

A recent item at Daily Kos, one of the more popular political Web sites, did this very neatly.

The purpose of the chart was to show Kos edging past a rival site, Instapundit. But for our purposes it's more illustrative to look at the left side of the scale, unique visitors per month.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Internet | Journalism | Politics

July 21, 2004

Oram's Razor

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Andy Oram has a long story at O'Reilly today detailing the problems with universal service and public policy.

It's a great historical overview.

But it's missing one key ingredient. And it's a surprising ingredient for Andy to miss.

That ingredient is Moore's Law.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Investment | Moore's Lore | Politics | Science | Telecommunications

July 20, 2004

The Bush-Gore Precedent

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


I am amazed there hasn't been more comment on this, so I'll make one.

Peter Shane, a law professor at Ohio State, has taken the time to actually read the Supreme Court's Bush vs. Gore decision of 2000, under which the incumbent President was selected. The reasoning used to support Gov. Bush's drive to end recounts could, he says, strike a stake through the heart of America's democracy.

But let him explain it.

...continue reading.

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July 19, 2004

The Package

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Note: The following was published this week in my free weekly e-mail newsletter, a-clue.com.

I headed out last week to see Dr. King, but I was feeling so frisky when I approached that his ghost motioned me northward instead, toward the steep, short hills around Peachtree Center.

Exhausted, I pulled in to a sidewalk, and entered a brick garden lined with benches. I sat heavily onto one, and as my breath returned looked to see a backpack, or perhaps a bedroll, on the bench opposite me. Quite suddenly I started, and recognized where I sat. Here was where the bomb went off during the 1996 Olympics. It sat there, maybe on that bench, in a pack much like the one I was facing.

...continue reading.

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July 12, 2004

Con Game

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Polemic Alert If you don't like my political polemics, skip this piece of self-indulgence. I wrote it on my recent cruise and poured it into the screen as soon as I got home.

...continue reading.

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July 09, 2004

Exley's Ad Play

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

John Kerry's fund-raising success in the last few months must be attributed, in part, to a strategy I think was put in place by Zack Exley, an online operative formerly with Moveon.org. (That's him, from a 2001 Yale conference.)

Why you're reading about it here first I will never know, but here it is, exclusive.

...continue reading.

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July 07, 2004

The Councilman Decision

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I deliberately waited before writing about the atrocious, god-awful "Councilman" decision, in which a U.S. Appeals Court panel ruled, 2-1, that your e-mail isn't private when it's in transit, on someone else's server.

To arrive at this decision, executive director Marc Rotenberg of the Electronic Privacy Information Center wrote, the court basically had to twist the 1986 Wiretap Act into a pretzel. It's one more example of how important judges are in the American judicial system. (That's Rotenberg, left, as he appeared on the PBS NewsHour in 2000.)

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Internet | Journalism | Politics | Security | Telecommunications | law

June 24, 2004

High Noon

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

High Noon may be the most misunderstood classic in the history of American film.

It's been seized-on by both conservative and liberal politicians over the years. The latter claim is the historically correct one. It was written by Carl Foreman and is an eloquent statement against the neo-fascism of the McCarthy blacklist. (Foreman wound up on the blacklist himself.)

Lead actor Gary Cooper's character, Will Kane (pictured, from the collector's edition on Amazon.Com), is no hero. He's scared. He is going to his death and there is nothing he can do about it. Everyone else rationalizes their refusal to stand beside him, even though they know that he's right, and that their cowardice is wrong.

It's when everyone is against you, when you're at war with yourself, that real courage is measured. You don't become a hero marching in a parade, or under compulsion. The choice must be real, the odds long, and the rejection of others certain before you can really measure yourself.

The short form. Toby Keith is not heroic. The Dixie Chicks were (a little). And courage isn't a political choice in any case. It's personal.

...continue reading.

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June 21, 2004

Corrupting Religion

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The most dangerous Bush policy, for science and the future, may be its corruption of honest religious faith. (The statue, titled Church and State, is the work of Richard Beau Lieu. Neat, huh?)

This has been done by giving religious groups the power of the state (tax dollars) through "faith-based initiatives," and the return of that favor through pro-Bush agitation by churches that got the money.

The corruption may be at its worst in Bush's home state of Texas, where the Southern Baptist Convention is seeking to become akin to the Saudi Wahhabi.

The result is Luddism.

...continue reading.

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June 12, 2004

Why Are Programmers So Down?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I've been looking at this story for days, wondering what to make of it. (That's a Techtoon from a happier time.)

First, it's true. My dear wife is a programmer and morale is down at her place. There's real fear out there. There's fear of India, but more than that, fear of being replaced by someone younger and cheaper.

"Do you know they don't even call themselves programmres?" she asked me one night. "Now they're developers."

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Copyright | Economics | Futurism | Investment | Politics | Science | Software | personal

June 04, 2004

The Third Civil War?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I'm an old history major, and what I learned from American history is we have had a half-dozen crises and two Civil Wars.

The first lasted from 1861-1865. Northerners call it the Civil War, Southerners still refer to it as the War Between the States (or the War of Northern Aggression). As a New Yorker now living in Atlanta I prefer to call it the Recent Unpleasantness. (The picture is of a violent protest against that war by my Irish ancestors, the 1863 New York Draft Riot, and is taken from the African-American Registry.)

The second civil war lasted from roughly 1966-1974, and is called Vietnam.

Vietnam was just as much a civil war as the earlier struggle. It too pitted brother-against-brother, often son-against-father. It split America. (Some, like Sen. John Kerry, fought on both sides.) And on the battlefield we all lost. South Vietnam, in the end, was destroyed.

This makes Vietnam an even greater stain than that first war. At least, when Union veterans "waved the bloody shirt" in the politics following that conflict, they were waving it as winners. When politicians do that today, they're doing it in the name of a defeat. In terms of Vietnam, we're all the Confederacy.

...continue reading.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

War Is All Hell

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Conservatives have been hammering me lately for statements, here and elsewhere, to the effect that our soldiers do evil.

Where did I get that? It's simple truth. Look no further than the great cause of America's Civil War, and its greatest general, William Tecumseh Sherman. Here's what he said when the "Grand Army of the Republic" held its 1880 meeting.

"There is many a boy here today who looks on war as all glory, but, boys, it is all hell. You can bear this warning voice to generations yet to come. I look upon war with horror."

Whether war is just is for our leaders -- and in a democracy that means for us -- to decide.

War can be just, if fought in the name of destroying a greater evil. But unjust wars must be confronted. In a democracy, speaking out against an unjust war is the truest patriotism, because in a democracy the buck does not stop at the leader's desk, it stops in our hearts.

If you click below I will share with you one piece of hate mail that just arrived here. Judge it for yourself. Decide whom you agree with.

...continue reading.

Comments (6) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

June 01, 2004

The Root Of All Evil

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Rationalization.

We're seeing a lot of that these days. Here is some. Here is some more.

We all have "evil inclinations," but we seldom act upon them without first rationalizing them. We count, they don't. They're "evildoers," we're the "good guys."

Rationalization.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

Political Principles for Technology

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I'm for growth and change. It's the only way to stay ahead of population and pollution without engaging the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse full-time.


The success of the 1990s, and the technology industry failures of our own time, have brought me to some political principles that need to be embraced by everyone -- and which are opposed by politicians of every type -- in order to bring back growth.


  • Competition
  • Privacy
  • Transparency
  • Liberty

All these were seen as important in the 1990s. All have been discarded in our time. And we have paid the price for that.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Politics | law

May 27, 2004

The Myth of Once And For All

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I've learned from cartoons of two big lies we tell our children. (That's Yugioh, a Japanese cartoon character my kids like, from RedJupiter.com.)

We tell them that evil people know they're evil, that they stand for evil, and that they have evil intent. We give them lines like "Bwa-ha-ha-ha!"

Second, we tell them that the battle of good and evil can be solved, that the story can be ended, that we can be happy ever after. We're going to end this, the hero will say, "once and for all."

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

May 20, 2004

Sonia Gandhi

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Now I'm going to write about something I know nothing about, Indian politics.

I have written twice here about India's election. The result was an upset, and personally I give former prime minister Vajpayee all the praise in the world for running a fair election and accepting the results. (Kudos also go to former Spanish Prime Minister Aznar in this regard, and to any other leader who allows the verdict of the people to be heard, and to stand.)

But back to Mrs. Gandhi.

...continue reading.

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May 18, 2004

Don't Beg. Build.

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Way back in high school, nearly 35 years ago now, I lost my first newspaper job. (The illustration is from a Buddhist temple. Cute, huh? Keep reading for enlightenment.)

Well it wasn't a job, actually. I was canned from the school newspaper, along with the rest of the staff, after some editorials appeared against the Vietnam War.

Most of the "old" staff did what you expect. They went to their parents and got the money to distribute their own paper, one that was just as slick as the regular paper.

I took a different route. I went to the market. I sold ads. I kept my costs down and generally broke even. Kept it up for nearly three years.

The lesson stuck with me. Begging isn't a business model.

I associate this lesson with conservatism, but in our time it's often ignored. Young conservatives have an easy time getting money -- from parents, from foundations, and from publishers more interested in propaganda than truth.

Anyone else is left to beg.

Here's a note to the beggars. Get off your knees.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Models | Business Strategy | Consulting | Economics | Internet | Politics

May 17, 2004

Propagandization

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The court jester may be the most misunderestimated figure in the medieval pantheon. (You can look like this for just $225 from Fashionsintime.)

It’s said his role was to sit at the King’s shoulder and remind him of his mortality. The role is played today entirely for laughs. But the jester was also the first free press. For his japes to hit home they had to bite. They had to tell the truth, and skirt that dangerous line between truth-telling and sedition. Laughter got the medicine down.

The role was vital, because Kings who didn’t hear the other side, or who refused to listen, could become deluded. They would over-reach and fall, hard, losing not just their own lives but those of their families and all their worldly goods. “The play’s the thing, wherein I’ll catch the conscience of the King.” Without a conscience, a King was just a tyrant and had no legitimacy.

...continue reading.

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May 13, 2004

New Lessons From India

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I don't claim to be a seer. But sometimes, thanks to my history degree, I guess right.

That appears to be the case in India, where the Congress Party appears to have won elections most tipped it to lose.

My own view remains what it was on Monday. Computers are having the same effect machines had a century ago. They save on labor costs, raising productivity. But that means there are fewer jobs. And a demand comes from all workers, especially those left out of the prosperity, for equity.

In many countries this gave rise to socialism, even communism. In our country it gave rise to the Progressives, the Populists, and (after a complete systemic collapse) the New Deal.

There are great lessons in this result for America.

...continue reading.

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May 11, 2004

The Last Straw

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I don't like John F. Kerry. But I will vote for him.

I feel, now, that I must. To do otherwise is to endorse the horrors of Abu Ghraib. (The picture is from a site whose opinion here differs from mine, called Enter Stage Right. Consider it a form of equal time.)

I'm hearing a lot of rationalizations for those horrors, and the rationalizations, if anything, disgust me more than the horrors. The conduct was by "only a few." (No, it was systemic.) Our troops have performed heroically and selflessly. (Accepted, but this makes those sacrifices worthless.) The Geneva Convention doesn't apply to "terrorists." (The victims here were not proven terrorists.) What about Fallujah? (It happened many months later.) What about 9/11? (Iraq had nothing to do with it.)

You can't just fight fire with fire. You need water.

...continue reading.

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May 07, 2004

Idiots

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The idiots who interrupted Donald Rumsfeld's opening statement before the Senate today did incalculable damage to their own cause.

In one minute they changed the nature of the debate, from one between brutality and rationality to one between anarchy and order.

Millions of Americans, seeing and hearing these idiots, began rationalizing everything that happened at Abu Ghraib, in the same way that the Chicago Sun-Times cartoonist Jack Higgins rationalized it. They stopped listening to the evidence, hearing only anger, hatred, and their own fear.

For many, many Americans, the 9/11 attacks had the effect that the 1933 Reichstag fire had on Germans a few generations ago. They made any evil rational, as self-defense.

Evil never has evil intent. Evil is only done in the name of what the evil-doer considers a higher good. Thus it has always been, thus it is.

The fools who interrupted the Rumsfeld hearing did evil, great evil, in the same way as those they sought to interrupt.

Comments (5) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

Read Juan Cole Today

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I can't say any more than that.

It's important.

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April 30, 2004

Sinclair (and the forbidden word)

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Sinclair Broadcasting has made a decision not to carry an ABC “Nightline” program tonight that will consist of announcer Ted Koppel reading the names, and displaying the faces, of Americans killed in Iraq. (The graphic, by the way, is linked from Famousfoto.com, and has nothing to do with Sinclair Broadcasting. I just thought it was fun.)

An official statement from the group reads in part, “Despite the denials by a spokeswoman for the show the action appears to be motivated by a political agenda designed to undermine the efforts of the United States in Iraq.” Sinclair owns 8 ABC affiliates.

But this is not the whole story. Not in my opinion. What follows is my opinion.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

April 29, 2004

The Old Switcheroo

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I've looked over coverage of President Bush's broadband plans, and they're "the old switcheroo." (Image from TechCentralStation.)

That is, they sound good on a superficial level, but a look at the fine print shows a different picture.

The headlines are grabbers. There's the goal of universal access, and a call against taxes. Both sound great.

The problem is how we get there. The Bush plan is simply not market-oriented.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Always On | Economics | Internet | Politics

April 25, 2004

Is Iraq The Net's Fault?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Here we have another one of those overwrought attacks on the Net.

This time the Online Journalism Review blames our polarization on the Internet, claiming an "echo chamber" effect.

People like Matt Glaser, who wrote this story, should be forced to endure Journalism History 101. And if he's out there, I'll teach it to him. (Our illustration comes from this wonderful Montauk history page.)

If there is an "echo chamber" it is created, not by the narrowcasting of Web sites, but by the mass media. While it would be controversial for me to point out the present War in Iraq in this regard, let's go back to 1898, and the Spanish-American war.

...continue reading.

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April 11, 2004

What's Going On?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Easter Sunday. Time for a hymm. (Image of our singer available after service from Commander Cody (alias George Frayne) at Commandercody.com.)

Mother’ mother
There’s too many of you crying
Brother’ brother’ brother
There’s far too many of you dying
You know we’ve got to find a way
To bring some lovin’ here today ’ yeah

Father’ father
We don’t need to escalate
You see’ war is not the answer
For only love can conquer hate
You know we’ve got to find a way
To bring some lovin’ here today

Many people are having trouble learning what's going on in Iraq. I know I am. The embedded reporters have gone home. The rest are holed up with Baghdad Dan. The only folks on the ground seem to be from Al-Jazeera.

Here's how I'm making do.

...continue reading.

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April 08, 2004

Real Courage

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Americans like to pretend they have courage. But, unless we're on the firing line we seldom get to display it. For most of us, most of the time, courage consists of ordinary things, like running against a powerful opponent.

Elsewhere, the courage it takes to post this blog item can get you killed. So let's raise another glass to Salam Pax, the "Baghdad Blogger." You may remember him from the war, when we wondered if he might be Iraq's Anne Frank, reporting from the mouth of the volcano and being consumed by it. (You can re-read his war diary, to the right, in book form.)

He still might be consumed. Here is what he had to say Tuesday, referring to Moqtaba Al Sadr, the Shi'ite mullah and militia leader whose resistance to arrest for murder triggered much of this week's violence:

...continue reading.

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April 07, 2004

Feudalism

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

What do you call a political system where all money and power is inherited, and where taxes lie exclusively on wages and the other earnings of the lower classes?

In my political science education it was called feudalism. Feudalism was the way society organized itself throughout the Middle Ages. Most of the struggles of the Renaissance and Reformation were aimed at ending feudal privileges.

Feudalism, like Communism, finally collapsed of its own internal contradictions. (A good fictional account of these contradictions is given in the 1632 series, by Eric Flint. (There's a large fan site devoted to the concept.)

...continue reading.

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March 30, 2004

The Age of Nixon

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

One of the advantages of having multiple movie channels (as on my cable box) is that you might be forced to watch something you resisted for years.

So it was with me and Oliver Stone's Nixon.

For me the most powerful moments came at the end, in Bob Dole's eulogy, spoken at Nixon's actual funeral. "The last half of the 20th century will be known as the Age of Nixon," he said. And I think we're still in it.

...continue reading.

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March 23, 2004

The Fifth Stage of Dean

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn


Stage One. Who's Howard Dean?

Stage Two. Get Me Howard Dean!

Stage Three. Get Me Someone Like Howard Dean! (Enter John Kerry.)

Stage Four. Get Me A Young Howard Dean! (Enter John Edwards.)

Stage Five. Who's Howard Dean?

Now, Howard Dean, if you dare, and if you want another taste of the apple called money, fame and power, follow this thread to learn how to get another ride on the Merry Go Round.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

March 18, 2004

The Iraq War

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

We interrupt this tech blog for an important announcement. (Picture is from CNN.)

That the War on Iraq, which began a year ago, is part of the War on Terrorism is an assertion. It is not, repeat not, a fact.

An assertion may be true, but it may also be false.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

March 13, 2004

Test With Evidence, And Test The Evidence

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Among many publishers the fear of the Net remains palpable. Sometimes I wish it could be overcome.

If it could be, you might now share "The Measure of America," an article in last week's New Yorker by Claudia Roth Pierpont.

The article -- one of the longest I've seen since the days of William Shawn (at whose knee I'll admit I once perched while a Northwestern journalism student) is centered on a biography of the anthropologist Franz Boas (1858-1942). (The picture of Boas above is from a biography of one of his students, Margaret Mead, on the Library of Congress site.)

Boas, a German immigrant, may properly termed the "Father of Modern Anthropology." He took it from its racist origins, applied rigorous scientific observation to it, and gave scientific credence to the Declaration that "all men are created equal."

But, in her meticulous description of Boas' life and times, Pierpont does something truly extraordinary, something as extraordinary as anything Boas himself ever attempted.

...continue reading.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Politics

Dean Withdrawal

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I am suffering from a worse-than-expected case of "Dean Withdrawal."

I'm not talking here about the candidate. I'm talking about myself. Unlike most Democrats (apparently) I am singularly unimpressed by the choice facing voters.

It seems like the same kind of fight (by proxy) we've faced for generations, Kerry for the Kennedys against the Bush Dynasty. It's a very conventional left-right fight, a battle between elites, with a third elite, the paid press, keeping score on behalf of their masters.

Dean, I still believe, offered something different, and better. He was to the right of Kerry (and even Bush) on many issues dear to Republican hearts -- the deficit, health care, the environment. He sought compromise on the hardest social questions -- civil unions, guns, crime.

Perhaps more important, I seem to be taking Dean's rejection personally, not as an attack on him, but as an attack on me, and in the involvement of ordinary, non-elitist voters in the very process of politics.

Dean himself is not a very angry man. He knew when he was giving the crowd "red meat." He had fun with it. "We're going to have some fun at the President's expense," is the way he would open his stump talks.

...continue reading.

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March 08, 2004

Credibility Laundering

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Matthew Yglesias has an interesting blog item up on the subject of "credibility laundering." (The picture is from his blog.) His complaint is on universities giving their names to wealthy patrons' dubious projects. This lets political partisans pretend that their nonsense has some sort of academic credibility, which it often does not.

Of course, credibility is sold and traded all the time. Michael Jordan earned credibility as a basketball player and sold it through a long list of commercials. Jerry Seinfeld earned credibility as a comedian and sold it through American Express.

We expect this, and accept it. The ability to be a seller in the credibility market is one of the perks of fame. It's how notoreity turns into money. (This cartoon of former Viagra spokesman Bob Dole is courtesy Brian K. White of Glossy News.)

But there's a limit. If you saw Antonin Scalia or Alan Greenspan hawking cheeseburgers or soda pop, you would be appalled. They should at least wait, as Bob Dole did, until they're out of office.

Yet increasingly, they do not.

...continue reading.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Economics | Politics

February 25, 2004

Carrying Bells' Water

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

In Congress, the best way to get something unpopular through is to put it in the hands of someone with no election worries.

In the House, this means a Congresscritter in a "safe" seat, someone who wins with 80% of the vote. In the Senate, it's usually someone newly-elected, trying to rise quickly to the leadership, who gets its dirty work. By the time they meet the voters, it's assumed, they will have forgotten.

Thus, Sen. Lamar Alexander of Tennessee wants to tax VOIP. Actually, he wants to let states and localities tax it.

...continue reading.

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February 24, 2004

Bush Looks Good From Bangalore

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Sun co-founder Vinod Khosla has returned to Bangalore as a partner in Kleiner Perkins, an Indian tech godfather. From where he sits George W. Bush looks very, very good. (The picture on the right is taken from an Indian Car Rental site, specifically a page that offers driving tours.)

Why shouldn’t he? No President has ever done more for India. Bush has reversed the nation’s brain drain and transferred millions of high-paying (by local standards) jobs to the subcontinent. Now Khosla wants India to defend its rights to outsourcing before the WTO, and to take the next step into building giant enterprises of its own.

...continue reading.

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February 23, 2004

Echo Chamber

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The Internet is a great validation device.

My daughter, for instance, loves the Harry Potter characters. She wants to read about them all the time. On fanfiction.net she can, in stories written by people her own age, with her sensibility. She doesn't have to wait for Book 6 to come out. And her feelings are validated, because the authors of those stories feel the same way she does.

Grown-ups have the same kind of experience.

...continue reading.

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February 19, 2004

Will Iran Be Free (And How)?

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The question of Iranian liberty may be the most important debate of 2004.

The Iraqi invasion was predicated, at least in part, as a transforming event that would spread democracy outward. Iran has been nominally a democracy for some years, but, especially since the invasion, the accent there has been on the word nominal.

This tech blog is tackling the question because a crisis has been reached and (surprise) blogging is in the center of it.

...continue reading.

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February 18, 2004

End of Deans

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Those who know me also know that I have spent time these last months on the Howard Dean campaign. Those who want to hear my thoughts on his demise may click below.

For the rest of you, there’s plenty more bloggy goodness on this here tech page.

...continue reading.

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Making Martyrs

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Martyrdom is a powerful force.

Once unleashed it can't be put down, because there's no longer anyone to negotiate with. (The picture at right is from a BBC story on Du Daobin, who has been formally charged with subversion for writing online articles no more compelling than this one.)

The only way for an oppressor to beat martyrdom is to keep making martyrs until the passion to create new ones runs out. This is the sum of China's policy on dissent.

When a martyr can use the media, especially this medium, or when the martyr comes from the Internet, however, the oppressor's task becomes impossible. (This is the secret of Amnesty International, although they don't just use the Internet but all media to spread the word of oppression and martydom.)

For a martyr being martyred, however, this is small consolation. The path of Nathan Hale is not recommended, except as an example for others, or in time of war.

...continue reading.

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February 11, 2004

A Policy Dinner

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

I found myself having dinner last night with a politician. Strange days indeed. (The picture is from the film "My Dinner with Andre," and retrieved from Fusionananomoly.net.)

We talked about tech policy. The politician seemed Clued-in, but wanted my thoughts.

I talked about my key word in all this, competition. Tech policy should focus on artificial barriers to entry and, if it can't keep them from existing, at least fight to keep them as low as possible.

This helps even those companies that might consider themselves "victims" of such policies. It keeps their internal bureaucracies from overwhelming values of efficiency and customer service. It keeps them lean, which keeps profits up, and stock values up.

Of course, I said, the companies involved will never believe that, just as a couch potato won't buy-in to the fact that exercise and a healthier diet will make him or her feel better, although we know they will.

The politician had an idea. When writing policies governing technology, set standards, minimum requirements companies can meet on their own. This is not the way things normally work, he explained. Usually governments try to mandate a specific solution, a box or process they either create or buy. But change is constant, it's constantly accelerating, and such solutions become obsolete even before they're implemented.

You're too smart to be in politics, I told him. Well, he said, he had made his money and considered this work public service, a more absorbing form of retirement than golf. Anyone who puts himself in the line of fire like that and thinks it fun is to be commended, I replied. Any politician is a volunteer, and those who aren't taking with both hands are heroes in my book, regardless of party.

There are many gatekeepers today in the technology world, I continued, monopolies and trusts held together mainly by government regulation designed before Moore's Law, around the assumption that monopolies are an efficient use of capital. This is how cable arose, through local licenses. This is where the Bell System came from. Moore's Law of Radios is making such monopolies technically obsolete, but they will fight for the death to maintain their stranglehold. Why they can't see themselves as wholesalers, as well as retailers, is beyond me, I said.

But such fights are a natural consequence of big companies becoming huge and, thus, bureaucratic. Nothing wrong with bureaucracy, per se -- America has some of the best, most efficient bureaucracies in the world. But bureaucracy on a corporation is like fat on your figure. A little may be necessary, especially as you age, but it's very easy to overdo it, and that's our inclination.

It's these bureaucracies that try to raise-up artificial barriers to entry, and there are many of them. Copyrights, trademarks, and patents can all become barriers to entry, if their terms are too long, or they are too easily obtained. Tariffs and subsidies are also barriers to entry. Big, competition-free contracts can be barriers. These are not absolutes -- we need patents, and copyrights, we need tariffs, subsidies, and big contracts. The trick is to seek a balance between our needs and the desires of incumbents to want it all. (The picture of Shawn, above, is from his work in "The Princess Bride," and was found at the University of Sydney's ROCSOC Forum, in Australia.)

There is no perfect balance, either in law or regulation, I said. It's always shifting.

But generally, the only way through to American competitiveness is for Americans to embrace change. This is the secret to our success. The right to succeed also brings with it the responsibility to fail, which is something the Horatio Alger myth probably forgot to mention. (This is why I prefer Buddenbrooks.) How we deal with failure is a choice we make, but if the penalty is death and true poverty, undeserving successes will fight to the death to maintain their artificial advantages, so maybe a social safety net isn't just good for your soul, but good for the economy at large.

So passed a very pleasant evening. I splurged on key lime pie. The politician paid the check. This, I decided, was a unique occasion, perhaps never to be repeated.

Like My Dinner With Andre.

Dana Blankenhorn

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Michael Powell's Credibility Gap

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Michael Powell is one of the best speechmakers in my memory of the FCC.

He was at it again yesterday. His speech to an industry conference in Colorado had nice phrases like "power to the people," and he came out against contractual arrangements cable operators are already trying to impose on customers, limiting what they can do with their bandwidth.

The problem is Powell may be one of the worst politicians the agency has yet seen. He was outvoted on competition rules. And when he sees himself is weak his instinct is to suckle next to the American Ayatollahs and favor outright censorship.

As a result he has developed a credibility gap, much like his father's on Iraq. Words mean little if your actions contradict them.

If Powell is for personal liberty and consumer choice, he should act on that belief. Otherwise he should, in Bill O'Reilly's words, shut up.

Dana Blankenhorn

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